Laying down the odds for Hussey’s replacement
By Ryan O'Connell, 22 Jan 2013 Ryan O'Connell is a Roar Expert
- Tagged:
- Brad Hodge, Cricket, Michael Hussey, Test cricket
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Michael Hussey waves to fans after retiring from Test cricket for Australia (Image: AP Photo/Rob Griffith)
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Australia depart for India in 16 days’ time, yet the make-up of the Test top six is far from settled. While there remain many questions about the batting, the most obvious one still revolves around who will replace Mike Hussey.
Worryingly, it’s also the question most removed from an answer.
As little as two weeks ago, the vast majority of Australia would have had Usman Khawaja pencilled in to fill ‘Mr Cricket’s’ spikes.
That appeared to have included the individuals who count the most – the selectors – as Uzzy was in the Test squad for Sydney, and then chosen in the One Day International team as well.
However two weeks is a long time in cricket, and the mixed messages from the national selection panel indicate Khawaja is no certainty to fill the vacant spot in the batting order.
If we’ve learnt anything about the cricket media, it’s that, generally, where there is smoke, there is fire. Keeping that in mind, one simply cannot ignore the growing whispers that Khawaja may not earn a spot in the Australia Test team.
Combine those whispers with the fact Khawaja was axed from the 50 over team after just one game, and you begin to feel the metaphorical smoke is coming from an inferno.
That’s not to say Khawaja definitively won’t earn a recall, but it’s clear his selection is far from a fait accompli.
Who else is in the mix? It might take up less space to list who’s not in contention.
It seems like almost everyone has a different opinion on who should replace Mike Hussey, and the suggestions have ranged from wise to ridiculous.
Further increasing his ‘strange’ credentials, Shane Warne even nominated veteran Brad Hodge as a potential candidate. It was yet further evidence Warne doesn’t quite understand the definition of ‘retired’.
Though it seems he’s not alone, as Hodge announced yesterday he’s contemplating a return to first class cricket in a bid to make the Ashes tour. Yes, I’m serious. Evidently, so is he.
Proving all those annoying and intrusive gambling ads have infiltrated my brain, I thought I’d list some of the candidates and their odds of Test selection.
Usman Khawaja
Despite all the chit chat, and his 50 over axing – sorry, ‘informed player management’ – Khawaja is surely still the favourite. It’s all been said before, but Uzzy has a good technique, a great temperament and looks every bit a Test batsman.
Odds: 2/1
George Bailey
Australia’s T20 skipper has fans in high places, and I don’t just mean Cricket Australia. The Fox Sports commentators, particularly Greg Blewett, constantly push Bailey’s chances, and the media can be extremely influential in such matters. Bailey is a big chance.
Odds: 3/1
Glenn Maxwell
Maxwell is an unbelievable fielder, but I don’t think two of his core cricket skills – batting and bowling – are up to Test standard yet. However, the selectors are enamoured with all-rounders, and the fact Maxwell is a spinning one has him in the frame for India.
Odds: 5/1
David Hussey
At 35 years of age, it appeared as though the junior Hussey’s Test chances had passed him by. Yet ironically, with Australia losing the experience of Ricky Ponting and older brother Mike, David’s negative has become a positive: the Test team could do with a veteran in the middle order. And considering Hussey is one of the best players of spin in the country, it would be a shrewd move to include him on a tour of India.
Odds: 6/1
Rob Quiney
‘Mr Sheen’ was in the team just four Tests ago, so you’d have to believe he’s still in the selectors’ minds. With Shane Watson making himself available as a batsman only, and Quiney’s bowling (bizarrely) rated, a recall may not be out of the question as a pseudo all-rounder.
Odds: 8/1
Alex Doolan
I’ll be honest, I haven’t watched nearly enough of Doolan to have a solid opinion on him. What I do know is he scored an unbeaten 161 for Australia A against South Africa, which means he’s in the selectors’ minds, and he performed when given his representative chance. That should, and does, matter.
Odds: 9/1
Brad Haddin
The fact he’s injured and a wicket-keeper is far outweighed by how respected he is by people that matter. He’s a legitimate chance to be selected as a specialist batsman.
Odds: 9/1
Shaun Marsh
Unquestionably talented, highly rated by influential people, and with a tremendous Big Bash tournament, Marsh has come back into reckoning for international honours. Yet one would hope his terrible Sheffield Shield season also comes into consideration.
Odds: 12/1
Adam Voges
Talented, no doubt, and his T2O selection is proof he has not been forgotten. But if the selectors want experience, there are better candidates. Conversely, if they’re seeking potential, Voges, surpringly, is now 33 years old.
Odds: 15/1
Callum Ferguson
Elegant and stylish, ‘Fergy’ is a joy to watch when in-form. He still lacks the big scores and gaudy average that absolutely demand selection, but I have no doubt he’s up to Test cricket. However, he does seem to have fallen down the pecking order.
Odds: 18/1
Joe Burns
I’m an unabashed fan of Burns. I think he has a good technique, excellent footwork, all the shots, and oozes class. I’d love to see the selectors take a chance on him, or at least get him around the Australia set-up, but I think he’s at fairly long odds to replace ‘The Huss’ outright.
Odds: 20/1
Marcus North
Peter Roebuck once stated North was a ‘worse starter than pea soup’, such was his propensity to lose his wicket early. However, North does have five Test centuries to his name, so if the selectors want experience, he’s a definite option.
Odds: 30/1
Michael Klinger
Klinger’s temperament, technique and maturity are made for Test cricket, but as a career opener, I don’t think he’s seriously considered as a middle order option, nor is he a spring chicken.
Odds: 50/1
Brad Hodge
You’d have to travel far and wide to find a bigger Brad Hodge fan than me. To say he was treated unfairly by Australian selectors is an understatement on par with saying Miranda Kerr is not ugly. But Hodge is 38 years of age. It’s just not going to happen.
Odds: 10,000/1
So, ladies and gentlemen, place your bets.
Ryan is an ex-representative basketballer who shot too much, and a (very) medium pace bowler. He's been with The Roar as an expert since February 2011, has written for the Seven Network and NBA Down Under, and been a regular on ABC radio. Ryan tweets from @RyanOak.
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- Explore:
- Brad Hodge, Cricket, Michael Hussey, Test cricket

January 22nd 2013 @ 5:21am
AndyMack said | January 22nd 2013 @ 5:21am | Report comment
Hi ROC
The sad part is I (and prob most people) can come up with reasons why each of these guys is not good enough for Test cricket.
The fact that the 2nd favourite in your list cannot even average 40 in first class cricket highlights this.
UTK should be a walkup, and I think maybe Burns could be an option, especially with ashes series coming up, he might do OK.
January 22nd 2013 @ 9:39am
Jake said | January 22nd 2013 @ 9:39am | Report comment
Michael Clarke averaged 37 in FC before he was selected for Aus over his first 4 seasons.
January 22nd 2013 @ 10:28am
Ryan O'Connell said | January 22nd 2013 @ 10:28am | Report comment
Very true Andy, but there is no one averaging 50+ and dominating Shield cricket who is an automatic selection. Desperate times call for desperate measures, and that may mean selecting someone with a sub 40 first class average.
January 22nd 2013 @ 7:05pm
AndyMack said | January 22nd 2013 @ 7:05pm | Report comment
Yes I agree. Just pointing out it is sad.
And Jake, Pup was about 22/23 from memory, with a truckload of potential, not sure bailey is in the same category, he is the wrong side of 30 to be picked on “potential”.
January 23rd 2013 @ 9:41am
Common sense said | January 23rd 2013 @ 9:41am | Report comment
D Hussey averages 55 – and is officially the player with the highest FC average outside of India never to have played a Test
January 23rd 2013 @ 9:52am
Red Kev said | January 23rd 2013 @ 9:52am | Report comment
Unfortunately for you mr common sense, D Hussey is averaging 17 this shield season and has a known weakness against the short ball (beautifully exposed by Malinga last match – it is the perfect and almost guaranteed way to get D.Hussey’s wicket – push him back in the crease with chin music then bowl him a full wide one and get him to chase it for an edge behind). He might be an acceptable stop-gap for the Indian series but he would be a liability in the Ashes, selecting him would be very poor planning.
January 22nd 2013 @ 8:09am
jamesb said | January 22nd 2013 @ 8:09am | Report comment
Hey Ryan
Australia may need to look for a replacement for someone like Cowan as well, which means out of that group of players you listed, Australia may need to select two batsman, instead of one.
My top three to be selected would be Khawaja, Bailey and Dussey. Although knowing Invers, he’ll probably select Maxwell Sheffield, or pluck someone like Mark Cosgrove or Luke Pomersbach. Pity Mr Cricket retired. Imagine Huss and Cosgrove running between the wickets together. LOL
Quiney, North, Hodge,Klinger, Ferguson no chance. Ferguson is prone to been bowled or LBW. S.Marsh did make a century and a 80 against Sri Lanka on sub continental deck, so I haven’t ruled him out completely with Australia touring India.
Doolan and Burns need more time and runs on the board. Burns IMO, is one player to look out for. Voges is the dark horse. Has a chance in a Shield game starting this Thursday with NSW taking on WA, while SA play Vic.
Last but not least, Haddin. The way Wade keeps, maybe have Wade as a specialist batsman at 6, and have Haddin as keeper.
PS: Is Miranda Kerr still with Orlando Bloom?
January 22nd 2013 @ 10:29am
Ryan O'Connell said | January 22nd 2013 @ 10:29am | Report comment
If Watson takes Cowan’s opening spot, then yes, two of the above batsmen will be selected. I think it then gets VERY interesting.
Kerr and Bloom are having some troubles. She popped over last night, shoulder to cry on, etc, etc.
January 22nd 2013 @ 8:17am
Christo the Daddyo said | January 22nd 2013 @ 8:17am | Report comment
What I would love to know is why Khawaja is on the nose with the selectors. It’s one of the great mysteries of Australian cricket.
Why was he rotated out of the ODI team after just one game when others (e.g. Henriques) have been given multiple games?
January 22nd 2013 @ 10:29am
Ryan O'Connell said | January 22nd 2013 @ 10:29am | Report comment
He was also run out in that game, if I’m not mistaken, so it’s not exactly a fair analysis of his form.
January 22nd 2013 @ 11:45am
Christo the Daddyo said | January 22nd 2013 @ 11:45am | Report comment
Yes, and that run out was only partially his fault!
January 22nd 2013 @ 8:25am
A1 said | January 22nd 2013 @ 8:25am | Report comment
At those odds I’ll have 50 bucks on Uzzy. 10 on Maxwell and 1 on Hodge. But I’d take Uzzy if I was a selector.
And why have you called Quiney “Mr Sheen”?
January 22nd 2013 @ 10:30am
Ryan O'Connell said | January 22nd 2013 @ 10:30am | Report comment
Think about it, A1.
(Hint: How was one of Quiney’s innings’ described?)
January 22nd 2013 @ 11:07pm
A1 said | January 22nd 2013 @ 11:07pm | Report comment
I’m an idiot. Nice one. Very polished.
January 22nd 2013 @ 8:55am
Red Kev said | January 22nd 2013 @ 8:55am | Report comment
The fact the selectors need to consider this decision is worrying to be honest, Khawaja is head, shoulders and wang length above the other candidates for test cricket. The only thing on the selectors’ minds should be if they want to take Watson for the first two tests before he goes home or give him the entire Indian tour off.
January 22nd 2013 @ 9:16am
Cameron Rose said | January 22nd 2013 @ 9:16am | Report comment
Your first sentence sums it up perfectly Red Kev.
The second sentence was pretty good too!
January 22nd 2013 @ 9:12am
Cameron Rose said | January 22nd 2013 @ 9:12am | Report comment
For a start, as many have said in these pages, it has to be Khawaja. If he isn’t picked, it will merely confirm that the NSP is made up of people with multiple personalities.
Firstly, he’s the best option. Secondly, he was the reserve batsman in the test squad for Melbourne and Sydney to cover for Michael Clarke, so what sort of message does it send if the player who was identified as the man to cover the best batsmen in the country is then ignored when a real replacement is needed.
Outside that, if we’re going to pluck another player, err on the side of youth. Therefore, Joe Burns should be the option. Bailey, Ferguson, Quiney, Doolan – these guys have been around long enough and haven’t knocked down the door. D.Hussey has missed the boat unfortunately for him. Haddin – no.
As for Maxwell, I was trusting the selectors instincts and judgement when throwing his name around. Hmmm.
January 22nd 2013 @ 10:31am
Ryan O'Connell said | January 22nd 2013 @ 10:31am | Report comment
Nothing the NSP does surprises me anymore!
In fact, that’s an outright lie from me. Almost everything they do surprises me!
January 22nd 2013 @ 4:34pm
sheek said | January 22nd 2013 @ 4:34pm | Report comment
Ryan – “Almost everything they [NSP] do surprises me!”
I like that…..
January 22nd 2013 @ 9:12am
Sanjay said | January 22nd 2013 @ 9:12am | Report comment
Khawaja has to be the man replacing Hussey. Bailey and David Hussey have failed misreably against the swining ball in the ODIs reaffirming for me that Khawaja has to be the man to take Mike Hussey’s spot in the coming Indian series and the ashes. Second best in shield and averaging 40 with 450 runs in shield where most of his runs came on tough bowler friendly decks(tougher then what we saw in the last few games) Khawaja would have been invaluable today and its time to give him a fair run at the position. David Hussey is averaging 17 and Baiely 25 which doesn’t comare with Khawaja. Maxwell’s walking footwork in Adelaide was destined to end in an outside edge and so it proved, while Hussey’s outstanding first-class career figures do not reveal the lack of certainty and security against the short ball that was exposed during last year’s World Twenty20 semi-final against the West Indies and was underlined by Lasith Malinga at the SCG.
January 22nd 2013 @ 9:21am
Pies&Beer said | January 22nd 2013 @ 9:21am | Report comment
In terms of ability and performance (with the dots representing the gap between one player to another)
Khawaja
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Bailey/Doolan/Burns
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Hussey/Haddin/Ferguson
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Hodge
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Maxwell
January 22nd 2013 @ 9:31am
Bayman said | January 22nd 2013 @ 9:31am | Report comment
It looks like Maxwell’s hopes have been dashed……..or is that dotted?
January 22nd 2013 @ 11:02am
Sanjay said | January 22nd 2013 @ 11:02am | Report comment
David Hussey was a good batsman but at present looks out of his depth aainst the moving ball and quality bouncers. He faced an out-swinging delivery on Sunday against the Sri Lankans and you can see EACH of his 3 stumps because his feet are outside the line of leg stump. Bailey’s biggest sin was not going on when he was set. Usman who was standby batsman in two Tests this summer, his 440 shield runs at 40 in sheild and this stacks up ver well against Hussey who has 120 at 17 and Bailey who has 169 runs at 28.16 in shield cricket. Khawaja was also was not in bad touch in an ordinary team, Sydney Thunder, in the BBL, rolling out 206 runs at 41. Khawaja should be now at the top of the queue for the Indian series but I would still take David Hussey as backup batsman as he is better then Maxwell.
January 22nd 2013 @ 7:50pm
Sunil said | January 22nd 2013 @ 7:50pm | Report comment
Thank you Invererity for your rotation of players so far, they need toughening up, all they are doing is breaking down, Maxwell in???wasn’t Khawaja on standby for Clarke before? To offer cheap tickets as a build up is a joke as well, the whole ODI series is a joke and to think the West Indies will be here to play us they must be laughing all the way at the stupidity of the selectors and their rotations……Clarke you started out well as captain but you need to show less favoritism in your selections, give khawaja half the chances Hughes has had
January 22nd 2013 @ 10:20pm
Jammel said | January 22nd 2013 @ 10:20pm | Report comment
Haha – agreed!
January 22nd 2013 @ 9:28am
Anon said | January 22nd 2013 @ 9:28am | Report comment
If everyone were fit and healthy.
Andrew McDonald would’ve fitted in a treat at 6 or 7.
I’m glad at least that no one is pushing Steve Smith as a #6 batter (but, still, just reinforces the massive folly of his elevation to that role in a do or die Ashes test 3 years ago).
Actually a test batter who bowled a bit who hasn’t played for 4 odd years – knocked up 88 the other day opening in the BBL, and 229 in a District game on the weekend – - in this spurt of form he perhaps is suffering because there are no first class matches being played presently.
January 22nd 2013 @ 10:33am
Ryan O'Connell said | January 22nd 2013 @ 10:33am | Report comment
To channel Phil Gould. . . No, no, no, no, no! No Cam White!
January 22nd 2013 @ 11:37am
Brett McKay said | January 22nd 2013 @ 11:37am | Report comment
Anon, if McDonald was five years younger, maybe even only three years younger, I’d absolutely agree with you about McDonald going to India. I think he’d be very handy over there…
January 22nd 2013 @ 12:08pm
The Dish said | January 22nd 2013 @ 12:08pm | Report comment
I think McDonald would have had a very good chance for both the India and England tours regardless of his age if it wasn’t for his injuries.
January 24th 2013 @ 3:24am
Baggy_Green said | January 24th 2013 @ 3:24am | Report comment
Think of it situation wise…OZ would need Watson and Warner at the top to start aggressively against the weak indian bowling attack..that would be half the job done..Hughes is doing well at 3 and Clarke at 5, so leave them there.Khawaja is the 1 and only choice for no 4 spot..wade is best at 7 though he is a terrific bat and personality IMO…that leaves only the no 6 spot vacant …. for that i would like to suggest Mark Cosgrove …give the guy some responsibilty and a specific role…he sure has the experience, class and the record to pull it off.. i strongly doubt though that its gonna be George Bailey !!!!
Also take Burns and Doolan with the team to give them exposure….
An awesome line-up of batsmen is coming up though – Maddinson , Patterson , Lynn , Burns, Handscomb , Marcus Harris , Scott Henry and Travis Head ….
January 22nd 2013 @ 9:30am
Dan said | January 22nd 2013 @ 9:30am | Report comment
He’s mr sheen because of his “polished 9″ in his first test.
If khawaja isn’t picked invers has gone M.A.D.
Big fan of burns too, looks the goods.
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January 22nd 2013 @ 7:54pm
Sunil said | January 22nd 2013 @ 7:54pm | Report comment
Khawaja and burns are 2 of our future star batsman