Roar Guru
Tarzino, ridden by Craig Newett and trained by Mick Price, claimed victory in the Victoria Derby after being heavily favoured in the lead up to the race.
Taking control at the 400m, Tarzino sped home and by the 200m was beyond doubt, winning the race from Etymology in second and Kia Ora Koutou in third.
MELBOURNE CUP PREVIEW AND TOP TIPS
Final placings
1. Tarzino
2. Etymology
3. Kia Ora Koutou
The Group 1 Victoria Derby (2500m) is what this day is all about, and is the showpiece race on the Saturday before the Melbourne Cup. Join The Roar before the race start time of 3:50pm (AEDT) for commentary and late mail.
Tarzino has dominated the market and is just above even money. He has looked like a Derby horse this campaign and was nearly the run of the day at Moonee Valley last week, perhaps only bettered by Winx in the Cox Plate.
He has the right breeding for this race, but I want to take him on at the short odds. Efficient in 2006 (thanks to stats from Cam Rose) is the last Derby winner to jump at the same odds as Tarzino will today.
I’m going with Lizard Island, who brings some great Caulfield Guineas form, where he was second behind Press Statement. He was the first colt home in the Caulfield Classic and nearly got it done when things didn’t go his way.
We have already seen some money come for him, as he has been backed from $13 into $9.
Shards nearly won the Vase, leading all the way. I can’t see him going all the way here, as there was a huge track bias last week.
Kia Ora Koutou is well in the market and second favourite. He is undefeated in four starts, but all of them have been in Western Australia. He does have a win over 2200 metres, but as we saw last spring, sometimes these Perth horses struggle in bigger fields on big days. He is lightly raced and has had a month between runs, I’ll take a risk and not include him. However he does look a good stayer in the making.
Get the Picture closed well in the Caulfield Classic, motoring home once they straightened, and is an obvious danger.
Extra Choice won the Geelong Classic when the blinkers were applied. They made all the difference and $13 could be value here.
Palace Tycoon had the country preparation and might be worth putting in later legs of your multiples. The pace may come from Shards and Ayres Rock, the latter winning the UCI Stakes two starts back at this track.
Of the rest, Jadeer could be one of the best on-pacers, and Man of Choice has some okay form – he did drift out to $34 but is back in to $26.
Pay Up Bro was an eye-catcher last start and might have some luck here, and Colonel Custer could sneak into a first four.
Selections
1. Lizard Island 2. Tarzino 3. Get the Picture 4. Ayres Rock