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Spring racing selections: Rosehill and Caulfield tips for Saturday, 26 September

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Roar Guru
25th September, 2020
3

Well that was all time. Thanks for all the comments, random texts and all that last week. The annual tally is now sitting very solidly on the right side of things.

Now to keep it going? It is an interesting card at Rosehill with Rothfire headlining the Golden Rose, as well as Group 1 races on Friday night (Bella Vella?) and at Caulfield on Saturday. I am sticking with 15 units for the day.

Best up here: Rosehill Race 8, 4 Sweet Deal
Best down there: Caulfield Race 1, 2 How Womantic
Weekly speculator: Rosehill Race 9, 11 Plonka

Dixie’s 2020 tally
Units bet: 346
Units won: 411.10
Stats are based on one unit being equal to a $1 win bet New South Wales dividends. See the comments for any changes based on scratchings or track condition.

Sydney selections

Race 2 – 6 Exemplar (one unit)
The old hurdler can do the job here. This horse should get a reasonably easy lead and run the trip out. I have Grey Lion as the big threat. He has the Mugatoo/Taikomochi form and is down in weight for this. The query is being one-from-11 at 2400.

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Race 3 – 11 Yonkers (one unit)
I’ll stick with Yonkers after he gave himself too much to do last time. Both his May win and his first-up run have him in the thick of things here. There are a few good chances. Entente and She’s Ideel get out to their distance range here. Thought of That was good last start and we might see the best of Costello third-up.

Race 6 – 4 Miss Siska (one unit)
I am happy to have a nibble at Miss Siska. She didn’t quicken fresh after over-racing in the middle stages. I’m willing to forgive. The drier track works and her win second-up last time stands up. I Am Superman returns to Sydney after a good win at Caulfield and should go well. Numbers 13 and 14 were good in Newcastle and Riodini is one to watch.

Melbourne Cup money generic

(PAUL CROCK/AFP/Getty Images)

Race 7 – 1 Rothfire (two units)
Rothfire pulled my pants down with his win the Run to the Rose (notice Hugh Bowman’s successful appeal?). He has a pretty clear class edge here and the short price is justified. Red numbers don’t do much for me though. At the price I’ll probably double him into some other things across the card.

Race 8 – 2 Sweet Deal (two units)
Sweet Deal is in nicely here. She meets Haut Brion Her two kilos better from last time (margin 2.3 lengths), and this time the fave draws the car park and we might get the gun run. I see Sweet Deal as the big improver. The 1400 is her pet trip. I also have a little crush on Adelong. Keep an eye on her.

Race 9 – 11 Plonka (one unit)
Forty-nine kilos! Plonka was good in the autumn, winning the Grafton qualifier and running third in the Country Championship (both at 1400). She’s come back okay, including a midweek third carrying 60. The dry track is a tick, and did I mention she’ll lug only 49 kilos! The rest? Masked Crusader is probably due. I had Mirra Vision and Rocha Clock around the mark as well.

Dancing Gidget (with Bob Ingham no doubt giving him a push from high in the sky) rates well and would be a great story.

Melbourne selections

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Race 1 – 2 How Womantic (three units)
This horse fought hard fresh to win, and the form was franked last week with Fabric’s win.

Race 3 – Le Baol (two units)
This horse had a good win on Australian debut. I expect the rise in distance to only help. The horse should be fitter.

Race 8 – 10 Russian Camelot (two units)
This horse is short enough, but is knocking on the door and should go close.

Race 9 – 5 Kentucky Breeze (one unit)
This horse won well second-up last time. I am hoping he bobs up.

Good luck everyone. I am getting right into the thick of things. Let me know how you’re getting on and your best plays for the weekend. A few races I’ve left alone as normal this week. Shout out with any thoughts or discussion on those as well.