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After doing some research for my countdown lists I have discovered one ultimate truth. Now I am not now nor will I ever be a fan of the Bulldogs or Manly and it pains me to say this.
The Bulldogs and the Sea Eagles are the most successful teams over the last four decades. Ow that hurt! Now here’s the proof.
Since 1980 the Bulldogs and Manly have made the grand finals more than anybody. They have not necessarily won but their strike rate is better than anybody. Only the Broncos have won more.
The Bulldogs won in 1984, 1985, 1988, 1995 and 2004. They were runners up in 1980, 1986, 1994, 1998, 2012 and 2014. That’s a win percentage of 45 and a strike-rate of 10.5.
Manly won in 1987, 1996, 2008 and 2011. They were runners up in 1982, 1983, 1995, 1997, 2007 and 2013. That’s a win rate of 40 per cent and a strike rate of 10.
Does anybody else see a pattern forming here? I sure do and here it is.
The Bulldogs make at least one grand final a decade and always play in the year with the four (1984, 1994, 2004, 2014). They have a 50 per cent win rate for those years.
Manly’s lucky number is seven (1987, 1997, 2007), for a 33 per cent win rate.
Now Dr Phil says that the best indicator for future behaviour and traits is past behaviour and traits and according to history the Sea Eagles are due to make the grand final next year.
Now call me crazy – if you haven’t already – but that seems like pretty good odds to me!
So does this mean that the Eagles are due to come good again next year or will they continue to live on the brink of total failure.
Cheer up Manly fans, you might just get there again next year. Having said that with the current traits of drought-breaking and maiden premierships, this might throw a spanner in the works.
As we know it has been a time for droughts to be broken, with the Sharks and Cowboys wining their maiden titles in the last two seasons and the Bunnies winning in 2014 – their first title since 1971.
So with the stats in Manly’s favour here is my prediction for the 2017 season. Manly most likely will make the final but will be defeated by either the Titans or the Warriors – justice for 2011.
This is a combination of both patterns. Of course I could be dead wrong about this but I am just throwing it out there. What do you think? can the Eagles come good next year or is this all just a fantastic coincidence?
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