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The Royal Ascot Carnival reaches its conclusion on Saturday with a strong card, headlined by Redkirk Warrior taking his place in the Diamond Jubilee Stakes (1200m) alongside Merchant Navy. Here are my five plays for the meeting.
Bet One – Win – Race One Number 10 Natalie’s Joy
I think she’s a great bet to start the night. She debuted just under a month back at Goodwood where she chased the tearaway leader before gathering that in rather quickly and her turn of foot when asked was outstanding.
Confident she goes very close to winning. $3 or thereabouts is fine.
Bet Two – Win – Race Two Number 2 Crystal Ocean
Short but should be winning. Two runs back from a break for Sir Michael Stoute have been outstanding, firstly resuming at Sandown before taking care of them quite comfortably at Newbury, both wins seeing him steered by Ryan Moore.
His three-year-old form was outstanding and I think he’s clearly the horse to beat.
Bet Three – Each Way – Race Three Number 27 Moonlight Romance
Dartboard race, but I think this girl can measure up. Wesley Ward trained filly who has had two career outings, debuting with a game second over 900m at Keeneland before going to the 1000m at Belmont just around a month back and I don’t think she beat much, but the manner in which she did it was sharp, winning as if it was a barrier trial.
Confident she runs well.
Bet Four – Win – Race Four Number 9 Redkirk Warrior
I think this race is all about Redkirk Warrior and where he is at, how well has he settled in etc. If he’s right, he wins this. Best straight track horse in the world, as we saw when he beat Redzel first up in the Lightning before giving them weight in the Newmarket and proving too classy, beating Merchant Navy, and we know what he did first up at the Curragh.
On weights and measures, Merchant Navy won’t turn the tables and I’m happy to take a chance on the Aussie star.
Bet Five – Win – Race Six Number 11 Thomas Hobson
Moore and Mullins…it’s a combo that should be respected and I’ll cop it with 11 Thomas Hobson. This horse hasn’t raced since the Melbourne Cup where he ran an absolute blinder in defeat behind Rekindling after doing a power of work in the run. That form should see him winning this and I doubt fitness will be an issue. Great get out bet.
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