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A spectacular goal-scoring game or a breakout season can result in rapid movement up a club’s top 100 goal scorers list. This differs from the top 100 game players list where progress can only be made one game at a time.
On the other hand, success is not guaranteed with every game played and therefore it can be hard to predict big advances.
Which clubs will have the big improvers amongst their top goal scorers then?
Adelaide already have three top ten goal scorers playing and the leading current goal scorer, Taylor Walker is 57 goals behind all-time Number one Tony Modra.
Only twice in his ten years at the club has Walker kicked this many goals and his average of 2.29 goals per game suggests he would need 25 games to topple Modra from the top spot, so it appears unlikely that he will achieve number one in 2019.
Josh Jenkins is in the fifth spot and should score the two goals needed to pass Andrew McLeod and the 19 goals required to pass Mark Ricciuto and claim third on the Crows’ all-time top goal scorers list.
However, he may be usurped by Eddie Betts whom he climbed above on the list in 2018 and who sits only one goal behind him, whereas Tom Lynch needs 24 goals to become a top 10 goal scoring member at Adelaide.
Dayne Zorko became a top ten goal scorer at Brisbane during the year by averaging just over a goal a game and a similar effort in 2019 would see him move rapidly up to 6th place. The Lion’s leading goal scorer this year was Eric Hipwood and I expect an even better 2019, and that he may move from 22nd to 14th on the list.
With 21 goals between them this year, Carlton’s three current top 100 goal scorers could be called occasional scorers at best but Matthew Krueser will surely score the one goal he needs to leapfrog the players ahead of him
This year’s leading goal scorer, Charlie Curnow, could also make the list with a repeat performance in 2019.
(Photo by Michael Willson/AFL Media/Getty Images)
Collingwood – with five top 100 goal kickers on their list – actually upgraded one of them swapping number 54 Alex Fasolo for the return of 41st Dayne Beames.
However, they also delisted Jarryd Blair. Scott Pendlebury (36th), Beames and Steele Sidebottom (44th) will progress slowly if at all, and Jamie Elliott (53rd) is an unknown element.
If Jordan DeGoey can repeat his heroics from this year, he will climb up the ladder from his lowly equal 98th position to a ranking within the 50s and challenge Alex Fasolo’s final tally for the Magpies.
In addition, regular contributions from the club’s many quality forwards mean that four other goal kickers are 25 goals or less away from joining the elite.
Josh Thomas, Darcy Moore, Will Hoskin-Elliott and Ben Reid will be watched closely.
Mason Cox, Jaidyn Stephenson, Adam Treloar, Brodie Grundy and even Taylor Adams are just a bit further back and could potentially make the top 100 goal kickers list by the end of 2020.
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