Johnson, Starc and Marsh: Three Mitches and the attributes they share

By matth / Roar Guru

A new chapter in Legends of the Mitches was written recently as the Starc and Marsh versions delivered a devastating one-two gut punch to the Indian one-day side.

Mitch Starc took five wickets and Mitch Marsh finished India off with a rollicking 60 not out.

The ‘Mitchell’ is a peculiar species within the ecosystem that is Australian cricket. There have been three in recent memory to play a significant part in the Australian cricket story: Marsh, Starc and Johnson (apologies to Mitchell Swepson), each sharing some common characteristics:

Johnson was the trailblazer. Talented, terrifying, inconsistent, lacking in confidence and slow to embrace his role as the enforcer of Australian cricket – “He bowls to the left” and all that.

Mitchell Johnson. (Photo by Ryan Pierse/Getty Images)

One of the biggest problems that the Australian cricket public had with Johnson, especially in the early years, was that his ceiling was so incredibly high, he was turned upon whenever he was merely average.

Capable of scoring Test hundreds at a rapid rate and taking seven or eight wickets in an innings whenever he ventured west of the Nullarbor, Johnson was embraced and rejected in equal measure, often within consecutive series.

It wasn’t until 2013-14 Ashes and the ‘Summer of Mitch’ that he finally took his place as a bloody legend within the Australian cricketing pantheon.

Johnson won 53 per cent of his 79 Tests with a bowling average 13 per cent better than his fellow Australian bowlers – since 1920, Johnson’s strike rate in wins for Australia has only been bettered by Dennis Lillee – so when Mitch was good, he was very, very good.

But the allegation is also that when he was bad he was awful.

In losses, Johnson averaged 40.7, however this was 8.7 per cent better than his peers in those same matches. In draws, he had a nearly 15 per cent better bowling average than his peers. His strike rate was nearly 29 per cent better and is the fifth best of all time in draws for Australia.

When the pitch was giving him nothing and the games was dwindling away, Johnson fought more than almost anyone.

So Johnson was actually a strike bowler in all circumstances and when he got it right he was unstoppable.

Mitchell Starc is cut from similar cloth, with his left-arm delivery, confronting pace and the ability to deliver unplayable balls and unreachable balls, depending on the vibes of the day.

There has also been the perception that Starc is only a factor when things go his way.

But when Australia wins, Starc performs at around exactly the same level as his bowling peers in those wins. His strike rate is better (actually only behind Lillee and Johnson), but his economy rate is worse and so he hovers in the same overall land as Josh Hazlewood and just a bit behind Pat Cummins.

In losses, Starc’s record is in the all-time top ten for bowling average, strike rate and wickets per Test. In terms of strike rate, Starc’s measure of 49.8 is the best in Australian history (minimum ten losses). That strike rate is 26.5 per cent better than his peers. His peer difference percentage for bowling average in losses of 17.4 per cent is actually the third highest for any bowler, behind only Rodney Hogg and Glenn McGrath.

So the fair-weather bowler is actually one of our toughest competitors in losses. Good Mitch. Plus he has not averaged over 28.2 in any of the last eight years in Tests. Consistently good Mitch.

So how on Earth is this relevant to a one-day victory in Visakhapatnam in 2023?

Well, for one, forgetting all that red-ball malarkey above, Starc is now pretty much Australia’s greatest ever white-ball bowler. The only player with stats to match him is Dennis Lillee, from a different time and from a much smaller sample. He is in the argument for a place in the All-Time World XI.

More importantly, the information above for the first two of our Holy Mitch Trinity shows how early performances can set perceptions in stone for the rest of a player’s career.

Johnson was inconsistent in his early phase but matured into a tough, reliable bowler who performed well in all conditions, and brilliantly when the stars aligned. Starc was initially inconsistent and maybe a bit passive but he has matured into a resilient and reliable bowler who shines when the going is toughest for his team.

Mitchell Starc (Photo by Matt King-ICC/ICC via Getty Images)

So where is Marsh in all of this?

Well he is 31 now for a start. He has likely given up any thoughts of Test cricket. By all reports he is a good bloke and has a decent cricketing brain. If he puts away the bowling he might even stop getting injured every five minutes.

And in the past two-and-a-half years in T20 internationals he has increased his batting average by six runs (around 25%) while simultaneously increasing his strike rate by nearly 11 per cent. In ODIs over the past six months he has modestly started to head in the same direction – increasing his average by 3.3 and his strike rate by 3.7 per cent.

Maybe Marsh just likes playing India? He averages over 100 against them in seven career one-day matches. Or maybe, just maybe – if we can put aside our perception of the young, inconsistent all-rounder, endlessly picked for Tests on potential – we are witnessing a mature and self-assured Mitchell Marsh making a Mitch-pitch to be our next great limited-overs batsman. Maybe even our next captain?

Legends of the Mitches continues…

The Crowd Says:

AUTHOR

2023-03-22T20:10:29+00:00

matth

Roar Guru


Fair call

2023-03-22T09:55:34+00:00

The Late News

Roar Rookie


Starc's inswinging leg cutter is one of the most lethal deliveries! When he gets it right...almost unstoppable! Isn't it funny how blokes like S Waugh and S Smith who both started as bowlers who could hold a bat both turned out to be gun bats? Yep...cricket is a funny old game Matthew!

2023-03-22T09:18:18+00:00

Rowdy

Roar Rookie


I read this after l posted below

2023-03-22T09:13:36+00:00

Rowdy

Roar Rookie


This much maligned species has had opposition since they first climbed down out of the trees in East Africa's Rift Valley. The lineage is both brittle and brilliant in equal measure. Capable of feats only rarely seen in the animal kingdom they cop their fair share of criticism drifting from the safety of the herd. Critics are miffed they've survived so long but lovers of the beast point to their erratic brilliance. The future could be rosy if only they believed in their capabilities but it's a tough world where nature isn't always kind. --------- Starc needs to be selected for pitches suited to him. If his Pink Test stat's were removed his record is how l feel he's gone. Sorry guys l just don't feel the love for him like Cummins, Hazlewood, Boland. -------- You can present figures whichever way and it's not always a compelling argument. Like the Lesser Waugh v the Greater Waugh argument. Give me Steve any day over Mark. Johnson was almost like Thommo in that he could invade the headspace of the opposition. I've never really sensed the opposition's fear of Starc like Johnson, and to a much greater sense, Thommo. Fair weather cricketers are just not my cup of tea. Give me a fighter everyday of the week.

2023-03-22T08:32:25+00:00

Doctor Rotcod

Roar Rookie


You are of course referring to Cameron Paris, Cameron Inglis and Cameron Bancroft... In the third ODI Marsh and Head have 36/39 from boundaries .

2023-03-22T08:08:06+00:00

Nobody likes a smarta*s

Roar Rookie


Interesting article. On MM, I agree he has given up ambitions to play test cricket. He was never a top 6 test batsman as he is just a hitter a la Botham, (although he was a better hitter). Hence MM is suited to the batsman-friendly white ball stuff, as are Mitchell Agar and Mitchell Zampa, and I put Mitchell Carey in that category as well after his terrible batting in the Indian test series and average of 31 after 19 tests. I would replace Starc with Steven Paris and Carey with Steven Inglis in our real cricket team. And over at the 3rd ODI MM is 9 not and Head 4 not.

2023-03-22T08:01:01+00:00

Micko

Roar Rookie


The last eight years have seen pink ball D/N tests played, so no surprises that Starc's average is a beneficiary of this!

AUTHOR

2023-03-21T10:35:29+00:00

matth

Roar Guru


That was the effect I was going for.

2023-03-21T08:52:40+00:00

Doctor Rotcod

Roar Rookie


Dwarshuis was hard done by? Henriques? Jaques? It could be true that dismissals might be meaningless, especially if you were happy to be back in the sheds and not facing a Mitch, a Dennis or a Courtney for some time to come..

2023-03-21T07:52:45+00:00

Redcap

Roar Guru


"The ‘Mitchell’ is a peculiar species within the ecosystem that is Australian cricket." I read this with a David Attenborough voice in my head for some reason.

2023-03-21T07:26:05+00:00

All day Roseville all day

Roar Guru


NZers are asking where's their left-arm pair Mitchell Santner and Mitchell McClenaghan

2023-03-21T06:59:54+00:00

Choppy Zezers

Roar Rookie


Beautiful. Its the only way to do it.

AUTHOR

2023-03-21T06:45:32+00:00

matth

Roar Guru


A while I did a whole series on players through history and their performances in wins compared to their peers. Every now and then I plagiarize my own articles like this :stoked:

2023-03-21T06:42:20+00:00

Choppy Zezers

Roar Rookie


Bernie aka The Knights Who Say Ni will love this percentage analysis of wins and contributions. Can you do another article on say the Marsh Brotherw and the amount of padded and/or meaningless runs they scored throughout their career? Thats far more interesting and relevant to team success

2023-03-21T06:15:37+00:00

Ace

Roar Rookie


He wishes DTM :laughing:

2023-03-21T02:11:49+00:00

DTM

Roar Rookie


Is Davey Warner's middle name Mitchell?

2023-03-21T00:46:48+00:00

The Bush

Roar Guru


I definitely agree that Starc has suffered from perception not matching reality - he's usually the first one to cop the blame when we struggle with the ball. If he's not playing, that 'honour' usually goes to Lyon. It's much like how some batsmen seem to always cop it whenever there's a collapse, whilst other's manage to avoid scrutiny.

2023-03-21T00:01:50+00:00

Rellum

Roar Guru


How dare you Matt, as someone carrying a Qld passport, leave out Sweppo!!

AUTHOR

2023-03-20T22:45:32+00:00

matth

Roar Guru


I can’t even work out how I got that number now for Starc’s year by year. It should be straight from Cricinfo, but I’ve obviously looked at the wrong page. Thanks for the pick up. I acknowledge Starc’s limitations, the point was more that his early career perception as a bit of a fair weather bowler is not really supported by his all time best stats in losing teams. Each of the two left arm Mitches have perceptions shaped by their early careers.

2023-03-20T22:35:34+00:00

The Bush

Roar Guru


Nice article matth, very intersting. But I don't think this is right: "Plus he has not averaged over 28.2 in any of the last eight years in Tests. Consistently good Mitch." Starc averaged 33.23 in 2021 from 5 tests. He also averaged 33.35 from 9 tests in 2018. So I'm not sure where you're getting your stats from. My issue with Starc is what most people point out; if you remove the pink ball tests, his average climbs quite clearly. He's also somewhat ineffective overseas. Starc has a good record in Sri Lanka, mainly based off of a great performance in 2016, and a good record in the West Indies (so not really of much worth). Other than that, he averages over 30 in every other country. Most disappointingly he averages 50 in India (I sympathise that averages can blow out from single games and he hasn't really ever got to play a whole tour there) and over 30 in England, a bowler's paradise in the time he's played. For these reasons, I think Starc's record is a little inflated. If you compare him to his contemporary, Hazlewood, there are similarities; Hazlewood also struggles overseas with modest returns in New Zealand, South Africa and Sri Lanka (unsurprisingly he also did well in the Windies though). But for me, the key difference is he averaged 32 in India in 2017, which is really good for a quick and he averages 23 in England. As these are our main rivals, it's clear that he's been far more valuable during key away tours. I think Hazlewood would have been quite useful in India just recently and we missed a trick in not using Boland to the same effect.

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