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The AFL’s indigenous round is here, and it’s a week for some of the game’s biggest stars to shine.
Arguably the hardest game of the round to tip is that between Hawthorn and Port Adelaide on Saturday – both sides have been around the same mark this year, both have had their good games and their bad.
I’ve got two rationales for tipping Hawthorn – it’s their home ground in Launceston, and Port Adelaide are coming off the bye which a lot of teams struggle with.
Dreamtime at the ‘G on Saturday night looked like it might be a fizzer a few weeks ago but suddenly is very interesting – if you were to look at the last two weeks in isolation, Essendon are arguably in better form.
Personally I’m not quite ready to tip against Richmond at the MCG though. They haven’t lost a game there in almost a year – Essendon in their current form are a chance to break that streak, but I’ll tip the Tigers to come out on top.
Adelaide and GWS are both coming off really disappointing losses last week when they meet on Sunday. Even in the midst of an injury crisis the Crows have been a pretty resilient side at home, so I’ll tip them.
The rest of the week looks fairly straightforward: Sydney, Melbourne, Geelong, West Coast, North and Collingwood are my tips in their respective games.
If you’re looking for a lock of the week, it’s hard to go past West Coast on their home deck against the Saints. Things seem likely to get unholy.
Adrian Polykandrites
Sydney, Melbourne, Port Adelaide, Geelong, Richmond, West Coast, North Melbourne, Collingwood, Adelaide
The last time Melbourne played Footscray at Docklands, they won by 57 points. This might get uglier than that for the Dogs.
Port should be feeling fresh after a week off and I think they’ll beat the Hawks in a close one in Launceston.
The Suns return to their home ground for the first time since round 22 last season, but the Cats should be too strong. Should.
Richmond will burst the Bombers’ bubble in the Dreamtime match. West Coast should boost their percentage against the Saints. North will be too strong for the improving Lions at Etihad. Collingwood have to beat the Dockers at the MCG if they’re serious. Adelaide should have the Giants covered, but GWS will get it together at some point.
(AAP Image/David Moir)
TomC
Sydney, Melbourne, Hawthorn, Geelong, Richmond, West Coast, North Melbourne, Collingwood, Adelaide
The Power have been much more impressive than the Hawks, particularly recently. But down in Tasmania I’ll back Hawthorn to recover for a narrow win.
Gold Coast finally end their long odyssey and return for the first time this year to Carrara. Whatever advantage they get from their seldom-seen home ground won’t be enough to overcome the Cats though.
Dreamtime at the ‘G could be interesting with the Bombers’ resurgence, but the Tigers are so effective at this ground it’d be silly to bet against them.
North are flattering to deceive, but the Lions just aren’t good enough to beat them in Melbourne.
Elsewhere, Sydney to throttle the Blues, the Demons will comfortably account for the Bulldogs, West Coast to rack up the percentage against the Saints, Collingwood to beat the Dockers, and a Crows win over GWS to round out what appears to be a weekend of mostly one-sided contests.
| Round 11 | Josh E | Adrian P | Cam R | TomC | The Crowd |
| SYD vs CAR | SYD | SYD | SYD | SYD | SYD |
| WB vs MEL | MEL | MEL | MEL | MEL | MEL |
| HAW vs PA | HAW | PA | PA | HAW | HAW |
| GCS vs GEE | GEE | GEE | GEE | GEE | GEE |
| ESS vs RIC | RIC | RIC | ESS | RIC | RIC |
| WCE vs STK | WCE | WCE | WCE | WCE | WCE |
| NM vs BRI | NM | NM | NM | NM | NM |
| COL vs FRE | COL | COL | COL | COL | COL |
| ADE vs GWS | ADE | ADE | ADE | ADE | ADE |
| Last week | 7 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 7 |
| Total | 52 | 58 | 55 | 61 | 63 |