With several meetings to be conducted on Friday across Australia and some nice types engaged – especially at Goulburn – here are my five plays across the afternoon.
Bet one: Win – Goulburn Race Four – number three: Bocelli
$2.60 with Crownbet looks like an absolute spoil. He is the best horse in the race by a mile. Only bad luck really beats him and I have him as a clear odds-on pop.
He had a good run last time out behind Dia De Reyes in a Rosehill Highway, a race which had far more depth than this. I think he potentially wins this, gets tipped out and has a good break before a crack at the Country Championships next year.
Bet two: Win – Dubbo Race One – number two: Artistic Beauty
Quality mare for Cameron Crockett who was scratched from Rosehill to be saved for this.
She resumed over 1300 meters here where she just fell too far back in the run. Despite this, I really liked the way she closed off late behind the heavily backed Beau Hoffa.
Up to the mile second up looks ideal and gets the claim for Chris Williams – he can definitely entertain at $5.50.
Bet three: Win – Dubbo Race Two – number four: Jetgirl
Interesting that no jock is booked for this girl.
If she runs and is mentally okay from the last start, she’s the one to beat. She was going to win after being backed off the map when resuming over 1100 meters at Wellington, but got cut out and came down while dislodging Mick Cahill.
Gerald Ryan’s horse looks the one to beat but first, on the road, there are a couple of negatives, so I’ll be with this girl.
Bet four: Each way – Dubbo Race Six – number seven: Spirit Of Elijah
The second up syndrome query is there, but I think the gap between him and stablemate Tim’s Principal is far too great.
He resumed for the new stable over 1000 meters and a half and wanted to turn it up, but proved far too good for his rivals. He’ll have no trouble with the 1200 meters and I would suspect $6.50-$7 e/w is better than even money.
Bet Five: Win – Geelong Race Nine – number five: Prepare To Win
Looks a pretty safe way to end the afternoon.
The Hayes/Dabernig team train this filly who was good down the straight, and two back behind Egyptian Bullet before racing at this distance where she absolutely bolted up and ran a good time.
Educate does meet her two kilograms better at the weights, but I don’t think that will be big enough to turn the tables.
And finally, Prepare To Win should prepare for the post-race presentation.
Be sure to follow me on Twitter, @AdamPage1991, for more tips across Australia for the week. Good luck!