alascule

Roar Rookie

Joined January 2019

Views

Published

Comments

PhD Candidate, Talent Development in women's cricket! B. ExSc & B.Psych, enthusiastic learner and coach.

Published

Comments

alascule hasn't published any posts yet

I like this idea of weighting the averages because it’s important to consider recent patterns of performance, but is only runs average the best way to assess this? Are we looking for their process or outcome, and which one predicts success? Cricket is an outcome based game, but the process is what you can control. CricViz have come up with other ways to look at it through false shot %, attacking shot %, contact averages and dismissals/defensive shot.
– I’m not sure a difference of 0.8 is enough to select Handscomb over Burns, or other batters who are within a few points.
– Renshaw was popular for his perceived ability to bat time, and his effective dismiss/defence rate suggesting that he lasts 30% longer at the crease than expected (probability modelling). But he’s not the best scorer, so again, which would you prefer to bank on?
○
– Same argument again for the bowlers, love the weighted averages but I don’t think it’s enough to differentiate, there must be other parameters available. And there’s always the argument of team balance, so where do we draw the line of variety or effectiveness? If being LH was an advantage, he’d have a higher average I guess. Giving Tremain a go is justified I reckon.
– I like that Lyon genuinely stands out, but there are three bowlers really vying for selection as the spin option.
– I’m so happy to see Neser in the mix too, it’s about time. He’s such a quiet achiever and I think the measure for all-rounder is done really well. I don’t think it’s worth considering Cummins in both though, he’s already in as a fast bowler but it does help organise the end of the batting order.
○ How nice does a genuine fifth bowler sound though!
– It’s so hard to calculate the keeper scores because each Shield team creates a different set of opportunities, and no effectiveness stats makes it hard define them. Unfortunately that means it falls back to batting, but are you willing to sacrifice chances in the field for runs?

Moneyball: Selecting the Australian Test team on stats only

View Comment

Cricket

2019