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Saturday sure things: Randwick and Flemington preview

Winx is going for a record at Randwick. (Photo: AAP)
Roar Guru
6th October, 2017
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This weekend is all about Winx and her first appearance at Flemington for the Group l Turnbull Stakes, but there is quality racing both at headquarters and at Randwick to support the star of the show. Here is my take on the key races for the weekend.

Randwick

Race Seven: Moet & Chandon Spring Champion Stakes (2000m)
The safe play is Ace High. Ridden forward in the Gloaming and it paid off under Tye Angland with the David Payne trained galloper proving very strong on the line. Up to 2000 metres is no issue.

The big threat is Tangled. After a good return to form in the Dulcify last week, he has the upside, the class and brilliance, plus the Chris Waller polish.

Giving Sully looked one-paced in the Gloaming and will love the step up in trip.

Ace High on top, ahead of Tangled, Sully and Dissolution.

Race Eight: TAB Angst Stakes 1600m
Outside Interlocuter, the bet of the day at Randwick is Dixie Blossoms for mine. Looked to have room for improvement leading into the Golden Pendant and she beat all bar Daysee Doom. Apart from having more upside, she is also a Randwick mile specialist and draws well.

The threat is Daysee. She’s a beauty and just doesn’t know how to run a bad race. Map is the worry, but if she can get one off, or cover, she’s a leading contender. Zenalicious is the one with the most upside from the Pendant. She should get a suck run behind the speed and I could entertain her in multiples

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Dixie Blossoms to beat Daysee Doom, Zenalicious and Dawn Wall.

Flemington

Race Five: Seppelt Turnbull Stakes 2000m
All the talk is about Humidor potentially beating her, but Winx should make a big statement leading into the Cox Plate. Visually, she isn’t going as well as she has in the past, but she is still running freak times and winning.

It’s been a while since we have contemplated a horse beating Winx but that is the case with Humidor after his stunning win in the Makybe Diva. He’ll rattle off some great splits. Whether he beats Winx is another matter. Ventura Storm should run third.

Winx, Humidor, Ventura Storm, Sir Isaac Newton.

Race Four: Gilgai Stakes 1200m
Spieth has to step up here after his first up run in the Concorde, on face value, was disappointing. There is no shame running second to Redzel though, plus he didn’t pull up 100 per cent post-race despite clocking fast times.

QB is well and truly over the odds at around $8. His trial at Cranbourne was the best I have seen and he looks spot on. Ulmann is a quality galloper for Darren Weir who spanked them in the Wangoom fresh last time and his jump outs have been encouraging.

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Spieth on top, to beat The Quarterback, Ulmann and Silent Sedition.

Race Eight: Blazer Stakes 1400m
A race where anything can win, so I will have a throw at the stumps in the shape of Kenedna. The form guide will say she got beat by 11 lengths and ran last first up in the How Now, but if you watch the replay, she was only getting warm on the line and I loved the way she ran through it.

If we get a fast run 1400m, and if this girl gets clear air, she’ll run a race at odds, especially with a tidy second up record.

Prompt Response was sound in the How Now behind the speed and she can press forward here while Ellicazoom had no luck, wide all the way in the same race and stuck on well. She can sit closer here and threaten.

Kenedna on top at odds, ahead of Prompt Response, Ellicazoom and Petition.

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