Roar Rookie
Joined June 2021
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If you were to look at almost any 2022 preseason ladder prediction, you’d likely find Collingwood anywhere between tenth and 18th after a 17th-place…
On the eve of round 12, the clubs have played 11 of their 22 home and away games. What better time to put out…
It’s no secret that the Giants have shown their fair share of uninspiring performances in 2022, with a 52-point victory on the weekend hopefully…
West Coast have lost their last three games by 109, 84 and 63 respectively. They have had three consecutive defeats of at least ten…
Fair warning to any residents in the vicinity of the MCG, there could be a noise disturbance in the way of Gala’s 'Freed from…
If you read the article, only 5 of them have played 10+ games. I think you’ll find teams that are successfully rebuilding have a much higher number
How Collingwood ended up as 2022's biggest wildcards
I wouldn’t quite say rebuild complete. There’s not a lot of youth in that team. Could be a shaky few years
How Collingwood ended up as 2022's biggest wildcards
Thanks mate! Always appreciate the feedback, I’m a swans fan so I know all about the elimination final last year! I think you’re right. The swans had the benefit of a softer fixture last year too, but some good young players always helps.
The close games are always a funny look. I love those tweets by Max Laughton, they really show how year to year it changes. No one can be consistent in them
How Collingwood ended up as 2022's biggest wildcards
Yeah for sure. While they’re playing some younger talent. Those older names you mentioned are regularly their best. Could mean a drop of is coming soon
How Collingwood ended up as 2022's biggest wildcards
Correct, I mentioned at the start of the season, the teams they double up on were seen as one of the softest draws, due to the average 2021 percentage of those teams.
Whilst on their run home, they have the hardest compared to the other teams. Every team they’re up against are in good form.
Both of those statements can be correct in their own right.
Also, the pies winning against 13th placed GWS without De Goey is minor compared to the demons not having May. Those three weeks without him showed why he is their most important player
How Collingwood ended up as 2022's biggest wildcards
Thanks mate! I appreciate the feedback!
How Collingwood ended up as 2022's biggest wildcards
I agree, they’re definitely in the middle of this year and last year. But I think they’ll even out and belong anywhere between 9-13 for the next few years
How Collingwood ended up as 2022's biggest wildcards
I agree. Putting themselves up the ladder this year after an easy fixture only gives themselves a tougher run next year as the older contingent moves on
How Collingwood ended up as 2022's biggest wildcards
I think they’re a competitive side. But another year or two they could find themselves in some trouble. They’ve benefited from a lot of fortune this year
How Collingwood ended up as 2022's biggest wildcards
I’m glad you agree, I’m interested to see how the next few years shape up for Collingwood. Prolonging the inevitable rebuild could end up a poor decision
How Collingwood ended up as 2022's biggest wildcards
It’s been well documented how poor Fremantle play in the wet. (A winter sport doesn’t excuse that). And despite how Melbourne and Collingwood matchup. After a week of the club being under a microscope, it’s hard not to put an asterisk on the win. But as I said. 4 points is 4 points at the end of the day, doesn’t matter how you get them
How Collingwood ended up as 2022's biggest wildcards
You’re spot on, and that’s my entire point. I think King can make that improvement, and with the amount of shots he takes. Can close the gap
Chasing goals: Coleman Medal winner prediction
I’m glad you enjoyed it, it’s sure seeming like an interesting run home. A few aspects should result in Curnow’s output dropping, but I hope not. Seeing Curnow take it out would be great. It’s certainly a strange top-10, a very different make-up than it has been in the last 10 years. But if anyone can make up the deficit, to me Max King only needs a slight change to make a real push.
Chasing goals: Coleman Medal winner prediction
I thought the same! Although I looked at their run home based on how many goals their opposition concedes. Which weirdly doesn’t line up exactly. Curnow’s run home is the hardest of the lot in that metric, with McKay coming back in. I’m sure his output will take a hit
Chasing goals: Coleman Medal winner prediction
While I agree, if he’s not double teamed that means there’s also another player being targeted in the forward line. If that player gets 2-3, then that takes Curnow back down to 4-5. There’s a parity between sharing the forward line and being double teamed.
Chasing goals: Coleman Medal winner prediction
I like that you wrapped up with the excitement aspect. Because I think the inconsistency, is really just the levelling of the middle teams. Apart from West Coast, North and even Essendon now it’s good to look at a game and be able to give both teams a chance. It feels like a long time since we’ve had a competition this open
All fans want consistency, but which AFL sides bring it?
Valid points, I didn’t have the word length to go into double teaming and whatnot. I don’t believe I said that McKay will be the main goalkicker when he comes back, just that by the numbers Curnow has less shots when they play together. Mind you, I think it would be great for the league if Curnow was to win.
Chasing goals: Coleman Medal winner prediction
Call it over-umpiring all you like, all this talk about ‘scoring like the old days.’ The free kick count in that game was the highest since the 1990s when the scoring is as high as we want it to be.
The correlation between free kicks and high scores is unfortunate but undeniable, more free kicks inevitably lead to more shots on goal.
The rise of the flood defence: An AFL malaise
Yeah he’s one of those players you want to put pen to paper ASAP. But I think the fact he’s finally the #1 ruck in the system, he started on fire this year, and the chance for more flags will keep him there. Watch out for the dogs when Bruce comes back
How West Coast can shorten their rebuild
As nice as it would be to get some homegrown talent. Taking a note out of freo’s book and getting in players who become available on the outer at other clubs, like Brodie and Acres. Also get a call in for a good recruiter to help nail these drafts.
How West Coast can shorten their rebuild
I agree mate, if they want to change the game plan, they need to stick to it. Changing at half time helps no one. Also a big supporter of leaving the underprepared players in the WAFL while younger players are performing well.
How West Coast can shorten their rebuild
I think they could get a good deal out of the Bulldogs for McGovern, although late picks. The Dogs would love a defender like that right now
How West Coast can shorten their rebuild
Incredibly optimistic, i can’t see a reason he leaves that system to go through a rebuild
How West Coast can shorten their rebuild
My thoughts exactly mate, the numbers showed me they’ve been sitting on the edge of a drop off from 2019, the players are now just to old to carry the load
How West Coast can shorten their rebuild
I think you’ve missed the point. The article was to point out this season may be misleading in the long term of Collingwood’s rebuild. And that they haven’t benefited from a few different factors that won’t be there in the future.
Also, if you read the afl article at the start of the year. Collingwood had the 6th easiest draw. And the 2021 percentage of the teams they play twice was the 5th lowest in the league. Percentage is the best indicator of a teams performance. I also referenced in the article that the difficulty of the draw was as viewed from the start of the year. As it’s impossible to predict teams performances.
I appreciate the feedback, but not the implication that it was not researched. So I hope this reply has cleared up any confusion
How Collingwood ended up as 2022's biggest wildcards