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At some stage in every Australian cricketer’s life, there is a dream that is there to play cricket for their nation.
This article will explore what the mathematical chances are of becoming a cricketer, without taking into account skill at the sport. This article will only take into consideration the chances of the men.
So, let’s begin by stating that there are 20 Australian male contracts that are available at any one time. There are at least 900,000 men registered to play the sport in 2016.
Straight off of the bat, there is a 0.002 per cent chance that any Australian cricketer is playing for Australia. But these values are including the younger kids.
If we go from the age groups of 13+, it is a little bit more promising for us. There are 369,000 Australian males aged 13+ playing the game.
These statistics increase the chance of Australian Representation to 0.0054 per cent. In English, this means that one in every 18,450 Australian cricketers play for Australia.
These statistics are a little bit depressing but if we broaden the scope to include the pathway, it is a little bit more promising.
There are six states that hand out 120 contracts. A state player has a 17 per cent chance of playing for Australia.
The natural progression to state level comes from the first-grade teams that the district clubs put together in the states’ capitals.
Using the knowledge that shows there are 100 grade cricket clubs it can be assumed that there would be roughly 1100 first grade players.
These first-grade players have an 11 per cent chance of playing for a state and a 1.8 per cent chance of playing for Australia. Even if a player plays in a grade for their club they have a 1.8 per cent chance of playing for a state and a 0.3 per cent chance of playing for Australia.
As stated at the start, these statistics do not take into account skill, hard-work and a little bit of luck.
If you want to be an Australian cricketer the easiest way to do so is to grasp any opportunity to prove yourself and use it, no matter whether you are a bowler or batsman.
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