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Geelong
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GWS if they can bring their game to the G. Their best is close to the best.
At this point, it's Geelong's flag to lose
I’m not so sure about the cats flogging the dogs. I think the doggies are looking all right at the moment and might match up reasonably well. Potential good match/banana skin
Nine talking points from AFL Round 8
I think grubby is a stretch. He’s always played the ball. As Chris Scott said though his technique for blocking running players needs urgent refinement. Still don’t think it deserves a week. He’s playing with fire though.
Nine talking points from AFL Round 8
How about the JLT series for a magic round, just like the domestic cricket ODI series. Not sure I agree with it during the H&A
Nine talking points from AFL Round 8
Ryan, I do love the stats based articles. The Pythagorean Theory seems to work neatly in home and away, how does it go with predicting finals, GF participants and Premiers?
There's only one AFL team we can trust with seven rounds in the books
Just saying rehearsals look good so far this year
Geelong are setting the pace; the AFL season is in their control
MCG 2019 games played:3.
MCG 2019 games won 1: 3.
Geelong are setting the pace; the AFL season is in their control
Exactly. The off season Re-think was about winning finals hence the reshuffle of selwood and Ablett has as much to do with protecting their bodies, so when finals come they’re cherry ripe.
Geelong are setting the pace; the AFL season is in their control
As a Cats fan I’m still happy with the balance of 9 home games and 2 home games at the G – it primes us for grand finals. A better posit than the Tassie scenario is would the players (not coaches) prefer to play Hawthorn in front of 70k at the G and what’s actually better for the game?
As a basis for providing some data facts behind what the Cats give up for these games according to Matt Cowgill it’s around 28.6% (difference between wins@home v wins@away – I’ll lave others to discuss whether this is more or less pronounced at the G) – either way it’s a substantial advantage.
http://www.espn.com/espn/feature/story/_/id/19752486/footy-forensics-does-home-ground-advantage-exis
How Geelong gets robbed by the AFL
Hard to argue with any of that Cameron at this stage. Though in looking to make sense of what has seemed to be an almost nonsensical start to the season I’ve tried to see where the seasons winning system will come from. Contested possession is part of it, but the midfield-forward cohesion seems to be the style that’s been developed to counter organised and roll-back defence. I’m really looking forward to Geelong v Richmond or if I over simplify it contested-chaos v contested-cohesion because I think we’ll find out if the cats coaches have a solution. GWS certainly look like they’ve got a good system too. Collingwood I have to say I’m a bit baffled with some of their systems, that possession footy seemed a backward step – will it win a premiership? Not sure but it’s interesting to see something different. Port look exciting, like Richmond a few years back. All in all I think it’s another pretty even season.
Round 6 AFL stocktake: How is each club positioned?
It certainly impacted his desire to head closer to his home. His wife had twins mid way through the season last year and tragically one died after a few days. He was there for 10 years though and he never consistently hit lite performances for whatever reason. Change is sometimes good. It looks like his unique assets are being encouraged at Geelong I.e. use your speed to tackle, run to space, take a screamer. I know the coaches and players are also encouraging Ratugolear to take a speccy every week, and after being a bit teflon hands since coming back from injury he’s starting to flunk a couple.
AFL Power Rankings 2019: Round 6
Rohan has always been a gun. I can’t believe the cats got him for so low a trade, though I guess the injuries depleted his value a slightly. He didn’t get on with the Sydney game plan, though I recall a game last year when the swans forward line was depleted and he ripped the game apart. You’re right though, still a question mark on him staying on the park. There were similar questions about Ablett last year where many questioned his hamstrings. I’m glad their both proving this wrong so far and I hope Menzel gets on the park and stays there because the game is much better to watch when players strut their stuff and these 3 are worth watching imo.
AFL Power Rankings 2019: Round 6
This is such sensationalist click bait heading and shouldn’t be on roar. Geelong are in the mix with 10 other teams at this stage of the season. I find it staggering that “Expert” Jay Croucher doesn’t believe the cats should be on the same line of betting as the cats. Based on what? The pies haven’t shown a great deal. GWS and West Coast have and so have Geelong. Geelong were down against GWS last week and yet still could have won in what was a pretty good contest. As mentioned Geelong were equally wasteful, error prone crows why? Cats pressure maybe? Melbourne are woeful – where did “expert” Jay have them finishing in his preseason predictor? We won’t learn much this week but I expect Jay to be very humble and abdicate his “expert” title the following week if the cats come out on top
'Overrated' Cats will still beat the Hawks on Easter Monday
It’s a fair question. You can throw Cockatoo and probably Menzel into the mix as well and if you go back further to 2007 players like Egan, I seem to recall there being a bit going on about the sports science program. With Dean Robinson there at the time. The whole high-twitch small forward seems to have been plagued by our program. Though it’s interesting that Ablett hasn’t missed (touch wood) too many games as many had predicted.
The unexpected rise of Lincoln McCarthy
Nice to know. I wonder what makes this special? Either way it felt right.
Five areas the AFL urgently needs to address
The fact is Bomber Thomson not only didn’t coach in 2011 but given what we know now it probably would have been a train wreck if he had. Was Chris Scott lucky to have the list he did? Yes, but that just put the team potentially in the mix. But let’s not forget how Geelong we’re bundled out in 2010 and labelled as too old and too slow all year. Yes the senior players helped galvanise this but Scott was the coach and they won the premiership. It’s like saying Joyce didn’t deserve the 1988 hawthorn premiership. If anything I actually rate both more because they did it in the first year. Every year each team with groups of players, coaches and support staff go on a mission to win a flag. Each is contained and separate from year to year. IMO its a very low brow argument to say it was a gift.
The Eagles have the flag at their mercy
What’s the big deal with the 666 warning. Saves a massive penalty and I’m sure it won’t be there next year. The alternative is a massive whack for something that is a big change to the way recent footy has been played. Why do we have to alter it mid season? Honestly this is a non issue. St Kilda tried to tactically exploit it? Spare me. I know umpires have poor eyesight but even they can count to six twice.
Five areas the AFL urgently needs to address
The commentators mentioned the ball being thrown up would have saved two seconds if the bounce was recalled. Given how they’d bounced all game it was 50-50 to be a poor ball up. I love a ball up but it’s been noticeably poor this year imo
Five areas the AFL urgently needs to address
Three games in and this comment wins the contest for zero correct predictions ????????????
Are the Adelaide Crows winning the Patrick Dangerfield trade?
Ryan an insightful and measured article as always, thank you. I suspect over the course of the next 3 rounds we will discover a lot more about where some of these teams sit.
Geelong has answered their most pressing off-season questions. Now for a premiership
Actually 2018 WCE proved it – fact ????. It’s 2019, with new rules, injury-riddled Richmond, joyful Brisbane and a wild looking ladder (at this stage). Eagles have looked good in the last two games but they looked like they were struggling to keep up with 2019 footy in round one. Part of that you put down to playing deep in September. As you rightly point out favouritism is pointless at this stage because you don’t win the flag this time of year. Let me ask you this, which team has greater potential to improve over the remainder of the H&A: Brisbane, WCE or Geelong.
Also not sure your this team beat this team better so is x-times better argument is valid, doesn’t that make the Lions the favourites?
The Eagles have the flag at their mercy
Apart of course for the 2011 premiership. Not sure he chocked that year.
The Eagles have the flag at their mercy
Like Western Bulldogs in 2016 or Richmond in 2017? Geelong have actually played finals recently they just got beat up and spat twice, but it’s still experience. Geelong has a well structured organisation and now they’ve implemented a time honoured game plan. They’ve fixed a lot of their issues. I’m not saying Geelong are the current favourites but they are in the conversation and I expect they will be there when the whips are cracking come finals.
The Eagles have the flag at their mercy
It is an odd one and there is ample evidence to prove home ground advantage is statistically significant (old but good article here and the noise of affirmation generates more frees for. There is also significant data that suggests form is actually the biggest factor in predicting a winner it effectively covers in the region of 5-8 games as a guide. So if the Tigers nail their run home, with injured players returning they could hit the finals like a bullet.
MCG form matters in the AFL, just not how you think