Springboks vs Wallabies Rugby Championship preview and prediction

Charlie Lawry Roar Guru

75 Have your say

    The Wallabies make their way to Bloemfontein this Saturday (Sunday, 1:05am AEST) to take on the Springboks.

    The game may fly somewhat under the radar of Australian fans, played overnight between the AFL and NRL grand finals. But there’s plenty at stake for the men in gold, while both sides will be raring to go after a week off.

    Whether it’s a motivational tactic or simple rotation, Michael Cheika still seems unsure of his best 15 ‒ especially when it comes to the wing and second row.

    Izack Rodda is in line for a starting berth alongside Adam Coleman, while Jack Dempsey comes in for Ned Hanigan.

    In the backline, Marika Koroibete earns a start at the expense of Henry Speight. Promising Reds rookie Lukhan Tui is also vying with Rob Simmons for a spot on the bench.

    If Tui gets the nod, he’s set to become the eleventh Wallaby debutant this year.

    For the home side, Allister Coetzee has made a handful of changes to the squad demolished 57-0 by the All Blacks a fortnight ago.

    Dillyn Leyds takes over from Raymond Rhule on the wing after the latter’s impression of a well-greased turnstile in defence, Francois Louw replaces Jean-Luc du Preez at breakaway and Ross Cronje starts at 9, with Francois Hougaard dropped altogether.

    On the bench, Lood de Jager and Bongi Mbonambi make way for Pieter-Steph du Toit and Chiliboy Ralepelle respectively.

    1. Scott Sio 2. Tatafu Polota-Nau 3. Sekope Kepu 4. Izack Rodda 5. Adam Coleman 6. Jack Dempsey 7. Michael Hooper (c) 8. Sean McMahon 9. Will Genia 10. Bernard Foley 11. Reece Hodge 12. Kurtley Beale 13. Tevita Kuridrani 14. Marika Koroibete 15. Israel Folau.

    Subs: Stephen Moore, Tom Robertson, Allan Alaalatoa, Rob Simmons, Lukhan Tui, Ned Hanigan, Nick Phipps, Samu Kerevi, Henry Speight (one to be omitted).

    1. Tendai Mtawarira 2. Malcolm Marx 3. Ruan Dreyer 4. Eben Etzebeth (c) 5. Franco Mostert 6. Siya Kolisi 7. Francois Louw 8. Uzair Cassiem 9. Ross Cronje 10. Elton Jantjies 11. Courtnall Skosan 12. Jan Serfontein 13. Jesse Kriel 14. Dillyn Leyds 15. Andries Coetzee.

    Subs: Chiliboy Ralepelle‚ Steven Kitshoff‚ Trevor Nyakane‚ Pieter-Steph du Toit‚ Jean-Luc du Preez‚ Rudy Paige‚ Handre Pollard‚ Damian de Allende.

    Will Genia Wallabies Springboks Rugby Union Test Championship 2016 Australia South Africa

    (AAP Image/Dan Peled)

    The Wallabies missed a golden chance to beat the Springboks in Perth, and they’ll be better prepared for the breakdown battle this time around.

    But, don’t underestimate the desperation of the South Africans to prove their North Harbour nightmare was just a blip.

    I’ve been a tad unkind to the Wallabies in recent predictions. Call it self-preservation. I’m reluctant to raise any kind of hope in these fraught times.

    Winning at altitude is never easy, but Australia will be hoping for a repeat of their thrilling 41-39 win when the sides last met in Bloemfontein in 2010.

    Kurtley Beale’s right boot was the hero that day. Could it be a long-range Reece Hodge missile this time?

    It’s probably foolish to write off the Springboks at home after such a brutal thumping. Bugger it. I’m daring to dream.

    Wallabies by 3.

    Date: Sunday 1 October (AEST)
    Venue: Free State Stadium, Bloemfontein
    Kick-off: 1:05am (AEST)
    Betting: South Africa $1.40, Wallabies $3
    Referee: Ben O’Keeffe (New Zealand)
    Assistant Referees: Jerome Garces (France), Shuhei Kubo (Japan)
    TMO: Rowan Kitt (England)

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    The Crowd Says (75)

    • Roar Guru

      September 30th 2017 @ 4:45am
      Corne Van Vuuren said | September 30th 2017 @ 4:45am | ! Report

      Agree Wallabies by a few, could go into this long tirade about why, but alas its just a waste of my time.

      • Roar Guru

        September 30th 2017 @ 5:08am
        The Neutral View From Sweden said | September 30th 2017 @ 5:08am | ! Report

        How about them Cheetahs BB?

        Watched the game and I thought they looked great.

        • Roar Guru

          September 30th 2017 @ 5:29am
          Corne Van Vuuren said | September 30th 2017 @ 5:29am | ! Report

          Not too shabby Neutral.

          Their set piece is holding up better than expected and they are scoring plenty of tries, considering their struggles away in the first two rounds they are looking decent.

          Still think their defence needs to improve though, discipline is also an issue, too many soft penalties and cards

          • Roar Guru

            September 30th 2017 @ 5:41am
            The Neutral View From Sweden said | September 30th 2017 @ 5:41am | ! Report

            You make many fair points BB.

            If the Boks is looking for a winger – and meet the quota – Mapimpi could be a good call I reckon. Looks the business to me, at least compared to the ones who are selected for the Boks tomorrow.

            I predict that very few NH teams will come to BF and collect points.

            • Roar Guru

              September 30th 2017 @ 5:47am
              Corne Van Vuuren said | September 30th 2017 @ 5:47am | ! Report

              Cheetahs are meeing the form team (Glasgow Warriors) next wekend, will be a tough challenge. Could potentially stake a claim if they can win that one

              • Roar Guru

                September 30th 2017 @ 6:05am
                The Neutral View From Sweden said | September 30th 2017 @ 6:05am | ! Report

                This is special

                Wales hooker Scott Baldwin was ruled out of Ospreys’ Pro14 defeat by Cheetahs after being bitten on the hand while trying to pet a lion.

                The incident happened at a game park as Ospreys became the first Welsh team to head to South Africa in the tournament.

                Boss Steve Tandy said: “There was an incident with a lion, but in fairness it was nothing to do with the lion.

                “He did bite Scott but when you put your hand in a fence where there is a lion, then you will get bitten.”

                Ospreys were beaten 44-25 in Bloemfontein in Friday’s game, a fourth successive defeat.

                Tandy said Baldwin, 29, received “plenty of warning” before receiving the wound that needed “a couple of stitches”.

                The Ospreys head coach added: “It was pretty stupid on Scott’s behalf and he is pretty lucky.

                “It had nothing to do with where we were.

                “It was a good environment and we were told how far back to stand.

                “I don’t know what sort of wildlife show Scott has been watching where you can pat a lion on the head as if it’s a kitten.

                “It’s probably one of the silliest things I’ve even been involved in, but thankfully he is okay and hopefully he will be back up and running in the next couple of weeks.”

                Tandy says Baldwin will return to Wales with the team over the weekend.

                “It’s not too serious. He had a couple of stitches and had it cleaned out, so hopefully he will travel back,” said Tandy.


              • September 30th 2017 @ 6:38am
                Fionn said | September 30th 2017 @ 6:38am | ! Report

                I thought that was brilliant when I saw it earlier ?. My favourite quote was Tandy saying ‘it was pretty stupid’.

              • September 30th 2017 @ 6:03pm
                FunBus said | September 30th 2017 @ 6:03pm | ! Report

                Can you imagine the stick he’s getting in the dressing room, Fionn?

              • Roar Guru

                September 30th 2017 @ 6:56pm
                The Neutral View From Sweden said | September 30th 2017 @ 6:56pm | ! Report

                This will become a legend for sure FunBus.
                He will hear about this until the day he dies – and so he should – and if there is heaven and a God, it will be the first thing he will hear up there also..
                And not even his coach defends him in public, instead he is putting the boot in… that is when you know you have FU big time 😀

              • September 30th 2017 @ 6:01pm
                FunBus said | September 30th 2017 @ 6:01pm | ! Report

                Welsh hookers, NVFS, have never been accused of being overly cerebral.

              • September 30th 2017 @ 7:04am
                Taylorman said | September 30th 2017 @ 7:04am | ! Report

                Yes Rennies really got to work quickly at Glasgow, theyre already knocking off so called better sides, though theyve just lost to Bennetton. Interesting results coming out of the Cheetahs as well.

              • Roar Guru

                September 30th 2017 @ 2:13pm
                The Neutral View From Sweden said | September 30th 2017 @ 2:13pm | ! Report

                Rennie is indeed working quickly.
                And they did best Treviso 37-21 yesterday (but from reports Treviso was pretty good and it is a surprise that both Italian teams in Pro14 so far look better than they have ever done before).
                Next week games between Cheetahs and Glasgow is setting up to be a cracker.
                With Rennie’s experience from SR and many visits to BF, it will be interesting to see if it makes any difference. He does know a trick or two how to win in BF.
                Champions Cup starts the week after, so Rennie might opt to leave some of his best players at home though.

              • Roar Guru

                September 30th 2017 @ 7:31pm
                Fionn said | September 30th 2017 @ 7:31pm | ! Report

                Glorious, aint’t it, FunBus? Haha, I wonder if he regrets doing it or if he’s happy with his story to tell.

            • September 30th 2017 @ 7:10pm
              DavSA said | September 30th 2017 @ 7:10pm | ! Report

              Leyds is a far better player than Rhule. Also has an educated boot. ….But Scott ? Bitten by a Lion ? Whats so unusual about that?

      • September 30th 2017 @ 6:13am
        Fionn said | September 30th 2017 @ 6:13am | ! Report

        Honestly, Biltong? I think you might have supporter’s negativity on this one, because I feel you guys will win it be 10-15. I just can’t see how the Wallabies win this one.

        By the way, what happened to Lood de Jager, wasn’t he one of your top players just a few years ago??

        • Roar Guru

          September 30th 2017 @ 6:24am
          Corne Van Vuuren said | September 30th 2017 @ 6:24am | ! Report

          Fionn, Coezee is grasping at straws, he is reactionary and contradicting himself the whole time.

          The man is clueless

          • September 30th 2017 @ 6:31am
            Fionn said | September 30th 2017 @ 6:31am | ! Report

            Well, honestly, best of luck, mate.

            Let’s hope for a great Test match and let the best team win.

            • September 30th 2017 @ 7:11am
              Taylorman said | September 30th 2017 @ 7:11am | ! Report

              Boks are proving more Jekyll than hyde than last year but their Hyde, as in the NZ match, was truly ‘hor?ific’.

              Some of the more fancied players Marx, Kolisi etc really dropped their standards.

              So for those players pride might help SA salvage this one but I think more momentum is with the Wallabies, and with little things like Wessels remaining in Oz, Oz rugby is getting some little gains that a win here could really start providing a more positive outlook.

              Oz by a handful, though if those key Boks all click at once, the home factor will push them to an easy win.

              • September 30th 2017 @ 7:27am
                Fionn said | September 30th 2017 @ 7:27am | ! Report

                I’d like to say I believe you, but I’ll believe it when I see it.

              • September 30th 2017 @ 7:33am
                TheSnake said | September 30th 2017 @ 7:33am | ! Report

                All Blacks

                1. Kane Hames, 2. Dane Coles, 3. Nepo Laulala, 4. Luke Romano, 5. Scott Barrett, 6. Vaea Fifita, 7. Matt Todd, 8. Kieran Read ©, 9. Aaron Smith, 10. Beauden Barrett, 11. Rieko Ioane, 12. Sonny Bill Williams, 13. Anton Lienart-Brown, 14. Waisake Naholo, 15. Damian McKenzie


                16. Codei Taylor, 17. Wyatt Crockett, 18. Ofa Tu’ungafasi, 19. Patrick Tuipulotu, 20. Ardie Savea, 21.TJ Perenara, 22. Ngani Laumape, 23. David Havili

          • Roar Guru

            September 30th 2017 @ 7:40am
            Machooka said | September 30th 2017 @ 7:40am | ! Report

            Good luck biltongbek… and for either team, win or lose, let’s just hope we get a cracking contest.

        • September 30th 2017 @ 7:51am
          FunBus said | September 30th 2017 @ 7:51am | ! Report

          Yep. Boks by 15.

          • Roar Guru

            September 30th 2017 @ 9:13am
            Fionn said | September 30th 2017 @ 9:13am | ! Report

            Ah, FunBus, my friend, and here I was hoping that all of the neutrals would come and tell me ‘you’re wrong, Fionn, the Wallabies look grand and they’re sure to beat the Boks’.

            • September 30th 2017 @ 6:06pm
              FunBus said | September 30th 2017 @ 6:06pm | ! Report

              Don’t think the Boks are generally 15 points better, mate. Quite evenly matched sides. It’s the circumstances of the match. Altitude plus a humiliation in the previous match does not a pleasant Bok side make.

        • September 30th 2017 @ 7:16pm
          DavSA said | September 30th 2017 @ 7:16pm | ! Report

          The EE/De Jager combo is our most effective one.I hinted some time ago that Coetzee was only one match away from a public thrashing, hence his clear relief at the draw against the Wallabies . Anyway that one match came and so has the public antagonism. At the team announcement he looked so pressurized I was concerned for his health. Should the Boks lose to AUS in Bloem he is going to come under the whip like no other coach before him.

          • Roar Guru

            September 30th 2017 @ 7:24pm
            Fionn said | September 30th 2017 @ 7:24pm | ! Report

            Why can’t de Jager even make the bench then??

            • September 30th 2017 @ 7:41pm
              DavSA said | September 30th 2017 @ 7:41pm | ! Report

              Also Bloem is his home ground .Played most of his first class rugby there .Only moved to Pretoria last season .. I too am a bit mystified .There were issues around his fitness and conditioning a few months ago but that surely by now has been addressed.

              • Roar Guru

                September 30th 2017 @ 8:43pm
                Harry Jones said | September 30th 2017 @ 8:43pm | ! Report

                Well, PSDT has been incredible most of the season…

                Lock stocks are barrel full in SA!

                Ruan Botha and JD Schickerling, too …

    • September 30th 2017 @ 5:54am
      Hugo said | September 30th 2017 @ 5:54am | ! Report

      A big reason why the Boks have to be favoured is the history of games played against the WBs in the Republic. The Boks have won 34 and lost 10. Another reason is that when the WBs won that game in Bloemfontein it was a real outlier as that’s their only win on the highveld in the last 54 years. The WBs go into this match with an improved run on side but so do the Boks having plugged a large hole on the wing and added Francois Louw who, at 1.9m, 114 kg, is a real handful. Will it come down to Jantjies versus Foley/Hodge from the tee? Probably unless Folau, Koroibete and Beale mount raids on the SA line. As for our pack and its subs, 80 minutes is a long time at that altitude (1,400 metres).

    • September 30th 2017 @ 6:36am
      Rt said | September 30th 2017 @ 6:36am | ! Report

      I’m hoping wallabies but I’m think wounded Boks by plenty.

    • September 30th 2017 @ 7:03am
      Fishboy said | September 30th 2017 @ 7:03am | ! Report

      $1:40 vs. $3 doesn’t look good for Wallabies.

      • September 30th 2017 @ 7:12am
        Taylorman said | September 30th 2017 @ 7:12am | ! Report

        Really? Ok then, Boks by 15?

    • September 30th 2017 @ 9:01am
      Bill said | September 30th 2017 @ 9:01am | ! Report

      Boks by 9.
      WB Excuses:
      it was the altitude sir.
      Folau didn’t score.
      I was thinking of my salary increase.
      I was following our defensive pattern but the Boks attack didn’t fit in.

      • Roar Guru

        September 30th 2017 @ 9:06am
        Fionn said | September 30th 2017 @ 9:06am | ! Report

        I was following our defensive pattern but the Boks attack didn’t fit in.

        Hahahaha, I like that.

        • September 30th 2017 @ 10:13am
          Bill said | September 30th 2017 @ 10:13am | ! Report

          Have a read of Ella’s column in the weekend Australian.

          • September 30th 2017 @ 7:36pm
            Adsa said | September 30th 2017 @ 7:36pm | ! Report

            We won on the training paddock today.

      • September 30th 2017 @ 12:00pm
        Baz said | September 30th 2017 @ 12:00pm | ! Report

        had a bad hair day, stars didn’t align. Boks played really well. A number of things to work on.
        Boks by a few.
        Wallabies supporters are burnt for this year.

      • Roar Guru

        September 30th 2017 @ 2:17pm
        The Neutral View From Sweden said | September 30th 2017 @ 2:17pm | ! Report

        But no matter what result, we can be sure that the Wallabies have looked good on the training paddock all week long.

    • September 30th 2017 @ 9:12am
      Paul D said | September 30th 2017 @ 9:12am | ! Report

      Wallabies to win and return to No.3 in the rankings.

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