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Joined September 2013
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OK So on face value you have reduced it from 27 to 16 group ones. Cant ever see this happening whilst a breeder is chairman of the farm.
But for the sake of argument, Sydney currently has 6 group 1 races over the spring. This program has you downgrading 4 of them and moving 1 down to Melbourne and in return Sydney gets the Moir stakes. Should we just move Randwick and Rosehill down to Mexico while we are at it?
Australian racing calendar restructure: Melbourne and Sydney spring
Re the Oakleigh, I am a big fan of Heatherly and it was an awesome time, but she had a soft lead last start and I would expect a lot more pressure this time around. No they aren’t the best sprinters in the land and generally its going to be the best weighted of them that wins this. Suggest its not as straightforward as you think. I could definitely make more than half a case for over half the field.
Questionmarks on how the 3yos run under pressure from the older horses, if the pace will be too hot up front and can she sustain that quick time two races in a row? I think $6 the field is reasonable for that sort of risk. Remember Petite Filous was a 3yo spruik horse that got send out short fav against the older horses after racking up a picket fence of results and Buffering taught her a lesson then…. They arent bombproof as 3yos. But I do like that she has seen the track and clearly is pretty good!!
Can Scissor kick figure in the Futurity? Any guide to trial form?
2016 Blue Diamond Stakes: Group 1 preview and tips
Press Statement is the best of the 3yos anyway. Keen to see how he progresses this autumn.
Having said that Exosphere is a brute of a horse. Japonisme got all the breaks in the Coolmore. He was 50-1 wasn’t he?
And see below, I have had a high opinion of headwater, hope he gets it right from now on!
Unveiling the top 25 weight for age horses in Australian racing
Three-year-old stars set to dominate autumn
Chautauqua for me. Good track down the straight he will be hard to beat. Cant take exosphere at the price, you are just speculating based on trial form. Its tricky down the straight for horses and while exosphere was in the bad part of the track last start, he never really looked comfortable. O’Shea has had his horses turned out ready to go first up so far this prep (Holler!) so I am sure is is ready to go, but Chaut and Terravista are some of the best sprinters on the planet. (hate delectation he is a rogue).
Group 1 Lightning Stakes: Preview and tips
Isaac John is a good young player too. Very direct. I thought he was good the couple of times he played for the panthers.
An early look at the 2016 NRL halves pairings: Part 2
Because they aerated the centre of the track to stop the swoopers dominating as it was in 2014. Which might of been fine, save for the massive deluge saturday morning which no one predicted. This meant that the rain fell in the divots all down the track and created the bog and the track hasn’t recovered since.
Emirates Stakes day: Group 1 previews and tips
owners get to choose their barrier based on order in which they are drawn out of a hat.
Great field and plenty of interest this year!! Arod and Highland reel are quality internationals thats for sure! Leaning towards Criterion at this stage. He needed the run first up but was still too good for them. Plenty of analysis and pondering to come!
Cox Plate 2015: Full field and barrier draw
Feign Game will have to do it the hard way to win the Cup. you will need a bit of luck if your plan is to weave between horses. He does have an amazing sprint though. I think Trip to Paris was a great run as well, he will be hard to hold out. His sectionals were off the chart!
Plenty more racing to come though, I don’t think that you can assess the Melb cup with any confidence until after next week. Preferment could be building nicely. It’s a pretty good path to go from cox plate and drop down to hcp for the Melbourne cup. I cant help but think he is building for the Melb cup only.
Baker said the Khan’s grand final was the Caulfield cup, so remains to be seen if he has peaked, but gee he is a great stayer!
Melbourne Cup 2015: What the Caulfield Cup means for the field
He isn’t worthy of champion tag until he wins a top shelf Group 1 (fex like Haradasun). Sadly he will be cottoned off to stud most probably before realising his potential as a racehorse, so sad to say he will never get the opportunity.
I reckon Cinque got it right, Exosphere is a champion indeed!
Not sure why you think Royal Descent is a wet tracker. She came within the tightest of margins of winning an epsom on a good track last spring, ran second to sacred falls in the george main when she got held up for a run and bloused them this prep in the warwick stakes first up..also on a good track. All the melb runners have been finishing in a heap, so looking at preferment/Royal descent for new form lines. She will go close today and at the weights, I am all in.
2015 Turnbull Stakes: Racing live updates, tips and results
I backed Volk last start but I think i read that the trainer came out and said he still wasnt quite fit and had a bit of condition. To that extent and I think 2000m is his best distance he could definitely feature in the finish.
I also like Royal descent at the weights!
Melbourne Group 1s: Moir Stakes and Turnbull Stakes
http://www.racing.com/news/2015-09-29/comment-epsom-weights-shambles-a-warning
Just found this. interesting article too.
Epsom Handicap or Epsom Stakes?
Once again its the breeders that win out of a compressed weight scale. What a farce. The fact is Messara has a massive conflict of interest that is ruining the sport as a spectacle. Our top handicap races have been completely compromised of late.
I agree completely with the thrust of this article. Following up on Mark Reid’s excellent article it would be nice to see 2nd tier racing with exemption ballot to our g1 handicaps. But sadly it’s not the race clubs that control racing any more.
Epsom Handicap or Epsom Stakes?
When did Anthony Cummings last train a favourite in a race? 1990?
Muraqaba defying logic to remain unbeaten
I didn’t read it as once you are in div 2 you are precluded from rising in the ranks during a season. I read it as there being some end game to the bm 75 division for example. Melb has the winter sprint series etc. A collection of linked races leading to an overall title. The greyhounds have racing leading up to finals as well and I don’t really follow them, but surely that would create some interest as well as opposed to endless winter wet track donkeys just going round and round to fill up sky space.
So you might have instead of BM 75 a div 3 championships over the spring with several lead up races to a DIV 3 championship title. You qualify by meeting the hcp criteria. If you win the first race by 6 lenghts you will move on to bigger and better things, but otherwise you would be [steadily grinding] towards qualification to the big final BM75 champion stakes.
Mark Read: Australia's most innovative bookie on where racing is at, and where it needs to go
Great read agree an excellent article.
I have to agree that Breeding is taking away from the product. Its a real annoyance of mine seeing top colts retired at 3. Deadset. Lohnro raced until he was 6. Hopefully supply and demand fundamentals will see this balance out over time.
Further, it would create a lot more interest having clear spring/autumn pathways for A grade and B grade horses. Its nice to have racing building up to ‘finals’. As a racing enthusiast you know pretty much if a horse is heading to the cox plate or not, but for a casual race goer it would definitely help marketing knowing lead up races and which ones apply to which horses. Overall agree with Mark’s sentiments that the current system is wildly out of date and even their recent scheduling changes are still debatable whether they make any sense.
Mark Read: Australia's most innovative bookie on where racing is at, and where it needs to go
What about Chance to Dance in the Hill Stakes? If you are confident on the United States then you would have to be seriously considering this chap. Also it’s interesting to see James Mac on Magic Hurricane tomorrow. He ran over the top of Siverball and both are on their way to the Metropolitan. I think he is a real chance definitely
George Main Stakes: Group 1 tips and preview
Brave backing Divan at short odds. Hasn’t raced for a year, a zabeel too. they are renowned fatties. Nominated for the Melb cup.. wait unitl they put blinkers on him? Not a race with a lot of depth but still a pass for me. Thanks for heads up on him but prefer to watch him at this stage.
Golden Rose and Makybe Diva stakes: Group 1 preview and tips
I agree with the sentiment that there are too many WFA races, especially early on in the season. As for WFA horses, both currents/hasbeen and potential, how about (in no particular order)
Trust in a gust (!!!)_ He hasnt retired I hope?
Wandjina
Kuro
Cosmic Endevour
Mourinho
Generalife
Sweynesse
and one I think will step up and go well as a 3yo: Headwater
Unveiling the top 25 weight for age horses in Australian racing
Expecting some underperforming players to lift knowing they have been thrown a lifeline by Daley. Hodkinson was terrible yesterday. Blues kicking game needs to improve. Daley needs to use the bench better.
Poor bench management game one. I still don’t understand why we have 3 backrowers on the bench that all basically do the same thing. Hopefully the master brains at NSW HQ will reveal their genius Wednesday week.
NSW Blues team for Game 2 of 2015 State of Origin: Expert reaction
Some food for thought:
local track for Big Money. He ran 33.6 closing sectional carrying 59.5kgs over 1350 at Doomben in December. He will be peaking tomorrow. Sure lots of chances but $21 is pretty good value in my view. I watched the replay again of the 10,000 and he was full of running at the top of the straight. Just got blocked at the wrong time.
I like Charlie Boy, but will be looking for value in my first 4!! Horses down in the weights always win the straddy!
Stradbroke Handicap: Group 1 preview and tips
Charlie Boy’s form def reads well. Drawn well, going super, great run last start, in well at the weights. He will start fav tomorrow for sure.
Don’t like 3yo fillies in high pressure races. Even if Lumosty gets a start I couldnt have her at the price.
Not sure why you dismiss Big Money. He was just idling down the straight after getting blocked for a run in the 10,000. Down in the weights and drawn fine.
Big challenge for BHB with the barrier but he is a serious sprinter.
And throw in El Roca. He is building after a long layoff and could be peaking tomorrow. He is g1 horse def at his best. (look at boban last start!). Drawn inside, down in weights. Taking a bit on trust, but I he is overs in my view.
Stradbroke Handicap: Group 1 preview and tips
He could have kicked it to linnett.
[VIDEO] North Queensland Cowboys vs Manly Sea Eagles Highlights: NRL scores, blog
8 nominations to a group 1 race is embarrassing, not stellar.
Strong nominations to start autumn racing