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Opinion

Harness racing selections: Saturday, December 19

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Roar Guru
18th December, 2020
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Three key programs have been set down for Saturday night across the east coast. Below are the best bets for the respective programs.

Melton

Best bet: Race 3, Number 2, Hy Leinvincible
There is a bit of guessing here given he is making his Victorian debut after formerly being in WA, but off his recent trial work, he has a touch of quality and should prove too good for these. This horse is now with Adam Kelly. This horse has only had one start, which came at Pinjarra, and was good in defeat, running third. This horse had a good time when winning a recent trial here and looks to have above-average ability.

Next best: Race 7, Number 2, Sicario
He’s back and he can continue his winning ways. This horse had the dream sit off the speed here two weeks ago and pounced to win and win well in a return to winning form. This horse has drawn well. This horse will potentially find the lead and from there, his class will pretty much get him home.

Value: Race 5, Number 8, Rollova
$8 is more than acceptable for this guy. He was very good here last Saturday night after being snagged back from the wide gate to get an economical run on the pegs. He zoomed home and rattled off some fast late splits. If he can hold the back of likely leader Franco Jolto, he’ll go very close to winning.

Harness racing

Harness racing. (Photo by Kai Schwoerer/Getty Images)

Albion Park

Best bet: Race 3, Number 1, Colt Thirty One
It will be a nervous watch over the first 200 metres or so. I will be looking to see if he can hold up from the inside gate, but if he does hold the lead inside, then it’s race over. He was so brave on speed last week in the Blacks A Fake. This horse is not known as humming off the mobile, but he has these on toast regarding class. Gamblers can anchor him in multis for the night.

Next best: Race 4, Number 8, Arnold
If he steps away cleanly from the standing start, he just wins. He’s better than this lot and Craig Cross really has him flying at the moment. This horse spanked them from the mobile here last Saturday. Now this horse is here under stand start conditions and steps out to a staying trip, but all things being equal, he should prove too good for these.

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Value: Race 1, Number 1, Major Generaljujon
Double figures is a decent enough price to speck this guy each way. This horse ran over the 2138 metres here on Tuesday and just didn’t get the rub of the green at the right time. This horse was looking to get clear from the 1/1 but got held up late and should have fought the finish out. This horse has drawn the pole. This horse can hold a forward spot and run a positive race.

Menangle

Best bet: Race 2, Number 9, Wrangler
This horse has to overcome a wide barrier, but does look to have a fair bit on these in terms of class. This horse ran here two weeks ago in a Group 3 where he got shuffled back from the pole but was still good in defeat behind Cash N Flow. This horse just needs to overcome the gate to win.

Next best: Race 3, Number 1, Arma Hotshot
I am confident he can bounce back into the winners list. This horse ran last Saturday in the Group 3 Christmas Gift Final where he had little to no luck from the gate and just forget he went around behind Firestorm Red. This horse has drawn the pole. I am expecting Jack Trainor to be very positive from the outset, likely leading, and he’ll prove too good.

Value: Race 6, Number 2, Mafuta Vautin
I doubt he beats Cash N Flow, but I can certainly entertain 1×3 at $26. This horse ran fifth to that horse here two weeks ago after showing gate speed and was only beaten 5.5 metres. This horse has drawn much better this time around. He gets a similar run, likely three back pegs, or hopefully leaders back. If either of those two scenarios eventuates, he runs top three.

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