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Sami

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Joined May 2016

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I’ve no problem with that, simply remove the ‘force below’ excuse from the guidelines.

Tom Hawkins, victim of fashion

Absolute rubbish. Steve j being moved on just had to happen. It is a classic win win for both sides. Menzel needs to play and if Steve was still at the Cats he wouldn’t be getting game time.
The Cats also need to move on a few older players every year, some times it’s tough but for the teams sake it has to be done. Can’t afford to have too many go at the same time. Lonergan, Enright, Bartel are already possibilities to be done after this year, adding Stevie would just make it worse.

The AFL Contenders: Part 1 - What holds back the Cats?

This is a goal kicking conversation, no a longest kick conversation though. If you want to talk long kicks that 85m has nothing on this 105m kick https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=9CXRpR-JU3k

The seven best goals kicked after the siren

Still can’t decide which way to tip this game.

Hawthorn vs Sydney: Friday Night Forecast

WINNER!

The curious case of the Fremantle Dockers

Good goal but no where near 90 metres. Closer to 65 metres. The distance it travels after it goes through the goals does not count. Never has any other time. A player 20m from goal kicks a 20 metre goal regardless of whether he dribbles it over the line or kicks it into the back of the 2nd deck.
Blight kicked just past the centre square.

The seven best goals kicked after the siren

Every team starts the year 0-0 nothing carries over. The slate is indeed wiped clean. Why not install Freo as premiership favourites, they were last years minor premiers? Why can’t the Eagles much a downward jump this year?

Home heroes and roadkill: The West Coast conundrum

How did the Eagles go the year prior to last?

2014: 9th, 11-11 116.9%
2015: 2nd, 16-5-1 148.2%

So much for trending the same each year.

Home heroes and roadkill: The West Coast conundrum

I think your margin for the Geelong v. Collingwood can be doubled easily and should really push to tripling it.

I don’t trust Melbourne to win let alone by 60+, they definitely should win but … it’s Melbourne.

GWS v. Bulldogs margin is too small too. GWS is going to towel up the puppydogs by ten goals.

Hawthorn v. Sydney is so hard to pick. I’ll probably waffle right until the first bounce and still not be confident in either side.

Round 9 AFL tips and best bets

No one said there wouldn’t be.

The exciting Giants are ready to be successful

If you go to the SCG you’ll miss the game, it’s at Spotless 😉

The exciting Giants are ready to be successful

You are correct, no one can stay up forever, however, its also true teams don’t need to bottom out for years on end either. Geelong went down and is now coming back.

Teams that sit at the top of the ladder, unless they have academies, generally don’t get ready made 18 yr olds. Doesn’t mean they don’t or won’t have stars, just means they have to develop them and they are usually considered ‘too old’ to qualify as ‘young guns’.

Ranking the AFL young guns

How is having to play a home game at another teams ground while losing millions of dollars doing so an advantage?

Home heroes and roadkill: The West Coast conundrum

Never said we should be treated as interstate. I said we are different from every other team in the comp. We have never had 11 home games in a year. Take Round 1 this year for example, We had a home game against your Hawks at your Hawks home ground. That’s clearly a home ground disadvantage. Coming up in a few weeks we have a ‘home’ game against North Melbourne, it’s at Etihad. Again home ground disadvantage. This happens every year and it costs the club millions of dollars for this dubious ‘privilege’.

Home heroes and roadkill: The West Coast conundrum

Who and how do you define who contends? Too much gray area whether someone is a ‘real’ contender or not. There is one premier and 17 losers. No gray area, no debate, no guessing. 14 out of the last 15 premiers have met the criteria. That clearly shows you have a higher probably to hold the cup aloft if your side meets it too. It not a guarantee. Kicking the most goals in a game is a similar indicator. You’ll usually win if you do, but not always.

What the indicator really shows is a team must be good at offence and defence. Any team that only excels at one or them other rarely wins a flag. Could it happen? Yes, absolutely, but not likely.

Debunking the AFL Premiership Indicator

Yeah as long as you disregard just about everyone who had then going one better than last year in the preseason.

West Coast aren’t flat track bullies

I didn’t say anything about home versus away. It’s not just wins and losses it’s the difference between 66 points average winning margin and 43 point average losing margin. The only clubs with close to that gulf is Port and Collingwood, two other teams going nowhere. It’s okay to lose to good teams, especially away, if you are competitive. WC isn’t, not when they lose by a 43 point average.

West Coast aren’t flat track bullies

The Eagles have a much better chance of missing the eight entirely than they do winning the flag this year. All they have shown this year is they can beat up on weak sides while being 5 goals off the pace of the real contenders.

West Coast aren’t flat track bullies

What you are missing is an interstate team gets to play a team that has had to travel 11 games a year. Melburnian teams only face opponents who have had to travel maybe 3 or 4 times. Interstate sides have a larger home advantage (and a bigger away disadvantage).

Home heroes and roadkill: The West Coast conundrum

You really should replace Victorian with Melburnian though. Geelong’s situation is unlike the rest.

Home heroes and roadkill: The West Coast conundrum

No thanks, I like players getting the same amount of time instead of the umpires forgetting to mentally try and count seconds and making it up as they go.

Changes could lead to more confusion with AFL shot clock

This is the first, the shot clock is new this year.

Changes could lead to more confusion with AFL shot clock

You do like to apply things incorrectly just to get your way don’t you? The stat isn’t one that says if you do this you are promised to win. It’s just a general indicator, if your side if in that window you have a better chance to win the flag than teams outside that window. Thats it. Thats all. Stop over applying it.

Debunking the AFL Premiership Indicator

If you ain’t first, you’re last. The fact those teams ‘almost’ accomplished something doesn’t debunk anything.

Debunking the AFL Premiership Indicator

It’s a tool, a useful one, but like any tool, it is useless on it’s own. Think of any stat like a brick, on its own its pretty worthless, but start stacking a bunch together and you build something.

Debunking the AFL Premiership Indicator

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