Pim will get us there, but how much further?
By Dan J-B, 16 Feb 2009 Dan J-B is a Roar Rookie
If, as Frank Lowy has repeatedly reiterated, the sole aim of Pim Verbeek’s appointment to the post of Australian coach was to ensure a safe passage to South Africa 2010, then the team’s impending qualification should rubber-stamp the Dutchman’s tenure as a success.
Yet, as a ticket to South Africa looms, the focus – and thus the measure of Verbeek’s success – must broaden. Yes, Australian will compete in the next World Cup. But once there, what level of damage are they realistically capable of inflicting? On the basis of recent performances, not much.
Verbeek’s modest recent run not only paints a bleak World Cup picture for the Socceroos, but eerily resembles the haunted legacy of Dutch coaches. Almost as a matter of habit, Dutch managers have led the horse to water, but failed to make it drink.
Guus Hiddink, for all his genius, has failed to turn fairytales into trophies. Likewise, Marco Van Basten inexplicably failed to translate a squad laden with talent and guile into any form of material success.
So what of Verbeek?
Is he, like those before him, pre-destined for relative underachievement? Can he avoid such a fate? Yes he can.
Pim’s problems are entirely self-induced. They lie not with fiscal inadequacies, squad-based deficiencies or hierarchical interference. Thus, they are imminently fixable.
With neither an iron axe nor a blunt knife, Verbeek must seek to adjust his rigid thought processes. His unabashed loyalty to a 4-2-3-1 system has suffocated Australia’s ability to control and subsequently score. Excluding the four goals pushed passed an abysmal Qatari outfit, the Socceroos have scored just twice in the final stage of World Cup Qualification.
Perhaps more alarming than the scarcity of goals is the bizarre and inconsistent nature of the strikes. Marco Bresciano’s 11th hour sealer against Bahrain and right-back Scott Chipperfield’s headed winner against Uzbekistan were neither conventional nor intricately planned.
Whilst this may suggest an obvious offensive fragility, in truth the problems lie further down the pitch. The loss of Brett Emerton and Harry Kewell appear to have frightened their left and right-sided partners – Chipperfield and Luke Wilkshere respectively – into engaging in any form of productive forward enterprise. This timidness has adversely affected Tim Cahill, leaving the ‘striker’ hopelessly isolated and effectively useless. Furthermore, with Emerton gone, Verbeek has been forced to extradite his most under-rated attacking weapon, Jason Culina, into an unfamiliar role on the right-hand side of midfield.
Culina presents an interesting case. His technical nous and calm demeanor have gradually overshadowed – and eventually suppressed- the attacking qualities that flourished during his time at FC Twente. Verbeek must resurrect, and subsequently promote, these attributes. This will ultimately lead to a re-shuffle of Verbeek’s favorite, and perhaps only, system.
But it needn’t be drastic.
Vince Grella, or Carl Valeri if required, can occupy the lone defensive midfield postion, thus allowing Culina to partner Cahill in the centre of a newly-formed midfield quartet. Until Mark Viduka overcomes his injury concerns, Josh Kennedy should -and ably can – occupy the target striker position. With a simple shift in thinking, and the benefit of a healthy squad, Verbeek can effectively triple his goal-scoring options. It seems almost too simple.
Whether or not the Dutchman chooses to emerge from his creative hibernation remains to be seen. But what Verbeek must acknowledge is that qualification alone is simply not enough any more. If he forgets this, I – with the entire Australian sporting public – should fear the worst.
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sheek said | February 16th 2009 @ 12:05pm | Report comment
An old boss advised me (when dealing with management) never to fire all my bullets in the first salvo. Or to mangle another cliche, always keep some of your powder dry for later on.
What sense would it make for Pim to show his full hand now, merely to satisfy doubting fans? This is the first world cup in which we’ve needed to qaulify through Asia. So this has been a learning curve for everyone. Let’s negoiate this first, before worrying about how we’re going to tackle the world cup.
Wouldn’t Pim look stupid worrying about his world cup strategy/tactics while stuffing up the qualification!!! Once we’ve qualified for the world cup, & we know who our pool opponents are, we can move to the next phase.
I give Pim credit for knowing what he’s doing. It’s like ramping up a rachet. We’re on level one now. Come to the world cup we move to level 2 – another comp, different squad (some of), different strategy & tactics.
To paraphrase John Lennon – “give Pim a chance”.
Slippery Jim said | February 16th 2009 @ 4:10pm | Report comment
Please…do you think we should expect to win the world cup or something? If we manage two wins this time round instead of one I’ll view it as a fantastic achievement. A gentle reminder that Australia is (whisper this part) not actually that great at football compared to the clubs that will make the world cup.
Midfielder said | February 16th 2009 @ 4:36pm | Report comment
Dan
First you qualify them you plan how to play at the WC …. listen if not to me then Spider on TWG when he told Fozzie to … join the real world when it comes to oplaying qualifer’s away..
Pim will get it right on the day …. why…. because Obie One appointed him and I have a lot of faith in Obie One I guess you don’t … and maybe the FFA are not watching …. come to think about I can’t recall the last time any major sporting body provided their throughts on a game by game match by match basic…mate you have no idea what is going on just stiring a pot or believing all the SBS stuff and spellbound under Fozzie’s no skill folder.
My best answe is to copy a post I did in Con’s article … as follows …. Loved the thread Con and the posts that followed …. I am more a pragmatist than a dreamer . My dream is to give football a wide spread acceptance by the Australian public and moreover in the mainstream media. My dream is simple but I am also a realist and to achieve my dream I must sacrifice some of my grander ambitions, as we are in for a very hard slog over the next 10 years especially the next four given the size of our media deal.
To achieve my dream after decades of inept mismanagement against well entrenched assumptions and rival codes .. and the management of the media in the past hostile to football and given everyone is in the end about protecting their job (including AFL / NRL people) in the media. A massive an extremely difficult task….
The only area of football that can fight on somewhat equal terms (and even then only recently) with the other football codes is the World Cup.. I think soon to the Asian Cup… Success by the Socceroos in making the 2010 WC is SSSOOOO important at many levels, including by not restricted too, any hope of success in the 2022 WC bid, media space, provide the code marketable product for the next media deal, a great help for our still small domestic competition…
If we make the next WC the TV audience will amaze TV executives … but so much hangs on actually getting there … so I am prepared as many other countries do and play UGLY especially away to make the WC.
After we have made it then we can entertain a little … whether or not we beat Japan playing ” the beautiful way” each time we play them is a dream of mind also … but my greater Dream is to develop football and that means IMO doing everything we need to to make the WC.
NOW for the most important bit … making the 2010 WC will greatly assist holding Hal together and will ensure a FTA media deal in four years… Hmmmmmm … why so important Midfielder….. WELL it’s that technical thing we all know needs improvement … a FTA media deal will do two things to greatly help the ……. “”” TECHNICAL THING”””” …. first it will provide extra funding to develop…BUT most importantly with the correct choice of co commenter (Ross Alosis / Bozza spring to mind here) FTA TV commentator’s will talk about shape positioning as well as how to improve individual technical skill … broadcast over the air ways with instant replays, this will do more than anything else to improve the overall skill level of our players.
So given my many dreams which is the most important … well its obvious making the WC … but the realist in me tells me I must be pragmatic and that I cannot have all my dreams at once … but my main dream will make all my other dreams possible…
As an aside … in the opinion of SBS… James Troisi, is now our most gifted play maker … I have been going on about this kid almost as much as Jes has with NC http://theworldgame.sbs.com.au/blogs/twg-deputy-editor/top-10-aussies-abroad-right-now-167943/ I say this as it rates James Troisi on form as the fourth best Aussie playing abroad.
dasilva said | February 16th 2009 @ 6:34pm | Report comment
I know Pim got a lot of stick for playing Cahill as a sole striker. Although I believe Cahill can be a great striker for the socceroos. I once pin it as he shouldn’t be a sole striker but have someone else to play off with.
However having read Timmy comment on the game he brought out an interesting point. He said that in that game when he was attempting to win headers, the referee often believes that Tim Cahill was fouling the oppositions as he is reliant on out jumping the japanese due to lack of height. He said that in hte EPL they often wouldn’t consider it as a foul and so he ends up dominating the match (watch Everton vs Bolton where Cahill was aerially dominant against far more taller and stronger defenders then what he faced against Japan for the entire match playing as a superb target man for Everton). He wasn’t able to do this against Japan due to different interpretations of the rules.
So perhaps the sole striker experiment from Cahill shouldn’t be ditch altogether. He may play a good role in that position at the world cup.
After all – watching Kennedy playing very poorly against Bahrain losing the aerial challenge compounded with his poor form for his clubs doesn’t give me that much confidence.
Joe FC said | February 16th 2009 @ 7:19pm | Report comment
-”qualification alone is simply not enough any more”..wrong Dan. Whether we like it or not Pim’s job is to get us to Sth Africa, nothing more nothing less. The FFA and specifically its management committee is responsible for the long term development of Australian football. You have nothing to fear Dan, football in this country is in good hands.
Koala Bear said | February 17th 2009 @ 8:09am | Report comment
Dan,
excellent article and I am one of those who ” I – with the entire Australian sporting public – should fear the worst. ” …
If you practice and play with bad habits .. it will be damn near impossible to break the habit come the WC games … We are going to come home early at this rate … No fault of the players but the entire Coaching staff will have to take the blame…
~~~~~~~~
KB
Millster said | February 17th 2009 @ 1:05pm | Report comment
I take an opposing view to the one in the article and to the one that I know our friend and fellow blogger KB takes. Correspondingly, I think Middie is spot on.
Australia has only qualified twice for a WC. Only twice. Once in a diffferent era, and the second time by the absolute skin of our penalty-taking teeth. We cannot, should not, must not fall into the trap of assuming a right to a place at that level and talking of structuring for what we do when we are there.
We are only just around the #30 spot in world rankings. And we have certainly not demonstrated that we are manifestly better than any Asian Confederation opponent except Qatar.
For me it will take Australia consistently qualifying for the next 4-5 tournaments – yes 20 years – before I allow myself to have any higher expectations. While emotionally I would like us to match our 2006 performance, rationally I know we are not a top 16 team and I refuse to see it as a failure if we do not repeat that performance. It is strictly and absolutely NOT ‘coming home early’ for Australia to bow out after 3 group games given where we are in the footballing world. To just be there 4 or 5 consecutive times, to start being part of the club of countries that people ‘expect to be there’ is plenty enough success for me given our history and circumstances.
Though not the main thrust of my thoughts, also consider the TV rights implications of 4-5 world cup finals appearances and the corresponding stream of investments into our game, against the alternative scenario of our having sporadic appearances or – even worse – another long period of not qualifying at all. A world cup spot every 4 years for the next 20 will have immeasurable positive impact across the whole of Australian football.
So guys I say lets not be immature, lets not wish for too much and risk destroying what we have. Whatever it takes is what I say,… whatever it takes to consolidate our current path and set ourselves up for that next step in quality and rank when we are ready, in another generation or two.
Pim is doing a fine job for the Socceroos of today and I applaud him for it.
dasilva said | February 17th 2009 @ 1:15pm | Report comment
Millster
If we weren’t bidding for the World Cup 2018/2022
Then i would agree with you
The fact that we are bidding means that we have to prove to the world that we are not a footballing backwaters and last World Cup is no fluke.
How we do in this world cup will go a long way in whether we will win the bid or not.
I believe that Australia has to outperform Japan, South korea, Mexico and most critically USA at the next world cup and ideally at least making it to the knock out stages for Australia to have a chance in winning the 2022 bid.
Millster said | February 17th 2009 @ 1:32pm | Report comment
Das – with my heart I hope for the same. With my head I know that if we set that expectation then we have to brace for disappointment. We are simply not that good yet as a footballing nation. Rankings aside I would not bet on Australia consistently beating any of the nations you have listed. At best we are just getting within reach of that group.
Koala Bear said | February 17th 2009 @ 7:01pm | Report comment
Millster,
I have always been the extreme optimist when the Roos played under past managers of the likes of: starting from Rasic (1974) and all between to Hiddink (well not all) .. But for the first time in my life I can not and will not support this man our suposably Australian Football Supremo.. Pimbo .. (tho I hope he gets us to the 2010 WC) His style of football is pathetically boring and he chooses players who should not be there … His squad players are all full time professionals and should have swept aside all in Asia with style and with complete dominance… His over baring cautious no risk taking as he puts it; is killing Australian Football…
~~~~~~~~
KB