Australia faces a colossus in its bid for 2022 World Cup
By Adrian Musolino, 7 Mar 2010 Adrian Musolino is a Roar Expert
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Los Angeles Galaxy midfielder David Beckham, left, is tripped-up by New York Red Bulls midfielder Clint Mathis. AP Photo/Bill Kostroun
If we assume the 2018 World Cup is destined for Europe, as FIFA have all but confirmed, then 2022 is shaping up as a battle between Australia and the USA – a David and Goliath battle, according to Goliath.
US Soccer Federation president Sunil Gulati, representing Goliath, laid out a list of reasons why the USA should beat out their rivals to win the rights to host the World Cup in 2022, assuming, as we should, that Europe is earmarked for 2018.
Some of the reasons he gives are as follows:
- Economic might. $US14 trillion ($A15.46 trillion) GDP. “Given the world economic climate that is a difficult thing to do. Our funding comes from the private sector or donations. Because of the NFL and a number of universities, we have world class facilities without the need to build new ones,” he said.
- Population. “Lots of experience hosting events, a very large population, including a very large immigrant population with virtual guaranteed sell-outs for all 64 games,” he said.
- Based on confederation rotation, North America (CONCACAF), having last hosted the World Cup in 1994 in the USA, is due, particularly when its main rival, Asia, last hosted the World Cup in 2002 (Japan and South Korea).
- Ease. “The United States has more tickets to sell, is a good time zone, and there are a large number of commercial partners here,” he said.
- A united confederation. “We have the full support of (North and Central American Confederation) CONCACAF whether it comes to 2018 or 2022 by unanimous decision.” (Note: This is something Australia doesn’t even have from the Asian confederation).
All hard to argue against.
But that final point, regarding stadiums, is the most salient. The USA bid has 18 stadiums all named and accounted for that can fit a capacity of five million people.
Compared to the ongoing question marks surrounding available stadiums, the conflicts with rival codes, let alone the need for significant upgrading of infrastructure in Australia, the scope of our rivals’ stadium options dwarfs what Australia can currently offer.
Critically too, according to Gulati, America doesn’t need significant government support.
“We are not asking US government or state authorities to spend billions of dollars to build facilities,” he said.
Even if it did require significant government funding, you would sense it would be forthcoming considering the embarrassing failure of Chicago’s 2016 Summer Olympic Games bid leaves the World Cup bid as America’s sole chance for redemption in the coming decade.
In terms of financial backing and stadium suitability, therefore, the American bid, at present, is a much safer bet for FIFA than Australia’s.
An American World Cup also represents another chance for FIFA and the game to ‘crack’ the North American market.
The game is currently enjoying a growth spurt in the USA with a significant increase in ESPN’s World Cup coverage this year, the success of the national team at last year’s Confederations Cup, and the continued growth of the MLS, helped, somewhat, by ‘Beckham mania’.
If the 1994 World Cup was the chance for ‘soccer’ to reestablish itself in America through the rebirth of professionalism (through the creation of Major League Soccer), then 2022 could be the chance for the game to solidify its place in the American psyche.
Despite Australia’s bid propagating the notion that a World Cup on our shores, with its proximity to Asia would mean the tournament could tap into the region’s growing population and economy (a tenuous proposition considering the continued tensions between the FFA and AFC making them look like uncomfortable bedfellows), the fact remains that Asia doesn’t necessarily need to be ‘won over’ by the game.
America, with its economic might and cultural dominance over the western world, represents the last frontier for FIFA.
Whether this reasoning is a determining factor in the biding process remains to be seen.
What we do know is, at present, the American bid, with its mega-stadiums ready, is a colossus compared to Australia’s. If Australia wants to be in contention for 2022, it needs to look to America and accept that we have a lot of work to do just to be competitive.
Adrian Musolino is editor of V8X Magazine, and has written as an expert on The Roar since 2008, cementing himself as a key writer who can see the big picture in sport. He freelances on other forms of motorsport, football, cycling and more.
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March 7th 2010 @ 6:44am
Tifosi said | March 7th 2010 @ 6:44am | Report comment
Good article adrian.
Ive been saying this from day one. I just cant see FIFA passing up the opportunity to go back to the USA once more.
March 7th 2010 @ 7:11am
Elbusto said | March 7th 2010 @ 7:11am | Report comment
Well this will certainly make some Roar correspondents happy.
Our best hope might be that American arrogance might tilt the bid our way.
If we do not get in in 2022 we are looking at 2030 at the earliest IMHO.
March 7th 2010 @ 7:30am
matty1974 said | March 7th 2010 @ 7:30am | Report comment
Adrian, you’re right in saying that 2018 will go to Europe, but the USA will not win 2022. The reason Europe will get 2018 is purely due to politics and politics will also determine 2022. Here are some of the reasons USA will not win the bid.
1.Stadiums – The USA’s list is impressive, but FIFA does not require a host to have multiple 70-80,000 stadia. Not needing to build any new football stadia means there is zero legacy for football, an important component of the bid requirements. If having loads of massive stadia was the clincher, the WC would only ever be held in the USA.
2. It’s Asia’s turn – Gulati suggests that confederation rotation means that it’s CONCACAF’s turn. However confederation rotation has been scrapped (otherwise it would surely be Oceania’s turn). If USA were to get 2022, that would mean the USA has had 2 FIFA WC’s and CONCACAF has had 4 WC’s to Asia’s solitary 2002 edition. There are 5 Asian bidders and if Asia were to miss out to the USA, there would be an enormous political fallout in FIFA.
3 TIme Zone – The elephant in USA’s bid room. In 1994, all but a couple of games had kick off times between 11.30 and 16.30 local time (to suit european tv prime time). I have read extensively about all the bids and nowhere have the USA indicated how they will cater for their own prime time market (which would mean midnight – 4am kick off’s in Europe) and Europe. Let alone Asia, which is home to 2/3rd’s of the world’s population and the second most important TV market after Europe. Remeber TV rights for the WC is FIFA’s biggest income earner.
4. Europe will support Asia – Blatter faces a challenge to his Euro centric presidency in 2011 elections from one or more Asian candidates. The trade off for his re-election will be european support for Asia in 2022.
5. Politics – In his book “The ball is round – a global history of football”, David Goldblatt suggests that one reason that the USA was overlooked for the 1986 WC, was that during the 1974 WC, Henry Kissinger (1986 bidleader) kicked ex FIFA president Havelange out of a VIP box! Blatter has repeatedly requested that the USA run their season in line with Europe. A plea that has so far fallen on deaf ears. Politically USA is not popular around the world (witness failed Chicago Olympic bid) and has only 3 FIFA EX-Committee members, compared to Asia/Oceania which has 5.
I believe Oz will win 2022, but if not, it will be another Asian bidder, Korea is for me the dark horse.
March 7th 2010 @ 9:39am
Tifosi said | March 7th 2010 @ 9:39am | Report comment
1. “Remember TV rights for the WC is FIFA’s biggest income earner”
Its interesting then that the USA pays more for World Cup TV rights than any other country on the planet.
2. “Blatter has repeatedly requested that the USA run their season in line with Europe. A plea that has so far fallen on deaf ears.”
MLS runs from march 25 till november 21
Yet
Brazil runs their championship from May and ending in the beginning of December.
Russia starts on 12 March 2010. The last matches will be played on 29 November 2010.
J league – March 6 and will end on December 4
K-league – march to december
Yet for these countries its ok right?
3. “Not needing to build any new football stadia means there is zero legacy for football, an important component of the bid requirements.”
So the MCG, Skilled Stadium in Geelong, Adelaide Oval, Subiaco Oval, Carrara Stadium on Gold Coast are all leaving a legacy for football too are they?
Well i guess they will, for Australian Football.
ANZ,SFS,Canberra Stadium, Dairy Farmers already exist so what is the legacy being left by these stadia?
March 7th 2010 @ 10:33am
MV Dave said | March 7th 2010 @ 10:33am | Report comment
Where is your source for the US paying more than anyone else for the WC rights, not that it will have any effect on the hosting rights?
The stadiums in the USA to be used for the WC are not used at all for MLS football as those clubs are all building their own except Seattle. The stadiums in Oz will be used by the HAL clubs and Socceroos post WC.
The point you are ignoring is that the USA have had it and there was no infrastructure lagacy…FIFA wont make the same mistake twice. In Oz there will be some infrastructure leagcy including stadiums, to be used by football post 2022.
March 7th 2010 @ 10:48am
Tifosi said | March 7th 2010 @ 10:48am | Report comment
ABC\ESPN, Univision pay record $425 million for men’s, women’s Cups through 2014.
Calling it “the biggest TV deal in a single country in FIFA’s history,” world governing body FIFA announced a $425 million deal for World Cup television rights in the United States from 2007 to 2014.
http://www.soccertimes.com/worldcup/2005/nov02.htm
You dont think for a second that if the USA got the rights to one of those world cups in 2018/2022 it wouldnt be even higher?
March 7th 2010 @ 10:52am
MV Dave said | March 7th 2010 @ 10:52am | Report comment
Thanks…amazing figure but as l said dont believe it will have any bearing on the 2022 hosting rights. The TV revenue will continue to rise no matter where the WCs are held (as per the Olympics) and this figure does cover 2 WCs. Wonder what SBS paid?
March 7th 2010 @ 9:21pm
Michael C said | March 7th 2010 @ 9:21pm | Report comment
What soccer money is going into the MCG??? be nice to get some Govt money into it (more than $77 mill out of $576 mill total).
Bring it on!!
Adelaide, Subi etc will happen anyway – after, Ade Oval is in the main a redirection of funding/effort from upgrading AAMI and putting in a transport link – and Subi, well, that’d be done by now if not for the WC uncertainty.
presently we’re talking more about the ruddy uncertainty and FIFA timetable delaying projects that would be going ahead anyway – - – at this point, talk of ‘WC’ related spend is more about what extra considerations might be needed to be taken into account…..not necessarily about releasing the funds in the first place.
So, be careful about ‘project hi-jacking’…….a bit like what some at the FFA have tried to claim re the Gabba and the 2000 Soccer olympic tourney.
March 8th 2010 @ 7:12pm
Kickin Koala said | March 8th 2010 @ 7:12pm | Report comment
I did hear a new stadium was bein considered for west or sth west sydney, to be used along with the SFS
Add the fact Melb Heart will have a new stadium and you now have two stadiums in melb, two in sydney.
Bluetongue stadium will need to be extended on the 3 sides that have seating (i say leave the palm trees!)
Adeladies ground will also need to be extended.
Tasmania and Canberra will need new stadiums built.
To be that all sounds like its leaving a legacy for football in this country.
Its only been 4 world cups since the USA last hosted, if anything Canada have a better shot at it. Its the same issue i have with Japan and Nth Korea putting in bids to host when the world sit’s around the TV come 2022 and wonders “how did they get it again” Hell id rather Qatar get it than the USA again. I have nothing against the country, infact i love the USA, but i just feel that FIFA should spread the love around to new and interesting places, even if it means taking a bit of a risk like they have in rewarding the cup to Sth Africa ….
March 7th 2010 @ 8:06am
Michael Turner said | March 7th 2010 @ 8:06am | Report comment
Great article, however FIFA might have a tendency to try the less fancied, or riskier idea. This time being Australia. Just like with South Africa, it is risky, and would be used to tap into the local market.
Still USA have the upper hand in almost every aspect
March 7th 2010 @ 8:23am
MV Dave said | March 7th 2010 @ 8:23am | Report comment
No doubt will be tempting for FIFA to go with the Yanks…their last WC in 1994 averaged 68,000 for the 60 or so games and with MLS on the rise…but it is not new territory for the biggest tournament of the world game, Australia is. FIFA will have been very impressed, as the rest of the football world has been, in Australia’s bid so far (2nd behind England in a major international study; http://www.worldfootballinsider.com/Story.aspx?id=32968). The other aspect is there will be little if any footballing legacy from a US WC. In Oz the tournament will have a massive impact on the local version of the sport and coupled with the security and safety of a WC in Oz these may well be the swinging factors in Oz’s favour. Dont underestimate the influence of one F Lowy, who is a major player in this whole bidding game. Lowy is not used to losing and sees the Oz WC as very important for the continued rise of the game here.
Dont forget Chicago and their recent Olympics bid…they were the favorites and were well beaten in that race. Sure Oz may well be the underdogs in some people’s eyes in this race for the worlds greatest sporting event but…that’s how the Aussie’s like it. To pull this off and win the rights to host the 2022 WC would be the greatest effort in the history of sport here. Go team!
March 8th 2010 @ 10:32am
Ken said | March 8th 2010 @ 10:32am | Report comment
Hey MV Dave, why would there be a massive impact on the local league here but not in the US? I would have thought the environments similar (size not withstanding) in that both countries have relatively young professional soccer leagues which play second fiddle to more established games. Surely if the WC would have an impact here it would also do so there?
March 7th 2010 @ 8:23am
Punter said | March 7th 2010 @ 8:23am | Report comment
There is no doubt, it’s a David v Goliath battle, just exactly how Lowy & the Aussies like it.
I still remember waking up in the middle of the night in the mid 90s, think why am I doing this when China will win this & was pleasantly surprised to hear the words ‘Sydanee’ at the announcement. The general concenus is stll that while Beijing was very good it was still behind Sydney as the best Olympics & both were so much better than Atlanta or any other American olympics in recent times.
March 7th 2010 @ 8:30am
Jeb said | March 7th 2010 @ 8:30am | Report comment
Ironically maybe the best thing that Australia has going for it is the opposition of the other codes. and the will of my lowy of course.
As for the us – sure they can hold a wc tomorrow. I think it’s beyond us. There’s no precedent for a country of our population, let alone remoteness and size, holding a recent wc.
March 7th 2010 @ 3:30pm
ren said | March 7th 2010 @ 3:30pm | Report comment
genuinely interested to know how the opposition of the major codes is a plus…
March 7th 2010 @ 5:35pm
Jeb said | March 7th 2010 @ 5:35pm | Report comment
Ren,
as others have said Fifa is interested in growing the game in all parts of the world. It MAY count for something to know that there is opposition from, let’s face it, rival sports here. Fifa may want to take them on. maybe not. Also I’m sure blatter knows about the history of soccer here which imo has been about discrimination and marginalisation.
March 7th 2010 @ 5:41pm
Chris said | March 7th 2010 @ 5:41pm | Report comment
Somehow I doubt Blatter is going to hand Australia a World Cup in a quixotic effort to destroy two codes (NRL/AFL) he probably hasn’t even heard of.
March 7th 2010 @ 6:02pm
Jeb said | March 7th 2010 @ 6:02pm | Report comment
I doubt it very much also but “destroy” isn’t what anyone is talking about. Similarly it’s a distortion to put too much importance on one issue – hardly handing out a wc. all i’m saying is that historic opposition may be seen as a challenge to overcome.
March 7th 2010 @ 8:36am
Joe FC said | March 7th 2010 @ 8:36am | Report comment
It seems to me Adrian that you and perhaps too many other people are suffering from a case of “shock & awe” when it comes to things USA. As you correctly point out American affluence counted for nothing when it came to the 2016 Olympics. There can be no question that the USA bid has some significant advantages over ours but that doesn’t mean we do not have a credible case & that Lowy & Co. are not well aware of it. Regardless Adrian who says 2018 is earmarked for Europe? Blatter might have a preference for that but FIFA is not a one man show. Europe is not a unified, homogeneous society all working harmoniously towards a common goal. While that continent has certainly dominated previous WC hosting rights there is no law of nature that says the same must continue. Be prepared for the unexpected Adrian because there is still a lot of water to pass under the bridge before next December.
March 7th 2010 @ 11:23am
Mr cheese said | March 7th 2010 @ 11:23am | Report comment
It’s interesting, though, that
1) Europe gives a great deal of money for TV rights.
2) Europe has many thousands of travelling fans to attend a WC in the continent. How many tickets are left unsold for the coming WC ?
700,000 ?????????????????
March 7th 2010 @ 8:50am
MV Dave said | March 7th 2010 @ 8:50am | Report comment
“It seems to me Adrian that you and perhaps too many other people are suffering from a case of “shock & awe” when it comes to things USA” love it Joe…
March 7th 2010 @ 9:37am
Eamonn Flanagan said | March 7th 2010 @ 9:37am | Report comment
Will there be a World Cup after 2022? Does anyone know if the World is set to end after 2022?
Maybe USA in 2026!
2022 looking and sounding like Asia to me.