2013 rugby: Where do the priorities lie?
By FantasyTips1, 25 Jan 2013 FantasyTips1 is a Roar Rookie
Australia's fly half Kurtley Beale scores a try in the final seconds to win the match between Wales and Australia at the Millennium Stadium, in Cardiff, Wales, on December 1, 2012. Australia won the match 14-12. (AFP Photo / Paul Ellise)
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Last year was jam-packed on the rugby front to the point that even I, a confessed rugby addict, found it difficult to muster up the effort to sit through the European tour.
You know life is tough when it pains me to spend more time on the couch and don’t get me wrong, I like nothing better than having the down and out Wallabies upset the Poms on their home turf and pip the Welsh at the finish line one more time to cap off the year.
It appears I have the memory of a gold fish, as I no doubt spent more of 2011 staring at the box watching blokes ruck and maul around a field, given it was a World Cup year. However, I digress.
Much discussion and argument has been publicised about the player management for the upcoming Lions tour and the subsequent Wallabies fixtures to take place later in the year.
Michael Cheika blew a gasket last week, following the Wallabies logistics camp whereby he was promised no physical activity was to be undertaken.
Apparently playing touch against a bunch of backpackers doesn’t constitute physical activity. In my experience, whenever backpackers are involved in touching one another, it results in an inordinate amount of physical exertion.
The result of playing catch and kiss with some English backpackers was a rolled ankle to the much improved Kane Douglas, cutting his pre-season by two weeks.
Cheika wasn’t finding the humour or value in the exercise and tactfully commented the repercussions were “hard to swallow”. It again highlights the importance of player management and how to best plan for the year ahead for Australian Rugby.
It’s become apparent in Australian cricket that rotation policies in teams seem to be to the detriment of the on-going rhythm and cohesion of the team. Drawing comparisons between two very different sports can be hazardous, but you would imagine the same possible outcome is quite likely if rugby were to employ the same tactics.
There is an argument to be made that this allows for up-and-comers to break it in the big time, get their names known to the general public and gain invaluable experience. This tends to be the main justification of having such a strategy, together with allowing players to rest up and overcome those on-going niggles.
I agree there is certain merit in rotating players but at what expense? As Australian Ruby recently appointed a new chairman from a business background, I thought it would be apt to look at this from a business point of view.
In essence, it’s a fairly basic cost/benefit analysis and the fundamentals of the mission ahead come down to the primary objectives the ARU and rugby community wish to achieve.
James Horwill mentioned at the beginning of last year the number one goal of the Wallabies was to become the top ranked nation. While I’m a big supporter of Horwill, I found this goal to be a bit too vague.
It wasn’t really hitting the nail on the head as to how the Wallabies plan on achieving this (other than the obvious, perhaps winning every game). I find myself oblivious to the key priority for the year ahead.
There are four main events for the 15-a-side game; the Super Rugby title, the Lions tour, Bledisloe and Rugby Championship.
The vast majority are going to say nailing the Lions 3-zip would see them content, while not overwhelmed with joy. I think it has to be realised that focusing on this one achievement is going to have detrimental consequences that are being overlooked.
Namely, are the Australian rugby community going to be content winning the Lions series but again failing to bring home the Bledisloe Cup and/or the Rugby championship title?
How will be look back on the 2013 should we lose the Lions series but somehow manage to achieve what has seemingly become impossible – beating the All Blacks twice at home and preventing Zac Guilford from trying to fill the cup to the brim, scull and find himself being yet another news item.
The above points focus on the achievements and tournaments surrounding the Wallabies, but maybe overlook Australian rugby as a whole.
One can even extend the question to what many would consider the unfathomable: What if an Australian team managed two teams in the Super Rugby finals and managed to somehow win the trophy back?
Cheika and Ewen McKenzie have had a bit to say about the Super Rugby versus Wallabies trade off, and are firmly against the idea to quarantine any Wallabies for the three weeks leading into the mid-season fixtures.
It’s a valid point that by doing this, the Super Rugby sides aren’t going to be putting the best team on the park and get the results they are capable of achieving.
The relationship between Super Rugby and international rugby isn’t so much symbiotic as it is parasitic. That is to say, success in international rugby doesn’t necessarily lead toward success at Super Rugby but rather it is being touted as unfavourable.
It’s rational to say success at Super Rugby does make it more likely to achieve greater success on the international stage.
For those who are more numerically inclined, since the beginning of the tri-nations, the country that has won the Super competition has gone on to win the international tournament 12 of the 17 times. While that passes the sniff test for most of us, looking at that statistically shows there is a fairly distinct correlation between the two.
So I pose the question, at what point do we write off any chance of a Super team succeeding in the year to come to give ourselves the best chance in the international fixtures? Where does the equilibrium lie between making sure we as Australians are no longer seen as the weakest link of Super Rugby, while also ensuring we can stick it to the British and Kiwis before the year is out?
After a year of nail-biting and constant bickering, any one of the trophies for next year will leave me satisfied but I realise I’m generally not the greediest of supporters. I am a Reds supporter, and went through a long decade of disappointment before I could jump around and ‘accidently’ spill a large lick of my beer on the surrounding Waratahs supporters in 2011.
I think everyone has reached the common understanding that some sort of strategy needs to be put in place, particularly after we ran out of seats in the injury ward this past season. I noticed the point made in a comment earlier this week that the strategy should have been in place long before now, but better late than never.
Perhaps there is a plan but scouring rugby article after rugby article, I’m at a loss to guess what that is (unless the plan is to leave everyone in the dark, whereby they would be doing a stellar job).
Generally the best laid plans have the ultimate goal in mind other than ‘win everything and take over the world’. It seems that performing at the rate the All Blacks manage is most likely out of reach this year, so if we had to sacrifice one or possible two of the four main events, which are they going to be?
The Insider’s article from Tuesday Provinces must realise Wallabies come first highlights the public’s general underlying consensus.
With the direct relationship between a successful Super Rugby campaign and a triumphant international season, maybe sacrificing provincial rugby isn’t going to achieve that ultimate goal.
I have come up with one solution: if we were to kidnap Brad Thorn, clone him on Australian soil, ensure all offspring (including the girls) play rugby, in future the rotation of players wouldn’t be required.
This strategy might struggle to really impact on next season. So I guess back to the drawing board.
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January 25th 2013 @ 2:26pm
DamoHworth said | January 25th 2013 @ 2:26pm | Report comment
The priority, in order, for me is: Lions, Bledisloe, RC, S15.
At this point I think we’ll struggle to win any of them, with the Lions being the most likely (primarily due to their issues at 9/10).
The ARU should have been planning for the Lions Tour for the last 18 months. A big part of this would be ensuring that the Wallabies can train together for a decent length of time in preparation.
Rugby had great exposure here in the early naughties off the back of the previous Lions tour and the RWC. This tour is a perfect opportunity to try and recapture some of that magic and highlight the biggest strength of union, the international comp. This means the Wallabies need to be competitive, even if it causes the provinces to struggle.
January 25th 2013 @ 3:04pm
formeropenside said | January 25th 2013 @ 3:04pm | Report comment
I didnt see much consensus in the comments to the Insider’ article.
January 25th 2013 @ 3:23pm
Jonah said | January 25th 2013 @ 3:23pm | Report comment
If wallabies keep injuries down they will come close against lions but this lions series will be a forward orientated affair and that may pose wallaby forwards probs cant see lions backs running around wallabies so might be won on penalties
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January 25th 2013 @ 3:48pm
Hoy said | January 25th 2013 @ 3:48pm | Report comment
I would be very torn if we were to win the Lions and come last/second last in the RC. Conversely if we were to lose to the Lions yet win back the Beldisloe, whilst a little happy, I still wouldn’t be super satisfied. That last scenario is probably far away in the distance. We can’t beat the lions, but can win a game in NZ?
I just want them to play consistently well. Hard yardstick to pass. Beating the Lions must be priority I think. We have gone without the Bledisloe for a while, and whilst I want it back, I just couldn’t handle losing to the home nations right now as well as the All Blacks.
January 25th 2013 @ 4:05pm
Jiggles said | January 25th 2013 @ 4:05pm | Report comment
“I just couldn’t handle losing to the home nations right now as well as the All Blacks.”
I think you might have too, Hoy. They only chance we have against the Lions is if Gatland picks a predominately Welsh pack with Warburton at 7 and Captain.
January 25th 2013 @ 3:53pm
Alski said | January 25th 2013 @ 3:53pm | Report comment
How is there even a debate regarding pulling S15 players a few weeks before the Lions series to ensure the Wallabies are on song come the first test ? Have we not witnessed time and time again over the last five years the dangers of coming into camp a few days before the first international of the year ?
For me it is a MUST. So be it if the The Waratahs are without their first choice run on team against The Force. I highly doubt any of the S15 coaches would be so vocal if THEY were coaching the Wallabies leading into the Lions series. Jake White, as always, has been refreshing and stated there is no way he would include Wallaby players in the warm up matches V The Lions.
Why show their hand early ? Why subject them to one on one battles with the risk of giving your opposition number any belief that they will own you come game one of the series ? Why subject them to the risk of injury when the intensity will be a level above that of S15 ?
It’s starting to smell like Europe and the ‘Club V Nation’ issues that have dogged their part of the world and devalued the international game at times.
Make no mistake, this year is all about the Lions, then let’s focus on The Bledisloe, RC etc.
A stuttering, ill prepared Wallabies running out for the first test will be spanked by a very fired up Lions team hellbent on rewriting history, knowing full well The Wallabies are their best shot to undo their failed campaigns of yesteryear.
Let sanity prevail, let the S15 stop worrying about their own fortunes and future and let’s just all put the Wallabies first in a year where Australian rugby can assert itself once again in the face of the other football codes in Australia, all whose popularity are steadily rising whilst rugby union stagnates, failing to entice new fans whilst forever it seems, frustrating the diehards.
January 28th 2013 @ 5:13am
mania said | January 28th 2013 @ 5:13am | Report comment
Alski – agree whole heartedly. the excuse for losing to scotland was lack of prep. deans just cant win with some aus fans
January 25th 2013 @ 5:02pm
Gary Russell-Sharam said | January 25th 2013 @ 5:02pm | Report comment
Gee I don’t know about all you posters that are saying we need time to get a Wallaby team together to have it play well.
You don’t have to go back too far (well at least it doesn’t seem that long to me) to when the wallabies used to gather about a week before any test and then play and to top that off they used to come back the next day and play for their clubs.
Perhaps if we had a coach that was more in sinc with the players etc we might do a tad better. To all the people who will groan and say another Deans knocker, I can only say what I think is somewhat of why we don’t do that well in recent times.
To be honest I want the Wallabies to win the Lions tour the RC and the Bledisloe and the Super Rugby so there that’s my criteria for them.
It might be a hill to steep to climb, but I’d rather have a go at it all than slough off one or two events to have a shot at another. Think of the scenario if we do that and then loose the events that we target, won’t there be a howl of derision then.
Be a man I say and have a go at it all. What is the rugby world coming to, to have to cottonwool players so that they will survive to play.
Leave off the excessive gym work and get into some cardio vascular work to get them fit to play and able to be resilient and be able to bounce a bit.
I’m over the kid glove bit, just man up and play.
January 25th 2013 @ 8:07pm
Hightackle said | January 25th 2013 @ 8:07pm | Report comment
“Of why Australia doesnt do well in recent times”
Hmmm. By not doing well do you mean a tri nats victory in 2011, 3rd at a WC, #2 or #3 ranking, beating and drawing with NZ, coming 2nd in the RC and the 2nd most wins of any top 10 nation in 2012? If thats not doing well then 8 out of the top 10 dissagree.
By “not doing well” did you mean by being arguably the 2nd best in the world?
January 25th 2013 @ 5:18pm
the old man of rugby said | January 25th 2013 @ 5:18pm | Report comment
I may be stating the obvious but I feel that not only rugby but all sports now are run as a business not as a sport. Players now get 4 weeks holiday a year – and some if lucky and loyal – long service . In the good old days we had cricket in the summer and footy in the winter. Now its a year round thing (arguments for and against for both). Players deal with media, are scrutinised on and off the field. I would like the sport to come back to the sport. Television money controls when games are played and shown. It is becoming all to complicated for me ( and I suspect for a a lot of players -in all codes). I know that the modern game is controlled by money and administrators but do we need all of the tours,cups,championships etc. Give me a simple competition – one without interruptions and politics and I will stick to it and watch it.I suppose its what we call progress but are we progressing in the right direction for not only the players but the fans
January 25th 2013 @ 5:39pm
Darwin Stubbie said | January 25th 2013 @ 5:39pm | Report comment
Retaining the Mandela plate might be the more realistic goal …. and even that maybe beyond Deans & Co …. The only thing that is handbreaking the Lions is Gatland – he doesn’t seem to have the smarts to better the limited Deans … But I’ve a feeling that this is the year the wheels finally come of the Wobblies
January 25th 2013 @ 6:17pm
maxxlord said | January 25th 2013 @ 6:17pm | Report comment
While a wallaby resurgence and return to clever rugby is my first hope for the year, failing that, i would hope that the wheels really do come off entirely, and spectacularly, resulting in a cleanout and a return to the old ideas about how to play the game, ‘when scoring tries used to matter’.
January 25th 2013 @ 8:23pm
Hightackle said | January 25th 2013 @ 8:23pm | Report comment
You mean like in 2011?
When a reporter implied that his team wasnt scoring enough he defended his players by saying that it wasnt that important.
The Deans hate club jumped on that as if it was what Deans was coaching. When he said that the kicking wasnt the gameplan, this was ignored but when he defended his players lack of try scoring, this was held onto tighter than a tight thing. “Deans hates try scoring” they cried. Genia, Mitchell, JOC, Cooper, Horwill and Pocock like scoring 5 pointers. Its just a shame they were not playing….wait, do you think that Australias best players being absent could cause Australia not to function as if they were playing?
Hmmm I think I might be onto something.
January 25th 2013 @ 9:27pm
Crash Ball said | January 25th 2013 @ 9:27pm | Report comment
HT, it is possible to hold the opinion that RD is not the man to coach the Australian national team, without then necessarily being a “Deans Hater”. Deans may well have been defending players when commenting that tries (or lack thereof) aren’t the only synonym for “spectacle” – but he was also defending himself. You could interpret the reporter’s implication being that the style of play RD designed and/or the players he selected to execute that style, were wrong. One can acknowledge Robbie’s record, respect his obvious talent and believe in his intent – but also hold the view that he is not the right fit for the Wallaby team, or the fans that they represent.
January 25th 2013 @ 11:19pm
Hightackle said | January 25th 2013 @ 11:19pm | Report comment
Its completely possible. I think Deans should have gone last year but Im not going to pretend all of Australias problems or lack of try scoring is becuz of Robbie Deans. Infact that absolutely stupid.
Aparently the 3rd most try scoring team in the WC was too conservative.
Apparently losing all of the players Australia did in 2012 didnt matter.
Pat McCabe sux I hear.
Berrick Barnes rubbish kicking was Robbies plan despite Barnes doing it for the Tahs, Robbie saying it wasnt and then dropping him from the 10 spot.
Australia kicks too much despite the stats disputing that.
2012 was a disaster despite Australia winning more than 9 of the top 10.
Its a joke.
January 25th 2013 @ 11:41pm
Crash Ball said | January 25th 2013 @ 11:41pm | Report comment
Can I ask HT – why is it RD should not be coaching the Wallabies?
January 25th 2013 @ 8:12pm
Hightackle said | January 25th 2013 @ 8:12pm | Report comment
Yeah its not like the Wallabies have beaten SA 9 times under Deans or anything.
Yawn…do Deans haters actually watch the games?
January 26th 2013 @ 2:54pm
Ajax said | January 26th 2013 @ 2:54pm | Report comment
Mate, that is a point I have made to people… sure we havent gone great against the AB’s, but neither has anyone else. Our record against SA is great under Deans, I dare say no other coach in history has recorded that many wins against them (maybe Graham Henry?)
Wins a Twickenham dont happen every day either… so for me last year was reasonably good, its not like Dingo’s Wallabies are the FIRST team in Green and Gold to have trouble with the All Blacks
January 27th 2013 @ 1:46am
Hoy said | January 27th 2013 @ 1:46am | Report comment
No, but the Wallabies games certainly haven’t been good have they? I mean actual results aside, you just don’t have the Wallabies developing or improving at all do you? I wouldn’t mind seeing some improvement in their game, but it just isn’t there.
January 28th 2013 @ 2:48pm
soapit` said | January 28th 2013 @ 2:48pm | Report comment
stil yet to come across any of the fictional ‘deans haters’. the closest i’ve been able to find are people who think he’s doing a crap job of coaching the wallabies
besides, this article is about 2013 rugby not 2012. as far as i can tell deans will be coach for 2013 so decision made and he’ll get a relatively clean slate to start the year with.
then again you could just be trying to revisit old arguments to give yourself something to post about so maybe we should just ignore it.
January 25th 2013 @ 5:59pm
allblackfan said | January 25th 2013 @ 5:59pm | Report comment
If there’s one word to sum up 2013 for Aust rugby, its triage.
Winning everything in sight would be desirable but is it realistic? No, in my opinion. It’s too big a mountain to climb for the Wallabies.
However, the arrival of the Lions offers Aust Rugby officials and fans a chance to showcase what the code has to offer and which the NRL and AFL lack – international tours.
For the Lions, I think every Aust team (provinces and Wallabies) need to play an attractive type of rugby, win My advice? Run the ball at the Lions! Make them watch some of the ITM Cup games from last season if they don’t know how (or talk to the likes of Peter Betham or Sailesi Manu who played in it). The Lions fans will make sure they are heard and even AFL-mad Melbourne won’t be immuune. Capa diem and all that?!?
I think for the BC, SR and RC, it will all be about damage control.
One thing for sure: Israel Folau will have an unprecedented chance to press his claims for a Wallaby jersey. If his NSW team-mates can make rugby an enjoyable experience (a big ask, I know!) then perhaps he may want to stay on for the 2015 RWC. Then next year we may see Folau up against SBW!! Bring it on!!
January 25th 2013 @ 6:00pm
Johnno said | January 25th 2013 @ 6:00pm | Report comment
Bill Pulver has a lot fo work on his hands , he starts his role I think in the next 10 days to 2 weeks.
His priorities are many:
-Promote the Lion’s series well
-Help sort out the super rugby vs Wallaby availability issues
-Look at planning a 3rd-tier ARC/Currie Cup/ITM cup
-Junior rugby club and school boy rugby needs an overhaul
-Look at a 6th super rugby team as talk this week about where to now for SANZAR with the tv deal ending in 2015
-look at increasing super rugby squads and how to finance that
-How to market rugby better to a broader wider Audience in Australia
January 25th 2013 @ 8:32pm
Hightackle said | January 25th 2013 @ 8:32pm | Report comment
Johnno, you lose all cred when you start on about Asian cups, 6 super sides in Australian rugby etc.
It is not going to happen anytime soon. Australia still are not ready for 5 super sides and have to bring in Welsh, English, NZ and SA players to make them relatively good sides. You have a wild imagination but it is not real, it is fantasy.