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Opinion

Harness racing selections: Wednesday, December 2

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Roar Guru
1st December, 2020
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Three meetings will be run and won on Wednesday night, beginning with Mildura, which plays host to a ten-race program. Below are the best bets for the respective programs.

Mildura

Best bet: Race 1, Number 1, Selaphobia
If she can’t win here, I am not sure where she will win. It looks like a perfect race for her, but that has been said in recent outings, including a couple of runs here when this horse was a beaten favourite both times. This horse was good in defeat last time at Kilmore but from the pole here, she holds up comfortably, leads and she should be winning, but this is last-chance territory.

Next best: Race 8, Number 7, Egodan
I like that he’s had a few weeks off. This horse hasn’t raced since Cup Day on November 3. He had a really sticky draw and couldn’t get involved from where he was. He is the only horse on the second line. In the run, he’ll be ahead of key rival Bernie Winkle and that’ll be the case on the line, with Egodan winning.

Value: Race 7, Number 1, Falcons Beauty
She is a worthy each-way gamble at double figures. This horse’s recent form has been patchy, but last time out she had leaders back and it was an ugly watch if you were on her at the big odds. If the breaks go her way this time around, she can run a much improved race and will go around at likely decent odds.

Bathurst

Best bet: Race 3, Number 1, Molliesmaryelle
If she can repeat what she did first up, she’ll take a power of beating despite rising in grade. This horse changed stables when resuming here a month ago. This horse started $1.20, led, did it comfortably, and drew clear late to win quite impressively. It is harder here, but this horse should hold up and lead from the inside and she looks like the one to beat. This horse is the best on the card.

Next best: Race 7, Number 4, Yes Eye See
The market will be fascinating with this race. This race looks like a race in two between this girl and Windy Hill Wally. That horse has race fitness under the belt but the recent trial of Yes Eye See at Young was sharp and if she can bring that to the races here, she’s a good gamble in a thin race.

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Value: Race 5, Number 1, Tulhurst Cuddles
Major Bracken looks smart and should prove too good for them. But I could entertain a 1×3 play on Tulhust Cuddles. This horse is racing quite well at the moment, albeit in weaker races than this. But she does have gate speed and should hold a forward spot from the inside, hopefully leaders back, but likely three pegs. This horse can run top three with luck in running.

Redcliffe

Best bet: Race 2, Number 1, Maywins Jewel
If the win from last week hasn’t busted her, she’s the best on the program. It was a big win from her. This horse was three wide for a fair chunk of the race yet kept going under pressure and was too good for her rivals. This horse has gate speed, so should hold the lead from the inside. With a key threat drawn wide, she can take advantage and prove too tough.

Next best: Race 1, Number 1, Tuapeka Light
Odds of $5 would be a more than acceptable price for this Darren Weeks mare. This horse had a tricky draw last time out but she was good late when beaten by 4.5 metres into fifth position. This horse has the pole, and does have gate speed, so if they use it here, she can hold up and lead, or at worst leaders back. Either way, this horse will be hard to beat.

Value: Race 4, Number 7, Duke
His genuine winning chances will depend on Ghost Gum and whether that horse can hold the lead. Whatever the set up, he does no work in the run and a 1×3 play at good odds looks like the way to go. This horse tried here last week when fourth but gets an economical trip this time around and runs a positive race at odds.

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