It’s hard to deny that the SEC West is the premier conference in college football.
With the likes of Alabama, Ole Miss, Auburn, Mississippi State and LSU all battling for the top spot and a chance to go into the SEC conference game, a situation could arise where they ruin each other’s chances because of how competitive their conference is.
Right now Mississippi State sits in the top four and Alabama just out of it. They play each other this week so one of them is going to fall down the rankings. Alabama will then host Auburn, Ole Miss hosts Mississippi State and Georgia (with Gurley back) will also host Auburn.
Say Alabama and Ole Miss win at home against Mississippi State. Georgia beats Auburn and Auburn beats Alabama. This will leave a bunch of two-loss SEC teams competing for a top-four spot.
If we look at the teams likely to be above them you have the unbeaten Florida State with an away game to Miami, home games to Boston College College and Florida and an ACC championship game remaining. They would be heavily favoured in all four of those games. They win out their remaining four games they will finish above any two-loss SEC team.
Oregon have Colorado and Oregon State away. Arizona State has Oregon State and Arizona away along with Washington State at home. If these two win their remaining games, the winner of the PAC Championship game will get in over any two-loss SEC team.
You then have TCU and Baylor who sit fourth and sixth in the rankings. Baylor has a tougher run home but their tough games are at home to Oklahoma State and Kansas State with an away game at Texas Tech. TCU play Kansas and Texas away with a home game to Iowa State.
It’s hard to see them dropping any ranking points and if the SEC teams around them are cutting at each other they can only go up. It would be very hard not to see one of these teams in the top four, possibly even two of them.
Then you have Ohio State and Nebraska who are both one-loss sides. Should they win their remaining games a strong case for a one-loss Big Ten champion to be included in the top four could be made. Ohio State has Minnesota away and Indiana and Michigan at home while Nebraska has Wisconsin and Iowa away and Minnesota at home.
Only one thing for certain in the NCAAF is that nothing is certain. Auburn losing this week was a reminder of that. The run home will certainly be an interesting one with some major clashes, especially in the SEC coming up.
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