Wallabies vs Springboks: RWC Quarter Finals Q&A
By Brett McKay, 7 Oct 2011 Brett McKay is a Roar Expert
- Tagged:
- Dan Vickerman, Nathan Sharpe, Rugby Union, Rugby World Cup, RWC
Right then, time to get serious. World rugby supremacy will be awarded within the next three weekends, but before that, some dreams will be dashed and early flights will be required.
The Springboks have named their most experienced side in their history, with some 836 Test caps among their number. Interestingly, coach Peter de Villiers has retained Captain John Smit at hooker, and left one of the form players of the pool stage, Bismarck du Plessis, on the bench.
Likewise, there’s no room for “the Beast”, Tendai Mtawarira, in the South African 22 at all, and Bakkies Botha has now been ruled out of the tournament.
But none of that is likely to upset the ‘Boks very obvious game plan, and with Morne Steyn among the tournaments very best kickers of the flash new Gilbert, the Wallabies will know what they’re up against.
But knowing is one thing. Acting accordingly is something very different again. Already, much has been made of the appointment of referee Bryce Lawrence. The critics will point to all sort of stats that suggest Lawrence is hard on the Wallabies, but that cannot be a factor going into this game.
In fact, the equation is simple, as Roarer Snobby Deans so beautifully put it yesterday: “Adapt to the whistle or pack your bags.”
The Wallabies name their side at 11:30am AEDT today, and all eyes will be heading straight down the list to No.12, to see which inside centre Robbie Deans has named. Berrick Barnes can’t have done any more than he has in his Australian comeback to earn the Quarter Final start, yet all the mail around still points to Pat McCabe getting the nod.
I can’t fault McCabe’s performances at 12 so far this year, and I think he’s done exactly the job asked of him with so much creativity around him. But Barnes has just been irresistible in the 121 minutes he’s played so far in RWC2011. Moreover, his presence has had an obvious calming effect on those around him, particularly Quade Cooper.
Calmness in high pressure situations is like gold, and I hope too much isn’t been made of both the Wallabies wins over the ‘Boks this year.
I guess the other big question will be whether Nathan Sharpe or Dan Vickerman partners skipper James Horwill in the second row. South Africa are expecting Sharpe, but it remains to be seen if the Wallaby selectors are accommodating.
In the other Quarters:
• Just how fit is Richie McCaw?
• Is Martin Johnson having the classic bit each way, with Jonny Wilkinson at 10, and Toby Flood at 12? and..
• Has there been a more mouth-watering prospect this tournament than Ireland-Wales tomorrow afternoon?
Anyway, join me today for an hour from 12:30, and we’ll see if we can’t tackle the big issues leading into the sudden death clashes.
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- Explore:
- Dan Vickerman, Nathan Sharpe, Rugby Union, Rugby World Cup, RWC


October 7th 2011 @ 6:04am
Moaman said | October 7th 2011 @ 6:04am | Report comment
All Black team
1. Tony Woodcock (80)
2. Keven Mealamu (89)
3. Owen Franks (28)
4. Samuel Whitelock (22)
5. Brad Thorn (56)
6. Jerome Kaino (45)
7. Richie McCaw – captain (100)
8. Kieran Read (33)
9. Piri Weepu (53)
10. Colin Slade (9)
11. Sonny Bill Williams (11)
12. Ma’a Nonu (63)
13. Conrad Smith (52)
14. Cory Jane (28)
15. Mils Muliaina (99)
Reserves:
16. Andrew Hore (59)
17. Ben Franks (14)
18. Ali Williams (70)
19. Victor Vito (11)
20. Jimmy Cowan (50)
21. Aaron Cruden (6)
22. Isaia Toeava (35)
October 7th 2011 @ 12:35pm
Brett McKay said | October 7th 2011 @ 12:35pm | Report comment
Moa, thanks for posting this earlier, I’d not seen it at that point…
All Blacks are missing Dagg, Kahui, and Guildford to injury. Kahui was named by the RWC’s site as Player of Pool A, and Dagg is among the tournament’s leading tryscorers. Big losses, both of them. Sonny Bill Williams on the wing could be a risk and/or a masterstroke, but I expect him to play a similar roving runner role as does Ioane or O’Connor for Australia.
Of course, all that really matters is how Richie McCaw goes on one foot…
October 7th 2011 @ 12:58pm
2many1ndians said | October 7th 2011 @ 12:58pm | Report comment
Good Chiefs man stepping up and looking the goods but Kaino should’ve got the gong for best Pool A.
October 7th 2011 @ 1:02pm
Brett McKay said | October 7th 2011 @ 1:02pm | Report comment
2M1s, picking the best in Pool A must have been like naming your favourite child…
October 7th 2011 @ 6:20am
CizzyRascal said | October 7th 2011 @ 6:20am | Report comment
Ireland’s backrow has been fantastic throughout this competition (bias here I know) so do you think that Wales can them?
October 7th 2011 @ 6:23am
Moaman said | October 7th 2011 @ 6:23am | Report comment
Cizzy….That backrow has been magnificent but should the Ref rule the breakdown differently to say,the Italy match,their effectiveness may be nullified by penalties!
October 7th 2011 @ 6:26am
Rugby Fan said | October 7th 2011 @ 6:26am | Report comment
It’s the match-up we didn’t see in the Australia game after Pocock pulled out: can a specialist openside pick the pocket of a strong back row which lacks a true fetcher?
October 7th 2011 @ 12:41pm
Brett McKay said | October 7th 2011 @ 12:41pm | Report comment
Cizzy, I seriously cannot wait for this game, I know we’ve said over the last few weeks that this game or that game will be a cracker, but this Ireland-Wales game will be a proper c-r-a-c-k-e-r. O’Brien and Ferris against Warburton and co will be worth the exorbitant price of admission alone.
I’ll also be interested to see how Preistland-O’Gara plays out. Priestland has been pretty impressive in a very good team, but I think O’Gara’s last couple of outings at 10 have been top notch. It seems to me that he’s running a whole lot more than he used to, and perhaps that’s because of Sexton’s competition for the jumper. Either way, he’s brought Darcy and O’Driscoll back to life it seems, and O’Driscoll particularly has been excellent all tournament. I like the way Bowe roams too, very similar to the Shane Williams/Digby Ioane game.
This is the one game all tournament where I’ve not had a definite opinion on a winner. In some tipping comps i’ve gone for Wales, in others I’ve gone Ireland. I still can’t pick it..
October 7th 2011 @ 9:49am
ohtani's jacket said | October 7th 2011 @ 9:49am | Report comment
I love me a Brett McKay Q&A (hey, that rhymes) — Brett, I keep hearing conflicting reports out of the Wallabies camp about whether they will playing their natural attacking game or try to play something similar to “World Cup rugby.” How do you think the Wallabies should approach this game from a tactical viewpoint?
October 7th 2011 @ 12:45pm
Brett McKay said | October 7th 2011 @ 12:45pm | Report comment
OJ, one day we’ll be able to read emotion from text, and I’ll be able to work out whether your first sentence is a pisstake or not
Regardless, obviously the weather will play a part in determining the tactics, but I’ve got a feeling we’ll see something of a resumption of the Reds’ favoured inside runners game plan.
McCabe’s naming at 12 reinforces this for me, too.
I think we’ll see a lot of Cooper and Genia driftng wider to bring Ioane and forward runners back on the inside, hoping to exploit either Jean de Villiers’ love of taking an intercept (which will no doubt be improved by Cooper’s over-telegraphing his long pass), or alternatively, to find slow markers around the ruck.
Samoa weren’t quite good enough to exploit this last week, and if you get the runners away from Spies, Burger and Brussow, the sliding defence of Smit and co can be a bit slow in the middle.
Come the second half, I expect we’ll see Barnes on to take the attack wider, but trying to work the same inside ball options on de Villiers and Fourie.
October 7th 2011 @ 12:49pm
ohtani's jacket said | October 7th 2011 @ 12:49pm | Report comment
No pisstake. I’m all about Brett McKay for the next Wallabies coach.
October 7th 2011 @ 12:53pm
Brett McKay said | October 7th 2011 @ 12:53pm | Report comment
I’ll look forward to your knives coming my way then….
October 7th 2011 @ 12:57pm
ohtani's jacket said | October 7th 2011 @ 12:57pm | Report comment
I’m sure you’d do about a thousand times better job than the incumbent.
October 7th 2011 @ 1:03pm
Brett McKay said | October 7th 2011 @ 1:03pm | Report comment
I’ll take that with the good nature I’m sure was intended…
October 7th 2011 @ 10:55am
ElsomsEgo said | October 7th 2011 @ 10:55am | Report comment
Brett..I understand the basic reason that Deans is likely to go for McCabe over Barnes
He thinks it will be rubbish weather.. wants a direct..hard running centre and rates McCabe as a great defender BUT
Surely even if the weather is bad.. Barnes’ kicking game will be vital to take pressure off Quade.. he is a very solid defender himself (and is McCabe not recovering from a shoulder injury!?) and i actually think he runs better lines than McCabe in any event. Obviously this selection should not win or lose the game for Australia but exactly how much influence will it have over what gameplan the Wallabies employ?
October 7th 2011 @ 12:46pm
Brett McKay said | October 7th 2011 @ 12:46pm | Report comment
Elsoms, I think my answer above to OJ covers you too. But you’re spot on about Barnes’ kicking game taking pressure off Cooper, and I’m sure that will still be the case when he comes on.
How much Australia kick though might depend on whether the wind is cyclonic or only gale-force…
October 7th 2011 @ 12:56pm
ElsomsEgo said | October 7th 2011 @ 12:56pm | Report comment
Thanks Brett… i think im just a bit paranoid about this series of events:
1. The forward pack gets smashed..
2. Genia harrassed at breakdown.. cant get quality ball to Quade
3.Quade gets crap ball.. remembers options are a) be creative/stupid or b) give it to Mccabe to trundle it forward
4. Quade throws 30m cutout pass into waiting hands of Fourie
October 7th 2011 @ 11:51am
pjbreck said | October 7th 2011 @ 11:51am | Report comment
Any updates on the team? wil be interested to see if Barnes is on the bench…
October 7th 2011 @ 12:47pm
Brett McKay said | October 7th 2011 @ 12:47pm | Report comment
yes Pete, McCabe at 12, Barnes and Ant Fainga’a on the bench…
October 7th 2011 @ 11:52am
Gavin Norman said | October 7th 2011 @ 11:52am | Report comment
Does everyone see the McCabe -> Barnes tactile substitution by Deans at half-time or even the 50th minute mark? After the Boks come out firing etc… let Barnes direct traffic by hand or foot (with Quade at fullback) and put the Boks under pressure in their own half.
October 7th 2011 @ 12:32pm
Mango Jack said | October 7th 2011 @ 12:32pm | Report comment
Yep, forget the starting 15 vs bench divide. As many have already stated, it’s a 22 man squad. McCabe did the job against the boks in the 3N, and no doubt Barnes will come on at some point (especially if either Cooper is not handling the pressure or JOC’s kicking radar is off) to open them up. Anyway, our forwards have to turn up for any of this to matter.
October 7th 2011 @ 12:51pm
Brett McKay said | October 7th 2011 @ 12:51pm | Report comment
Gav, OJ will be still be sitting back laughing at your use of the word ‘tactical’, but that’s the way I imagine it’ll play out. I’m not sure how much the Wallabies will kick for the line early on, perhaps wanting to not bring Matfield into the game, but if Sharpe is going well in the lineouts, then I’m sure they’ll want Barnes’ smart kicking to keep this going.
The ‘Boks earlier in the week were talking up Sharpe in the lineout, but they were also talking up Bryce Lawrence’s scrum interpretations too, so take that however you like…
October 7th 2011 @ 12:55pm
ohtani's jacket said | October 7th 2011 @ 12:55pm | Report comment
If I figure the only way McCabe comes off early is if he re-injures himself. If there’s a tactical substitution that needs to be made, Deans will make it at least 20 minutes too late. I’l stake my reputation on it!!!
October 8th 2011 @ 11:58am
johnny-boy said | October 8th 2011 @ 11:58am | Report comment
I’d be surprised if McCabe lasts more than 15 minutes, pleasantly surprised at medical techinology if he last 30 minutes and shocked if lasts the game. Not counting the last 30 seconds when strategic genius Deans brings on Barnes
October 8th 2011 @ 6:13pm
Mike said | October 8th 2011 @ 6:13pm | Report comment
j-b,
At what point did Deans bring on Barnes in his last match? I seem to recall it was the end of the first half…?
October 7th 2011 @ 9:22pm
chloe said | October 7th 2011 @ 9:22pm | Report comment
Berrick could also come on later to kick a few drop goals if needed..
October 7th 2011 @ 12:13pm
AJ said | October 7th 2011 @ 12:13pm | Report comment
The Boks have defended very well and I think have lowest points against.This in the pool of death so can’t be attributed to poor opposition.Can the wallabies do something different tactically to crack them?(sorry just reaised very similar to one above)
October 7th 2011 @ 12:56pm
Brett McKay said | October 7th 2011 @ 12:56pm | Report comment
AJ, they have, and you’re right about their points against tally, but as I mentioned above, there is still holes to exploit around the ruck, IF the opposition is good enough. As I mentioned above, Samoa weren’t quite, but I hope Australia are. You may or may not agree with me, I’m not sure of your allegiance…
October 7th 2011 @ 1:29pm
AJ said | October 7th 2011 @ 1:29pm | Report comment
Going for Wallabies,hope they find their mojo, but let the best team win and all that……
Thanks for that Brett
October 7th 2011 @ 1:31pm
Brett McKay said | October 7th 2011 @ 1:31pm | Report comment
quite right AJ. Win or lose, I just hope it’s a proper knockout type of game..
October 7th 2011 @ 12:33pm
Brett McKay said | October 7th 2011 @ 12:33pm | Report comment
hi everyone, thanks for firing these questions in early, even if it’s meant I’ve had to keep my powder dry on other threads. Will work my way from the top down, so if you haven’t already, fire in your questions now…
October 7th 2011 @ 12:38pm
Who Needs Melon said | October 7th 2011 @ 12:38pm | Report comment
Brett, what are your thoughts on who should be starting 12 this weekend for the Wallabies?
My thoughts: Kafer did usual stuff showing the differences between McCabe and Barnes on the Rugby Club last night. And yes, I acknowledge McCabe offers some things that Barnes doesn’t. But in a match where the Boks will be big and bustling as usual, I would actually prefer us NOT to try to match them in bulk and play to OUR OWN strengths. And I can’t help feeling a zippier, smarter, more skilful backline will serve us better agains the Boks than a bash-and-barger will.
October 7th 2011 @ 1:01pm
Brett McKay said | October 7th 2011 @ 1:01pm | Report comment
Melon, I saw Kafe’s analysis last night, and I do agree with a lot of it. It doesn’t surprise me that McCabe’s been named, and I think he’s done very well this year in a very new position (and playing a new role for him), but I peronally would’ve gone with Barnes.
That said, I wouldn’t be surprised if the appearance of a “bash-and-barger” midfield is a decoy for what they actually want to do, bringing O’Connor and Ioane inside from the back. Cooper’s going to have to be patient, but I reckon there’ll be plenty of opportunity to exploit de Villiers and Fourie’s perchant for charging out of the line..
October 7th 2011 @ 1:06pm
Who Needs Melon said | October 7th 2011 @ 1:06pm | Report comment
Jeez let’s hope so Brett. I think I just have to switch off the criticality now and assume there is some master plan too grand for my simplistic brain to grasp. You’re right, McCabe has done well. So…
Go McCabe! Go Barnes! And go the Wallabies!!!
October 7th 2011 @ 1:29pm
Brett McKay said | October 7th 2011 @ 1:29pm | Report comment
..and go Melon!!
There has to be some plan. Otherwise, we’d all be in Wellington wearing Wallaby tracksuits and kicking balls into the hurricane and Robbie Deans would be sitting behind some psuedonym Roaring about how good or bad we coach….
October 7th 2011 @ 5:10pm
Sprigs said | October 7th 2011 @ 5:10pm | Report comment
Ha, ha.. nice..
October 7th 2011 @ 12:43pm
Gavin Norman said | October 7th 2011 @ 12:43pm | Report comment
I get the impression that some people have missed the team:
Kurtley Beale; James O’Connor, Adam Ashley-Cooper, Pat McCabe, Digby Ioane; Quade Cooper, Will Genia; Radike Semo, David Pocock, Rocky Elsom; James Horwill (capt), Dan Vickerman; Ben Alexander, Stephen Moore, Sekope Kepu. Replacements: Tatafu Polota Nau, James Slipper, Nathan Sharpe, Ben McCalman, Luke Burgess, Berrick Barnes, Anthony Fainga’a
October 7th 2011 @ 1:05pm
Brett McKay said | October 7th 2011 @ 1:05pm | Report comment
Thanks Gav – interesting stat I read this morning, noting the team named:
Australia have given away 41 penalties in the four pool games, of which Vickerman and Kepu account for 5 each – more than 20% between them. Hold still, Dan, we just need to add one more piece of tape……