Wallabies vs All Blacks Bledisloe 3 preview and prediction

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    The Wallabies head to Suncorp Stadium on Saturday night to face the All Blacks in the final home test of the year.

    With the Rugby Championship and Bledisloe Cup firmly stowed in the Kiwi cabinet, the Wallabies are out for pride. 2017 has been a real mixed bag but there’s a sense that the Aussies are slowly but surely trending upward.

    If there was any extra motivation needed, it can be drawn from the indigenous jersey the Wallabies will wear for the first time. Far from being a token gesture, it aims to acknowledge Australia’s history and signal the start of a broader development scheme.

    Here’s the bad news: Australia has only beaten New Zealand once in their last 18 attempts ‒ a sequence that also includes two draws.

    They got close in Dunedin in August, but that final step towards a comprehensive 80-minute performance is a massive one.

    For the Wallabies, Izack Rodda is out, opting for shoulder surgery with a view to a more comfortable 2018.

    With Rory Arnold still racking up NRC minutes, it’s Rob Simmons who will pack down in the second row. Ned Hanigan rejoins the bench.

    Despite Karmichael Hunt’s recovery from an ankle problem, Michael Cheika has resisted the urge to include him in the matchday squad.

    The only change for the All Blacks is Lima Sopoaga to start at 10, with talisman Beauden Barrett ruled out due to concussion.

    Sopoaga has impressed off the bench this season and shown laser accuracy from the kicking tee. The Crusaders’ David Havili gets the vacant bench spot.

    Wallabies
    1. Scott Sio 2. Tatafu Polota-Nau 3. Sekope Kepu 4. Rob Simmons 5. Adam Coleman 6. Jack Dempsey 7. Michael Hooper (c) 8. Sean McMahon 9. Will Genia 10. Bernard Foley 11. Reece Hodge 12. Kurtley Beale 13. Tevita Kuridrani 14. Marika Koroibete 15. Israel Folau

    Subs: 16. Stephen Moore 17. Tom Robertson 18. Allan Alaalatoa 19. Lukhan Tui 20. Ned Hanigan 21. Nick Phipps 22. Samu Kerevi 23. Henry Speight

    All Blacks
    1. Kane Hames 2. Dane Coles 3. Nepo Laulala 4. Sam Whitelock 5. Scott Barrett 6. Liam Squire 7. Sam Cane 8. Kieran Read (c) 9. Aaron Smith 10. Lima Sopoaga 11. Rieko Ioane 12. Sonny Bill Williams 13. Ryan Crotty 14. Waisake Naholo 15. Damian McKenzie

    Subs: 16. Codie Taylor 17. Wyatt Crockett 18. Ofa Tu’ungafasi 19. Patrick Tuipulotu 20. Matt Todd 21. TJ Perenara 22. Anton Lienert-Brown 23. David Havili

    New Zealand All Blacks Haka Rugby Championship Test Rugby Rugby Union 2016

    (AAP Image/David Moir)

    Prediction
    Both sides should be refreshed following a week off. There’s definitely more to play for from an Australian perspective, but the Kiwis will be hoping to top their perfect Rugby Championship performance with a cherry.

    The Springboks gave the All Blacks a mighty scare in Cape Town, just as the Wallabies did in Dunedin.

    You can read that two ways ‒ that the chasing pack is getting closer, or that even when you play your best, the All Blacks will find a way to beat you.

    A win ‒ albeit a dead rubber ‒ would change the complexion of 2017 for Cheika. It’s been a year in which the Wallabies have graduated from hopeless to promising. If they stumble again, they’re back to square one.

    I think we’ve seen enough to know that the Wallabies are at least capable of causing an upset.

    If the scrum and lineout can hold firm and no one does anything silly (I’m looking at you, Rob Simmons) I think the home side will claw their way to a win.

    Wallabies by 2.

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    The Crowd Says (106)

    • October 21st 2017 @ 6:09am
      Rebellion said | October 21st 2017 @ 6:09am | ! Report

      I predict Ned Hannigan will have an absolute ‘shocker’! He always does in a Wallaby jersey

      • October 21st 2017 @ 7:40am
        Noodles said | October 21st 2017 @ 7:40am | ! Report

        I predict that the WBs will play well and certain people will eat crow at full time.

        • October 21st 2017 @ 8:50am
          Paul D said | October 21st 2017 @ 8:50am | ! Report

          You should know by now that never happens.

          If Wallabies lose its “We should’ve won that, Cheika has no idea, he should use the team I select FFS.” Followed by finger pointing at the usual suspects, by the usual suspects.

          If Wallabies win its “We should’ve won by more, it didn’t need to be that hard, Cheika has no idea, he should use the team I select FFS.” Followed by finger pointing at the usual suspects, by the usual suspects.

          The trend continues on and on. It existed before Cheika, it’ll exist for his replacement. Just a different set of naysayers. But sometimes the same ones because they’re never happy. 😉

          • October 21st 2017 @ 9:07am
            Terry Tavita said | October 21st 2017 @ 9:07am | ! Report

            guess it happens in all sports..it’s good though, makes the world more interesting..

          • October 21st 2017 @ 5:09pm
            soapit said | October 21st 2017 @ 5:09pm | ! Report

            wow, must be so hard for them with everyone out to get them all the time. lets start some kind of charity to get them through this difficult time of their lives being paid to play football for australia

            • Roar Guru

              October 21st 2017 @ 5:53pm
              PeterK said | October 21st 2017 @ 5:53pm | ! Report

              Cheika doesn’t get the pleasure of playing, yet has a very hard job, if they win the players get the credit and if they lose that gets shipped home to him.

      • October 21st 2017 @ 7:48am
        Morsie said | October 21st 2017 @ 7:48am | ! Report

        This constant hating must at least give you a reason to get up each morning. But it will eat your insides away…..

      • Roar Guru

        October 21st 2017 @ 12:25pm
        Timbo (L) said | October 21st 2017 @ 12:25pm | ! Report

        I don’t think ned will get enough minutes to fatigue, in fact 20 minutes of impact might be a better spot for him. The brain fades will come from a weary MacMahon or Dempsey. Coleman had a few in the rarified air in South Africa as he fatigued.

    • October 21st 2017 @ 6:30am
      Rt said | October 21st 2017 @ 6:30am | ! Report

      I hope it’s a good game played in the right spirit with good refereeing and humble fans whoever wins.

      • Roar Rookie

        October 21st 2017 @ 9:40am
        Phantom said | October 21st 2017 @ 9:40am | ! Report

        Who has got the whistle tonight.

        • Roar Guru

          October 21st 2017 @ 10:23am
          Fox Saker said | October 21st 2017 @ 10:23am | ! Report

          Wayne Barnes I think

          • October 21st 2017 @ 11:33am
            zhenry said | October 21st 2017 @ 11:33am | ! Report

            F..k

            • October 21st 2017 @ 5:41pm
              Redsback said | October 21st 2017 @ 5:41pm | ! Report

              Are you a kiwi? Couldn’t have hand picked a better ref for Australia.

              • Roar Guru

                October 21st 2017 @ 5:53pm
                PeterK said | October 21st 2017 @ 5:53pm | ! Report

                Barnes is a very good ref

              • October 21st 2017 @ 7:15pm
                Taylorman said | October 21st 2017 @ 7:15pm | ! Report

                Dont know about the actual refereeing but has probably done more for NZ rugby since 2007 than any single other person. We are forever grateful.😀

    • October 21st 2017 @ 6:54am
      Terry Tavita said | October 21st 2017 @ 6:54am | ! Report

      that’s a bold prediction, but probablhy not too far off..the two teams have an interesting ethnic breakdown though, which probably reflects the diversity of people that play rugby in both countries today..

      wallabies 23

      european caucasioan – 10
      tongan – 4
      fijian – 4
      samoan – 3
      aborigine – 1
      papua new guinea – 1

      All Blacks 23

      european caucasian – 12
      samoan – 4
      tongan 3
      maori – 3
      fijian 1

      go wallabies!!

      • October 21st 2017 @ 8:43am
        blagblah said | October 21st 2017 @ 8:43am | ! Report

        Theres 8 maori players in the 23 liam, coles,squire,perenara,smith,hames,ioane,& McKenzie. More of a reflection of nz ethnic make

      • October 21st 2017 @ 9:53am
        mzilikazi said | October 21st 2017 @ 9:53am | ! Report

        We have no Maori…a worry !! Could be the edge. !!

        • October 21st 2017 @ 4:57pm
          Khuzwayo said | October 21st 2017 @ 4:57pm | ! Report

          Sakubona unumzane!

      • October 21st 2017 @ 1:14pm
        Dave said | October 21st 2017 @ 1:14pm | ! Report

        The Qantas South Pacific waratahs

    • October 21st 2017 @ 6:59am
      Hugo said | October 21st 2017 @ 6:59am | ! Report

      WBs by 2, Charlie? The ABs will be ahead by 2 the moment they run onto the field – Kieran Read and Scott Barrett.

      • October 21st 2017 @ 6:53pm
        garth said | October 21st 2017 @ 6:53pm | ! Report

        Ref is Wayne Barnes. A good ref, except for his recurring inability to tell the difference between legal and forawrd passes.
        He may have depth perception issues…

    • October 21st 2017 @ 7:09am
      Brizvegas said | October 21st 2017 @ 7:09am | ! Report

      What are the bookies paying Charlie?
      Wallabies at home with more caps and not missing a lot of players and full of confidence with a 2 win 2 draws and 2 losses in RC

      ABs missing 2 front row forwards 1 lock 1 1st 5 and a pretty handy full back although with 6 from 6 wins in RC away from home and not too much to play for.
      Conditions to be wet and possibly windy.

      Hmmm maybe a huge upset on the cards and a 2 point win to the ABs

      • Roar Guru

        October 21st 2017 @ 4:34pm
        stillmissit said | October 21st 2017 @ 4:34pm | ! Report

        Briz _ when did we ever play well in the wet. Whereas the AB’s seem to relish those conditions. AB’s by 10 BUT I am still hoping for the Wallabies but the more they think they will win the greater is the chance they will lose. Strange but true!!!!!!!

    • October 21st 2017 @ 7:13am
      Rhys Bosley said | October 21st 2017 @ 7:13am | ! Report

      Rain predicted in Brisbane today so it will likely be goal kicking that is the difference. Sopoanga is consistent so it is up to Foley not to have one of his off days.?

      • October 21st 2017 @ 9:28am
        Cynical Play said | October 21st 2017 @ 9:28am | ! Report

        Rain all day but maybe stopping before kick off so it will be wet weather tactics. Kick and chase. ABs look better here. Home crowd to WBs. ABs used to wet weather footie would have to fav. AB x 5

        • October 21st 2017 @ 10:38am
          Akari said | October 21st 2017 @ 10:38am | ! Report

          BOM predicts 30% chance of rain around 7pm and reduced to 10% by around 8ish; this may mean a drizzle by kick-off and probably fairly dryish conditions by HT(???)

          • October 21st 2017 @ 3:04pm
            Charlie Turner said | October 21st 2017 @ 3:04pm | ! Report

            Any bets on what soles Beale will be wearing? I’m going with molded soles with very bright uppers.

            • October 21st 2017 @ 5:50pm
              Bob Wire said | October 21st 2017 @ 5:50pm | ! Report

              Some extra long studs with those please, just in case..

            • October 21st 2017 @ 7:48pm
              Charlie Turner said | October 21st 2017 @ 7:48pm | ! Report

              Yeah Bob, Beale skate around like Let’s Elope on a heavy track. Very frustrating watching him slip, he’s gotta get outta the Dunlop Volleys and into a pair of rugby boots.

          • October 21st 2017 @ 5:46pm
            Redsback said | October 21st 2017 @ 5:46pm | ! Report

            It has been pi$$ing down all day. In fairness, we can’t beat them in the dry so maybe the wet will keep us in it for longer and we can jag a try for the win.

      • October 21st 2017 @ 6:41pm
        Dave_S said | October 21st 2017 @ 6:41pm | ! Report

        Clouds in Bris looking a little lighter now, sun poking through in the west, could be clear by kickoff, and the Suncorp surface drains quickly. Fingers crossed.

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