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Behind the barriers: Five bets for Caulfield

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Roar Guru
19th October, 2018
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The Caulfield Cup (2400m), one of the great handicaps in world racing, highlights a fab ten-race program at Caulfield this Saturday.

Here are my five plays across the meeting.

Bet One – Win – Race Two Number 4 Ranier
I think wait til near race time and you’ll get $2.50+. He should have won a fortnight back at Flemington. Stevie Wonder texted me and said even he could see how unlucky Ranier was.

The blinkers have seemed to really do the trick with him. He was a horse who could get keen in his races but he seemed to relax beautifully at Flemington. Remaining at 1400m is the only niggle.

Bet Two – Win – Race Three Number 6 Edurado
He is an absolute beauty, this horse. In terms of ratings, he should have no right to be favourite here but the way he’s racing, he’s a deserved favourite. He put up a brilliant fight to go down narrowly here fresh behind Spending To Win before going to the Gilgai where he loomed large but was nabbed on the peg by I Am Excited.

He’ll be on speed and giving a great sight as always.

Bet Three – Win – Race Four Number 8 From Within
I think the Queenslanders can get a win here via this in form mare for Toby Edmonds. He has this mare flying and it’s hard not seeing her continuing the picket fence. She has won her past three, the latest coming four weeks back at the Sunny Coast over 1000m where she led all the way and won as she pleased.

There’s more depth here, but she’s got brilliant sustained speed. $4+ is fine.

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Bet Four – Each Way – Race Six Number 1 Thinkin Big
I think he’s the bet of the day at Caulfield. I’m against him somewhat as a Derby horse but I think he’s so well placed here. He was a beaten fav last time out in the Spring Champion but he did do plenty of work in the run early on and the wet track wasn’t his go.

He is much better suited on top of the ground, he’ll be on speed and the WaterBott team is just starting to warm up. I’m a bit surprised he’s easy because I thought he would be a clear favourite.

Bet Five – Quaddie – Caulfield Quaddie (Races 7-10)
Taking a $50 Quaddie (12.5%) and hoping for #something. 1-3-7-8 in race seven, I like Best Of Days with Samovare the clear overs. Caulfield Cup I really like Youngstar but also including the 1-2-14-15.

Tristarc looks a race in two between Savatiano and Invincibella but also including Shumookh and Freehearted, and in the last I’ve gone 4-5-6-8-9.

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