Fearless predictions: Munster for Dally M, Tigers avoid spoon, Sharks to make GF

By Ryan O'Connell / Expert

It’s hard to believe this is my 11th year of putting what little credibility I do have, on the line. Yet here we are, once again on the eve of a rugby league season, and ready to look like a fool come October – perhaps even sooner – by making my annual fearless NRL predictions.

After a couple of scintillating years of predictions, I came back to earth with a thud last season, only getting one prognostication correct.

To be fair, even that score required some questionable mathematics usually reserved for those that manage the Roosters’ salary cap.

So, I’m looking to bounce back in 2022, which means it’s time for the fateful drum roll, please!

1. Cameron Munster will win Dally M

The wild child of the NRL has been on his best behaviour since being caught on camera in a hotel room having a very good time with an “unknown substance”. He’s done a stint in rehab, gotten off the booze, and had the requisite “never looked fitter” quote from Storm officials splashed all across the news.

The Melbourne five-eighth is a superstar footballer when he’s focused. Talent has never been the concern with Munster, so if he actually remains committed to being – well, committed – he could be in for a dominating year.

A point to prove. An attitude adjustment. A lifestyle improvement. His next big contract on the horizon. All the ingredients are there for a monster Munster season.

(Photo by Bradley Kanaris/Getty Images)

2. Wests Tigers won’t get wooden spoon

I’ve made at least 55 fearless predictions over the years, and probably more when you throw in the two-for-ones, along with the odd bonus prediction. Yet this is undoubtedly the boldest one I’ve ever made.

The Tigers are unbackable favourites to finish dead last on the ladder, paying just $3.50.

To put that in context, if a team – in a competition of 16 – was paying $3.50 to finish on top of the ladder, you’d assume they were an absolute powerhouse. Well, the Tigers are clearly whatever the opposite of that is. An outhouse, perhaps?

A lacklustre roster, a coach on the hot seat, and a club hierarchy that constantly faces criticism that they’re a shambles. There’s not really too much to be optimistic about for Tigers fans.

They won’t have heavy competition for the spoon because, unfortunately, there’s plenty of bad teams in the NRL in 2022 so take the field against the Tigers to come last.

3. The NRL will lose games to COVID-19

Not the most pleasant prediction, but a prediction, nonetheless. The NRL did a fantastic job to be the first pro sporting competition in the world to get back on the park during the first COVID-19 outbreak, and while you may question the importance of playing football during a global pandemic, you can’t deny it was an impressive effort to do so.

Since then, we’ve had more outbreaks, new variants, additional lockdowns and border closures, making it very hard to run a competition that spans two countries, and multiple states. Yet through it all, the NRL kept its ‘product’ alive and able to be consumed by its hungry fanbase.

Yet in 2022, the NRL will lose some games due to a new outbreak. You read it here first. Or maybe you didn’t. Fine. But you still read it here.

4. A coach, or two, will get fired mid-season

It’s not nice to make fun of people’s pending unemployment, so we won’t. However, it’s my morbid prediction that two head coaches will be sacked during the 2022 NRL season.

I was going to play it relatively safe and say one coach, but they don’t call me ‘Fearless Ryan’ for nothing. Actually, no one calls me that, but be that as it may, it’s time to put my neck on the chopping block, and say two coaches actually will suffer the same fate.

Which coaches? Well, there’s another article for another day. That’s a veteran move right there; no point halving my Roar pay packet.

Braden Hamlin-Uele of the Sharks stands over Jack Williams during their post-try celebration. (Photo by Mark Kolbe/Getty Images)

5. Sharks will make grand final with Fitzgibbon coach of the year

It’s time to get ultra-fearless, along with pulling out what’s become a staple of my recent annual predictions: the famed ‘two-for-one’.

The Sharks are going to surprise a lot of people this year, and my extravagant prophesy is they’ll make it all the way to the final game of the season.

The pack is very solid, and will only be bolstered by the arrival of Dale Finucane. Meanwhile, the backline may not be filled with superstars, but it also has few weak spots.

Linking them together will probably be Braydon Trindall when he gets back from his suspension in Round 3 and Nicho Hynes in the halves, who could be quite dynamic.

Hynes might be a brilliant playmaker this year. There will be plenty of mistakes from the new and relatively inexperienced combo, but if they click, the Sharks could shock the world. Well, the eastern seaboard of Australia anyway.

Lastly, Fitzgibbon comes with fairly big raps on him as a coach, with a number of suitors over the years. It’s hard to know if that actually means he’ll be a great coach, as assistants have it pretty easy, but those in the know clearly believe he has potential. If the Sharks finish top four, he’ll be a strong candidate for coach of the year.

Bonus Prediction: the ladder

1. Panthers
2. Storm
3. Roosters
4. Sharks
5. Sea Eagles
6. Rabbits
7. Eels
8. Raiders
9. Bulldogs
10. Broncos
11. Knights
12. Titans
13. Warriors
14. Dragons
15. Tigers
16. Cowboys

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The Crowd Says:

2022-03-08T22:42:57+00:00

Randy

Roar Rookie


Broncos to get their 2nd ever spoon, Kevvie sacked before the year is over.

2022-03-08T22:23:14+00:00

Geoff from Bruce Stadium

Roar Rookie


To be fair the two players who wanted out were homesick Englishmen. That's the risk you take when you sign overseas players. Hodgson has been there since 2015, Whitehead since 2016 while Sutton will have played four seasons before he moves to the Dogs in 2023. Given the extent of player movements these days that's a fair stint from three of them.

2022-03-08T12:21:36+00:00

Forty Twenty

Roar Rookie


Just a general comment on all the commotion going on about the game successfully conducting a season.

AUTHOR

2022-03-08T10:27:30+00:00

Ryan O'Connell

Expert


If it wasn't clear (and I apologise if it wasn't), I had no issue with the NRL starting up again during COVID.

2022-03-08T10:27:11+00:00

The Barry

Roar Guru


I’d respond indignantly if I couldn’t see that actually happening…

2022-03-08T10:18:29+00:00

Forty Twenty

Roar Rookie


Many people have expressed their dismay at the NRL playing while there was a global pandemic but it's just small-minded nonsense. The game carried on providing plenty of entertainment for millions of people as well as employment and revenue circulating. Why the hell would you stop that without a good reason? As for predictions, I'm just happy to watch it all unfold. I'm always hopeful that the Storm and Chooks go wobbly because I've had enough of them and although they are widely predicted to make the 4, quite rightly, the Chooks and Raiders were highly favored last season as well but didn't end up as threats. The usual overrating of the trial form is alive and well again this season as I've noticed a couple of last seasons' underperformers are attracting some positive news based on trial form. Fake news I'm afraid.

2022-03-08T07:08:00+00:00

souvalis

Roar Rookie


from 5/2 into 7/4..

2022-03-08T06:53:29+00:00

Albo

Roar Rookie


With at least a 3 match start on Cleary, Turbo must be firming even further tonight !

2022-03-08T06:50:43+00:00

Albo

Roar Rookie


Ricky is Mr Canberra . He will stay coach for as long as he wants.

2022-03-08T06:40:54+00:00

Nick Maguire

Roar Rookie


:laughing:

2022-03-08T06:34:29+00:00

mushi

Roar Guru


On 4. Don't give him that half point way out! He said two coaches, personally I think that's unders given the amount of limping teams last year. Is Ricky under the spotlight if another key player asks out?

2022-03-08T04:56:25+00:00

no one in particular

Roar Guru


JAC gets frustrated with a lack of ball and tries. Barrett moves him to FB, Burton to half and Dufty to 5/8 Barrett gets sacked 2 weeks later

2022-03-08T04:49:34+00:00

Adam

Roar Guru


Not particularly fearless!

2022-03-08T04:39:42+00:00

Kent Dorfman

Roar Rookie


& JAC on a try drought cuz no one passes him the ball as every play is 5 hit ups then kick

2022-03-08T04:38:06+00:00

Kent Dorfman

Roar Rookie


Munster'll have another brain snap & rule himself out. Teddy or Turbo (if fit for the year) i reckon

2022-03-08T04:13:08+00:00

souvalis

Roar Rookie


The stats are once in a lifetime sure, but as long as Manly keep winning (80% of regular season games with him in '21) and the borderline 8 and below sides continue to be poor defensively , what's going to stop him from plowing thru sides? Doubt he's going to suddenly stop running, not want the ball or start throwing poor passes inside or outside.

2022-03-08T03:26:18+00:00

matth

Roar Guru


1. Turbo for the Dally M again. As a smokey let's say Ponga. 2. I agree that Wests won't win the wooden spoon. Someone else will implode even more, just can;t decide whether it will be the Bulldogs or Cowboys. 3. I hope not. 4. Madge and Payten on very thin ice. 5. No. but they will make finals. Picking the grand finalists is a bit of a mugs game as it's often decided by injuries. I will go with Roosters and Parramatta. 6. Bonus tips. Melbourne to finish 6th. Titans to make the 8 for the second year running with David Fifita continuing his development into a true beast of the game. 7. Bonus, bonus tip. Somewhere during the season there will be a game where no fan from either side complains about the ref. Now that's a bold prediction!

2022-03-08T03:04:08+00:00

KB

Guest


Sat through every trial game and was mightily impressed with the Sharks. Nice attacking football that stood out from some of the other games. Unwell partner loved it and here’s hoping his long suffering support for the Sharks sees him rewarded at the end of the season.

2022-03-08T02:46:11+00:00

mushi

Roar Guru


If that is baseline Tom then it's over. But most athletes have pinnacle years and that looked like one

2022-03-08T02:27:23+00:00

The Sporacle

Roar Rookie


You've got one of those right already :thumbup:

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