The Roar
The Roar

Tony Hodges

Roar Rookie

Joined August 2018

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I’d assume he’d pack at 6 for defensive scrums if the other two loosies are Hooper and Pocock, tho

Wallabies without a no. 8

100%

Wallabies without a no. 8

While it’s certainly true that the stats-based analysis that let the team at the Oakland A’s target the runs they needed so precisely is more difficult in football, it’s also true that the basic insight was that most managers were valuing players for the wrong things. The stats were a tool for measuring that value, but they weren’t the insight themselves.

In the case of Bolt, applying the Moneyball lens means looking past the things that might blind us to value he could bring. That’s not the same as saying he’s good value. It’s saying he might be, if he adds the things you need.

MoneyBolt: Assessing what value Usain brings to the Mariners

That’s a good question. I think the other question is how fast people get to that speed. Being quick over 100m is a lot less useful on a football pitch than being quick over 20m or 30m.

MoneyBolt: Assessing what value Usain brings to the Mariners

Oh no – he’s very, very quick over 30m. Just not compared to the people he ran 100m finals against, who he’s unlikely to encounter on the football pitch.

MoneyBolt: Assessing what value Usain brings to the Mariners

Ouch. Poor Matt Simon.

I guess the question is less who is the more talented and more who will bring you more goals, and the answer isn’t necessarily the same person.

MoneyBolt: Assessing what value Usain brings to the Mariners

In this scheme the promoted clubs wouldn’t need to come up with the $ for the licence. The price they pay for this freebie is they can get relegated, unlike the franchise clubs.

I don’t think any promoted clubs would be under any illusions about how tough a season in the top flight would be, but an even share of a year’s broadcast revenue would go a fair way. Certainly not a king’s ransom, but certainly a chunk of money they wouldn’t have otherwise.

Promotion and relegation: not a whole plateful, but a decent taste

The franchise implication is always going to be the hard part.

This article is how the A-League could go closest to true pro/rel without advocating something that changed its fundamental financial basis.

Promotion and relegation: not a whole plateful, but a decent taste

I’d agree with all of that apart from the ‘has to’ part.

We don’t have a second tier today. I don’t think there’s any prospect of us having one in the near future – no-one’s coming forward with the $ that would make it go.

We start where we are, not where we’d like to be, and the franchise system makes it hard to have pro/rel in its ideal form.

This, I guess, is my version of how we could most easily have most of what makes pro/rel good, and help foster the pool of playing and admin talent necessary to get us closer to a second tier.

Promotion and relegation: not a whole plateful, but a decent taste