The Roar
The Roar

Shabab Hossain

Roar Guru

Joined March 2019

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Perennial Arsenal sufferer that masquerades as a football journalist to help hide the pain. Lots of deep dives into tactical analysis and break down the statistics to find the things that naked eye might be missing. Have a read and leave a comment if you're interested or have any questions!

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I don’t respect it though. I would’ve respected them far more if they decided to be patient and give Kurz a chance to succeed.

Melbourne Victory's perplexing decision to fire Kurz

I think I saw somewhere that Victory had talked to Adelaide before hiring and ignored the criticism from his former team to bring him on anyway. Probably won’t happen again with the Jets though, surely.

Melbourne Victory's perplexing decision to fire Kurz

Very hard to tell what is going on at executive level for Victory. Many are saying that he was the wrong appointment, but since he was given a chance, I think he should’ve at least had the full season to show what he can do.

Melbourne Victory's perplexing decision to fire Kurz

Apologies for the late reply but thank you very much! Glad to hear you enjoy it 😊

To play it short or hoof it long? Western United have a plan

Completely agree with much of what you’ve said. When they announced the squad I thought for sure they would struggle with the high average age. They’re not great but they’ve defied my expectations so far. As I said in the piece, it is very intriguing that a team that plays without the ball for so much of the game have nicely worked goal kicks.

To play it short or hoof it long? Western United have a plan

My opinion is that refs rarely give fouls when players aren’t going to the floor, even if they are quite clearly fouls, which incentivise them to go down to earn the free kick. Anyway, that’s perhaps an article for another time and all for healthy discussion, but not sure this is the place to do it. This article is to do with goal kicks.

To play it short or hoof it long? Western United have a plan

Would beg to differ. I see it plenty in the PL, from Manchester City to Southampton.

To play it short or hoof it long? Western United have a plan

It’s not that they are taking short goal kicks, Waz. It’s that there’s a clear plan to use goal kicks as a method to create opportunities. I can only think of Melbourne City so far this season that are even remotely similar.

To play it short or hoof it long? Western United have a plan

Tactical fouling, time wasting and going down easily, these things are part of football now. If there are any issues with it, it shouldn’t be with the teams, but the laws that incentivise it.

To play it short or hoof it long? Western United have a plan

100% agree. Giving teams more options to play how they want will (almost) always be good. A few teams doing some interesting set piece stuff, but WU and Rudan leading the way when it comes to goal kicks imo.

To play it short or hoof it long? Western United have a plan

Too kind, thank you!

To play it short or hoof it long? Western United have a plan

I’m not sure how they’re being perceived locally, but although personally I have no moral qualms with their perhaps ‘cynical’ tactics, I don’t imagine it will be winning too many fans over. Then again, they have Diamanti which might just be enough anyway!

To play it short or hoof it long? Western United have a plan

Yeah, someone else mentioned it in a comment. Haven’t heard these rumours before but at the very least I think Corica will fight tooth and nail to keep him, he’s a crucial component to the team

Luke Brattan: Sydney FC's unsung hero

Haven’t heard these rumours before but would be surprised if Corica lets him go without a fight at least. Integral to the Sydney team.

Luke Brattan: Sydney FC's unsung hero

100% agree with you Jupiter. Think both teams are better off from the (indirect) trade. Brillante has been impressive as a more box to box midfielder with his runs into the attacking third while Brattan has been great at dictating the play from the deeper position. I think a big reason Brattan isn’t required to make those crunching tackles is because he’s always positioned well and as I said in the article, reads the game amazingly so that he can make interceptions rather than dive in to a challenge.

Luke Brattan: Sydney FC's unsung hero

Beautiful analogy mate! Can’t disagree with anything you’ve said, if he does stick around his role in the team will be noticed more and more and for sure he’ll become a fan favourite. Definitely one of the best, if not the best, Australian midfielder in the league.

Luke Brattan: Sydney FC's unsung hero

Absolutely. But last season for example, you could probably count games as CCM, Roar and WSW as a free win almost. I don’t think there are that many, if any, freebies this time around. Sydney the standout, but the rest of the teams look pretty good imo too.

What's going wrong at Victory?

I think he’s best when he’s dragging defenders out from his initially high position and dropping into midfield. Because the centreback follows Toivonen into midfield, there’s a gap for his teammates to exploit. When he starts in midfield, it’s not as troublesome for defenders to deal with.

What's going wrong at Victory?

Thanks for reading mate. It’s quite competitive this season, I wouldn’t say top 6 will be as easy as seasons go past, especially if they don’t change things.

What's going wrong at Victory?

I think Nabbout has showed the quality in spurts, and I would expect him to start showing that consistently by the end of the season. His goal against United which is clipped above wasn’t easy at all. Kruse and Toivonen of course the two main stars. As for the midfield, I will reserve my judgement on their quality at least until the end of the season, hopefully there’s a system change to verify that too.

What's going wrong at Victory?

Agree that individually there are a lot of black holes in the squad. I wonder though, whether that’s because they lack the quality or if Kurz’s system is simply not getting the best out of these players? Would Poulsen and Basha work better if they tried to play a game where they held the ball more like Kilkenny and Juande?

What's going wrong at Victory?

I think it’s worth remembering that national team and clubs are very different. Ange’s philosophy is something that took a year to implement and that was with daily training sessions. You don’t get that luxury on the international stage and he would have had to change his methods for the multiple obstacles.

The tactics that helped Postecoglou conquer Japan

Unfortunately I don’t have those kinds of stats to work with, but that would be super interesting if I did! But as you said, his speed can lead to things that I do have data for. But as I said before, if there are any players you’re curious about, I’d be happy to make this type of graph for whoever you’d like to see, so please do @ me whenever you’re curious. 😊

Perth Glory: The good and the bad

Great to hear you liked it! Yeah mate, you’re right xGA is the total expected goals conceded from all of the matches so far this season. Not sure if you have Twitter, but if you do feel free to @ me if there are specific players you want to see! I do a lot of player graphs to highlight stats that are important to their position. Like this one for example: https://twitter.com/ShababHossain13/status/1200947121014239232

Perth Glory: The good and the bad

xG is a strong method to understand which teams are playing well and which ones aren’t. Of course that doesn’t mean you’re going to win games, but generally, if you play better than your opponents you should win more games. This won’t always be the case, but it should be for the majority of fixtures.
I think your point about football and goal space is a different topic entirely. Agreed that it’s hard to score goals (which is why it’s a low scoring game) but if you create better chances more often, you will score more often over the long term.
But thanks for reading and glad you liked it!

Perth Glory: The good and the bad