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Michael Rogers

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Wins by 90 pts. or more 2007-2023 (Round 6 – part)
Geelong 23
West Coast 14
Hawthorn 13
Adelaide 11
Sydney 11
St Kilda 9
Collingwood 7
Port Adelaide 7
Richmond 7
Western Bulldogs 7
GWS Giants 6
Melbourne 6
Brisbane 5
Carlton 5
Fremantle 4
Nth Melbourne 3
Essendon 2
Gold Coast 0

Losses by 90 pts. or more 2007-2023 (Round 6 part)
Gold Coast 22
GWS Giants 16
Melbourne 16
Essendon 11
Carlton 10
Fremantle 10
West Coast 9
Brisbane 8
Nth Melbourne 8
St Kilda 7
Port Adelaide 6
Richmond 5
Adelaide 4
Collingwood 3
Western Bulldogs 3
Geelong 1 (vs Sydney)
Sydney 1 (vs Geelong)

Footy Fix: The Cats are back - but the Swans made it embarrassingly easy. Again

It was the Swans biggest loss since 101 pts. vs St Kilda in Round 10 1998 – 8.5-53 vs 24.10-154.

Footy Fix: The Cats are back - but the Swans made it embarrassingly easy. Again

Geelong in 2011 is the only team ever to defeat a team in the Grand Final that was undefeated against all the other teams.

Footy Fix: The Cats are back - but the Swans made it embarrassingly easy. Again

You are on the right track!
In 2018 the Cats in Rounds 22 and 23 at the ‘Cattery’ defeated Fremantle by 133 pts. and Gold Coast by 102 pts. They then lost the Elimination Final to Melbourne by 29 pts!

Footy Fix: The Cats are back - but the Swans made it embarrassingly easy. Again

“Hawthorn’s worst quarter in their illustrious 99-year history”
The Hawks lost the last quarter of Round 2 1969 to Carlton by 66 pts. (But they did score – 2.0-12 vs Carlton 12.6-78.)

Footy Fix: Premiers back on track, or is one of the greatest quarters in AFL history just a dead Cat bounce?

The endless nonsense of “the minor premiership”. There is NO such thing. This ridiculous appellation was abandoned by the League beyond living memory.

This from Reginald William Ernest Wilmot who wrote as “Old Boy” for The Argus and the Australasian from 1901 until the mid 1930s:

“Several correspondents have written regarding what they call “the minor premiership” and “the right of challenge”, and it is extraordinary to think that these questions should be asked. There is no such thing as the “minor premiership”, nor is there a “right of challenge”. Very many years ago these expressions were used.
“Minor premiers” were those who led at the end of the first round, and thus had the right to challenge the winners of the final game if beaten in a semi-final or final. Despite the fact that this has been explained frequently, ignorance on the subject still exists.”
The Argus 30th August 1926

(Wilmot devised the so-called ‘Argus System’ of deciding the Premiership as adopted by the League from the 1901 season that with modifications continued in operation until 1930.)

In the current system of playing Finals the team that finishes on top of the ladder is awarded the ‘Dr. McClellan Trophy’ and the right to play the supposedly easier 4th placed team in a Qualifying Final. However since the the introduction of the current Finals system, the 1st placed team has beaten the the 4th placed team 16 times and the 2nd placed team has beaten the 3rd placed team 16 times.

Then there are the facts that the team dubbed the ‘Minor Premiers’ by the uninformed ignorantly unconsciously promoting this ‘nonsense’, has participated in 15 of the 22 Grand Finals 2000-2021 and only won 7 of them. Do the supporters of the 15 top-placed teams that that missed out on the Flag say, “Yeah-but we was the the ‘Minor Premiers” (or “but we won the McClelland Trophy”)?
Of course not.

No more of the ‘minor premiers’ nonsense, please!

Six Points: There's a danger in overhyping Nick Daicos, and why Geelong's brilliant Dees drubbing just doesn't matter

Matches decided by 20 pts or less.
2016 (31.40%
2017 (39.61%)
2018 (36.23%)
2019 (41.06%)
2020 (41.36%)
2021 (41.92%)
Highest percentages: 60.53% in 1922 (46/76)
Lowest percentage: 26.49% in 1996 (49/185)

Is 2021 the best AFL season in recent memory?

“Since 2016, there haven’t been more than 26 games decided by over ten goals in a single season, which is a definite positive.”
Marches won by more than 60 pts.
2016: 39 (18.84%)
2017: 30 (14.49%)
2018: 27 (13.04%)
2019 23 (11.11%)
2020: 9 (5.56%)
2021: 22 (11.11%)
Highest % in a season: 20.29% (28/138) in 1985 and 1986.

Is 2021 the best AFL season in recent memory?

Note that Hawthorn won 5 matches against eventual finalists – more than Brisbane, Geelong, Port Adelaide, and the Bulldogs (4 each).

Is 2021 the best AFL season in recent memory?

Geelong’s win percentage at Kardinia Park 2000-21 has been 81% and 67% at Docklands. Noting that 67% is the highest win percentage at Docklands. Next highest: Hawthorn 59%.

The Roar's AFL expert tips and predictions: Round 14

Hawkins vs Carlton Round 3 2020.
11 disposals and 2 goals.
(0 goals in the Cats 10 goal win vs Hawthorn in Round 2)
https://afltables.com/afl/stats/players/T/Tom_Hawkins1.html

It's time to recognise the Cats as premiership favourites

“Since the start of 2017, the Cats have averaged 98 points per game”
Not quite:
Average 2017-2020 Round 12 has been 88.4 pts.
(Next highest: Richmond 88.1 pts.)

It's time to recognise the Cats as premiership favourites

Port Adelaide have won 3 of 5 games and Geelong 2 of 5 games against teams that were placed in the top half of the ladder at the completion of Round 11. Port’s percentage from the results of those 5 matches is 103.61% and Geelong’s is 107.30%.

Port have won 6 of 6 matches against teams placed 10-18 on the ladder at the completion of Round 11 for a percentage of 190.83% and Geelong have won 5 of 6 for a percentage of 155.59%

Geelong vs Port Adelaide: Friday night forecast

“less centralised government”
Here is what the Australian federal government can make laws in relation to.
https://www.aph.gov.au/About_Parliament/Senate/Powers_practice_n_procedures/Constitution/chapter1/Part_V_-_Powers_of_the_Parliament

The only relevant areas that it can legislate in regard to the pandemic is ‘migration’ and ‘quarantine’. Who can congregate for what ever purpose etc. is up to state and local govt. laws and regulations.

What’s more important: Public health or footy?

“The government – at federal and state level – will start to ask ”
The federal govt. can do little but ask. The state govt. can compel.
The federal govt. constitutionally has a relatively limited range of things that it can legislate.

What’s more important: Public health or footy?

Nor that only 6 of Brisbane’s matches up to Round 19 have been against teams currently placed in the top half of the ladder and its record from those 6 matches has been 3 wins and 3 losses.

AFL Power Rankings 2019: Round 19

“Collingwood are the true heavyweight”
After 9 matches played, Collingwood have played 5 of the teams placed in the top half of the ladder for 3 wins and 2 losses. Brisbane and Geelong have each played 4 of the current top 9 for 3 wins and 1 loss each.

Collingwood’s percentage of 126.80 from its 4 matches against teams currently placed 10-18 ranks 4th highest in results against the ‘bottom half’.

Its a bit soon to determine which team might be a ‘heavyweight’.

At this point, it's Geelong's flag to lose

“AFL era” A nonsense construct – all that changed in 1990 was that the League altered its name. The same teams competed as had in 1987-89 and the Premiership was determined in exactly the same way as it had been 1987-89. There could be some validity in marking new ‘eras’ from dates of admission of new clubs to the competition, but 1990 is completely arbitrary and of no real significance.

At this point, it's Geelong's flag to lose

“1992 Geelong finished on top” – but had conceded the most points of all of the ‘final 6’ including 347 pts more than West Coast.

At this point, it's Geelong's flag to lose

Geelong’s 8 first quarters won this year is its equal most after 9 matches from all seasons that it has competed in 1897-2019. In recent times it won 8 in 2007, 2009, and 2014.

It last conceded 40 or more pts. in a first quarter in 2017. In the last 4 seasons it has conceded 40 pts or more in the 1st quarter on 3 occasions which ranks equal 11th most (with Adelaide and Collingwood).

It has trailed by 40 pts or more at 1/4 time on 2 occasions since the 1989 Grand Final: 44 pts vs Hawthorn in Round 14 1990 and 44 pts vs Collingwood in Round 9 2016.

At this point, it's Geelong's flag to lose

Teams placed 1st on the ladder after playing 7 matches 1897-2018 have gone on to be Premiers in 39 of the 122 seasons (7 times 1990-2018).

A retrospective 1st in the ‘power rankings’ could be interesting.

AFL Power Rankings 2019: Round 7

Win percentage finals 2000-18 (to Preliminary Finals)
Victorian teams in Victoria vs non-Victorian teams: 70.21%
Victorian teams outside of Victoria: 25.64%

Non-Victorian teams Grand Final record 1991-2017 vs Victorian teams: 8 wins and 8 losses.

The seven factors that will decide the 2018 AFL grand final

If the Magpies take the flag their win percentage against the other eventual finalists for the season will be 33.33% (4 wins from 12 matches.)

The previous lowest win percentage for a Premier from all matches against the other finalists has been 36.67% (5 wins and 1 draw from 15 matches) by Fitzroy in the war affected season on 1916 where only 4 teams competed.

The next lowest have been:
Richmond 1943: 37.50%
Collingwood 1958: 37.50%
Melbourne 1948: 38.89%
Fitzroy 1922: 50.00%
Richmond 1932: 50.00%
Nth Melbourne 1977: 50.00%
Carlton 1981 50.00%
Collingwood 1990: 50.00%
Brisbane 2003: 53.33%
Sydney 2005: 53.33%

The highest have been:
Fitzroy 1899: 100.00%
Essendon 1962: 100.00%
Carlton 1995: 100.00%
Essendon: 2000: 92.31%
Carlton 1908: 87.50%
Sydney/SM: 1918 87.50%
Hawthorn 1971% 87.50%
(The highest since Essendon 2000 has been 78.57% by Geelong in 2011.)

The seven factors that will decide the 2018 AFL grand final

Richmond’s last quarter aggregate scores from its last 6 matches (inc. the PF) were:
16.9-105 vs 23.12-150 (One 4th quarter won and 5 lost).
Its last quarter aggregate scores from its previous 6 matches were:
24.20-164 vs 8.14-62. (Five 4th quarters won and 1 lost.)

Five talking points from Collingwood vs Richmond

“Collingwood 4”

Just a reminder to those who subscribe to this:

Collingwood’s results from matches against the teams after round 20 placed 1 to 9 on the ladder.

1 win, 7 losses, percentage 81.64%

AFL Power Rankings 2018: Round 20

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