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The Roar

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I’ve just looked at the bookies odds. The Bulldogs are the firmest favourites followed by Port. That surprises me, I thought the way the Swans demolished the Giants a few weeks ago they would be firm favourites whereas the others are 50:50. Losing the last 3 games makes me think that the Bulldogs will continue their losing run. Even though I’m a Port supporter, I’m nervous about Port’s capacity to beat the other top teams, and Brisbane’s best is probably better than any one elses. My guess is Swans and 3 too close to call.

Historic firsts and only one 'home' advantage: AFL finals Week 1 preview

I guess if you call soccer football, you’re not Australian. All of my greatgrandparents were born in Australia and not a single one in their entire lives ever called soccer football.

Defusing the Australian code war

One item of football history often quoted is that Essendon haven’t won a final since 2004. Unfortunately for the Bulldogs there is a significant parallel with 2004. In 2004, Melbourne were top at 14-4 after 18 rounds, lost the last 4, dropped to 5th and were beaten by Essendon in the Elimination Final. Are the Bulldogs of 2021 the Melbourne of 2004?

Historic firsts and only one 'home' advantage: AFL finals Week 1 preview

It’s a pity Meatloaf has pissed off AFL people. His song I want my money back would be perfect to play after a draw in lieu of team songs.

Geelong vs Melbourne preview: This could be game of the year

It’s interesting to contemplate the percentage changes as the result of the Lions vs Eagles match. If the Lions begin with a string of behinds, when they’ve scored 2 behinds, the Bulldogs still have the better %age. When they’ve scored 3, the Lions have the better %age. Thereafter, they need to score 1.328 points for every point scored by West Coast, which is pretty close to 4:3. So if WC score 60 points, the Lions will require 83, if WC score 90, the Lions need 123.

Geelong vs Melbourne preview: This could be game of the year

Yes, I didn’t mention that. Since Melbourne’s percentage is better than Geelong’s, it would take a much larger number of equal for and against to gradually lower Melbourne’s percentage to that of Port. The Geelong 19-12, Melbourne 19-11 has at least likely happened a handful of times in history.

Geelong vs Melbourne preview: This could be game of the year

If Geelong win by a point 125 to 124,their percentage will be almost exactly the same as Port’s. A lower scoring game and Geelong will have the higher percentage even with a 1 point win. If Geelong win 126 to 125, Port will be top.

Geelong vs Melbourne preview: This could be game of the year

Maybe, between 2002 & 2004 Essendon won 3 Elimination finals in a row. In 2003 & 2004 they were 8th, in 2003 beating Fremantle in Perth. In 2004, after 18 rounds Melbourne were on top with a 14-4, Port, Brisbane and St Kilda were 13-5. The season ended with Port 17-5, Brisbane & Saints 16-6, and Melbourne 14-8 and 5th position.

Boil-over in the west cements the top eight: Round 22 AFL power rankings

To make the finals, the Saints would have to win and the Bombers lose and the combined margin would need to be about 340 points.

Boil-over in the west cements the top eight: Round 22 AFL power rankings

If you read what I said Micko it was If a significant sum could be extracted for a charity, Collingwood would find it hard to refuse. I’m suggesting it could be big. And in my proposal it would only affect Collingwood 1 game per year. Last year’s winner gets to wear black and white, and the loser gets something completely different. One possibility is to offer several ridiculous possibilities, lilac & apricot, pink, red and crimson or turquoise, blue and purple. You then sell tickets for a lottery and the winner gets to choose. Maybe there are 100,000 crows fans that would buy a chance to choose the most ridiculous colours for Port and 500,000 Victorians who would like to choose the most ridiculous colours for Collingwood.

Who’s up for a bar fight? Let Port and Collingwood settle it on the field

The author needs to flesh out his idea a bit more. Where does his concept lead? If Port beat Collingwood, do they win exclusive right to black & white until the next match? What would Collingwood wear instead? Or does Port winning simply enable them to wear the prison bars against the Crows? That would be hardly worth it. Even if Port win precedence with black & white, why shouldn’t Collingwood wear their traditional strip against Carlton or Essendon? The present Collingwood guernsey being half black & half white means that it gets by as both a home and an away jumper. The prison bars being mainly black don’t work as an away guernsey against a number of sides. Would Port use a white guernsey with black prison bars?

I think the concept might work on the following basis. The 1st time, both wear black & white, I think their guernseys are sufficiently different that it doesn’t matter. Thereafter, the winner of the previous match gets to wear black & white and the loser has to wear something else. Perhaps the game could support women’s health and the reigning loser has to wear pink(although having the loser wear pink might be seen as disrespectful). Nonetheless, there is maybe a kernel of an idea here. Done the right way, it could be a big, big thing. Perhaps it could be a stand alone game on mothers’ day! The winner wins the right to wear the noir et blanc the next time, and the loser has to wear pink, or purple with orange spots, or colours chosen by a lottery winner. If a significant sum could be extracted for a charity, Collingwood would find it hard to refuse. But aside from this game, Collingwood would keep the schwarz und weiss for other games and Port could only wear the prison bars for their home game against the Crows.

I’m a West Adelaide supporter who supports Port in the AFL.

Who’s up for a bar fight? Let Port and Collingwood settle it on the field

Then he should receive alien-ent penalty.

Crows stand down Stengle over third off-field incident

You don’t get something for nothing. Collingwood have traded away their 1st (GWS), 2nd (Hawthorn) & 4th (Brisbane) picks for 2021. They have the Bulldogs 2nd round pick and three 3rd round picks, their own & the Crows and the Dockers. If they need to match a bid on Josh Daicos at pick 1 next year, they could easily be 600 points in deficit for 2022. This would turn pick 10 into pick 24.

Collingwood's draft night

At this risk of adding to the deluge of commentary about the Collingwood Football Club, I feel I should comment on their trading & drafting strategy. Collingwood traded their way back into the draft rather well (from a 2020 perspective) but seem to have dug themselves a massive hole for 2021. By my reckoning, by matching a bid for Reef McInnes at pick 23, they created a deficit of about 250 points for 2021. To get back into this year’s draft, they also traded away their 2021 1st round pick (GWS), 2021 2nd round pick (Hawthorn) and 2021 4th round pick (Port). They received 2 2021 3rd round picks (Adelaide & Fremantle). They have previously received the Bulldogs 2021 2nd round pick & according to Wikipedia appear to have sold their 2021 4th round pick to Brisbane on 2 December. So overlooking the fact that they may have sold their 2021 4th round pick twice, they now enter 2021 with the Bulldogs 2nd round pick & 3 3rd round picks. These picks will be probably be worth 1500 points.
So Collingwood may have to bid match 2400 points for Josh Daicos, already being 250 points in deficit and having only 1500 or so points in the entire 2021 draft. They will take a deficit of 1200 points or so into the 2022 draft, wiping out their 1st pick. 1200 points would turn pick 1 into pick 6, and pick 10 into pick 55. So Collingwood have done well, but the price might be only Josh Daicos in the 2021 draft, and no 1st round pick in 2022.

2020 AFL draft: Club-by-club review, my take on every team

After the draft, I’m going to write an article on this. I think it should have only been swapped for points in this year’s & next year’s draft. If I were Collingwood, I would have offered it to Gold Coast for picks 27 & 37 this year (subsequently traded for not much), and 2 or 3 picks in next year’s draft.

AFL draft 2020: The facts on top 10 picks and the latest phantom rumours

So Collingwood get picks 8 & 14 and then match a bid on McInnes at 15, leading to a deficit of 700 points or so. They then match a bid at 1 for Daicos next year requiring 2400 points, but they don’t have a pick in the 1st round. They go into 2022 with a 1500 point deficit wiping out their 1st round pick.

AFL draft 2020: The facts on top 10 picks and the latest phantom rumours

Since we’re being pedants, I’d like to point out that call between he and Matthew Wade is grammatically wrong. Call between him and Matthew Wade is grammatically correct. Object – it was a call between them, becomes it was a call between him and Matthew Wade. Subject – They are good players becomes he and Matthew Wade are good players,

Green ton makes tough call even tougher

Yesterday draftguru had the Crows with 31 players including Hately, today they have then as 30 excluding Hately. So they may have 7 vacancies. They may use their 5 picks up to 40 and then match on Newchurch.

Why the Crows shouldn't bid for Jamarra Ugle-Hagan with pick one

Yes, but if Campbell and Jones were bid on at 10 or 11, the effect would be similar, rather picks in the 50s would be spared. I’m curious, but it’s possible that there are informal agreements. For example, if I were Essendon trying to persuade Ports to bend my way over the Fantasia deal, an informal promise not to bid on Jones might get the deal thru.

Why the Crows shouldn't bid for Jamarra Ugle-Hagan with pick one

The difference is fairly minor. The Bombers have pick 44, which will move up slightly, and the next pick after that is 77. Probably only 50-55 players will be chosen, so most picks after 50 will be passes and it won’t alter who’s available at 77 and beyond.

Why the Crows shouldn't bid for Jamarra Ugle-Hagan with pick one

If the Crows bid on JUH, the Bulldogs need 2400 to match. This wipes out picks 29, 33, 41, 42, and 52 (2269 points) and pick 54 now worth 220 points decreases to being worth 89 points, between picks 65 & 67. If North bid on JUH, 2013.6 points are needed to match. This wipes out picks 29, 33, and 41 (1628 points) and pick 42 now worth 395 points decreases to being worth 9.4 points, between picks 72 & 73. Picks 52 & 54 stand. In both scenarios, the Crows picks 1, 9 22, 23 & 40, change to picks 2, 10, 23, 24 & 39.

Why the Crows shouldn't bid for Jamarra Ugle-Hagan with pick one

It’s interesting to compare the performances of the Collingwood Magpies and the Port Adelaide Magpies between about 1950 & 2000. In 1950, the clubs were similar, both being the 1st among equals, having the largest supporter base and the most premierships. After 1950, they went in different directions, with Collingwood falling behind other clubs, only occasionally winning premierships and losing a high proportion of grand finals. In the SANFL, Port became quite dominant winning 19 premierships between 1950 and 2000. Rightly or wrongly, the move of Port into the AFL and the decline of the SANFL has stopped the experiment.

How good are Collingwood really?

Collingwood are unquestionably number 1, beyond any peer in the AFL or elsewhere at generating publicity.

How good are Collingwood really?

Quite possibly true, although since neither Collingwood nor anyone else knows how much they’ll be contributing to Adam Treloar, it’s not entirely clear. Nonetheless, if they do elevate 3 rookies, they will need to add a minimum of 5 others, 2 of which will be either bottom of the draft, or delisted free agents. I can see them trying to spin a wrong’un, but it’s still a mess.

Compromise and pandemic define the 2020 AFL Draft

I would like to see the NGAs stand. Perhaps the discount should be reduced to 5%.

Compromise and pandemic define the 2020 AFL Draft

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