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Opinion
Looks to be some good racing on Thursday, with my focus on three meetings. Down below is the best bets for the respective programs.
Charlton
Best Bet: Race Eight Number 1 Gracie Cullen
This is more of an each way best bet. Michael Bellman trains and drives. This mare is racing so honestly at the moment. Latest outing came at this track a tick over two weeks ago when getting the sweet sit just behind the speed.
Just failing to get there when a narrow second to Creative Lad. Drawn the pole, should get run of the race and only run well.
Next Best: Race Two Number 1 Aldebaran Selena
Not easy for a 2YO to take on the older horses, but this race is thin and she looks talented. She was dominant in a Trotting Series at Albion Park before being spelled. The recent Menangle trial was ordinary, but I’m going off her race day form, and if she brings anything near that here, she should prove too good.
Value: Race Seven Number 9 Mister Artikulate
I’ll take a punt on this former Queenslander. Was with Grant Dixon and built up a pretty solid record when racing in the Sunshine State. Hasn’t raced for a month, but draws to follow out a quick beginner and potentially get a lovely run just off the speed.
Market will be the guide as to how well he is going, but at likely double figures, happy to back 1×3.
Shepparton
Best Bet: Race Six Number 10 Fratellino
Has the 20m handicap, but given her record, gee I think he’s well in here and does get Chris Alford steering.
His recent runs have been in much, much tougher races than this, so really, the 20m handicap is only minor IMO and with a clean beginning, I’m sure Alford will use him early and hopefully his class gets him home.
Next Best: Race Eleven Number 2 Shakatie
Well bred five year old mare that is on debut and in a race that looks on the thin side in terms of exposed form, she does look hard to beat. Trials haven’t suggested she is above average, but they have been good enough to suggest she can get away with this on debut.
Not expecting a flash price, hopefully black figures, but should be winning.
Value: Race Ten Number 1 Our Boys Dream
Glenn Douglas trains and drives and from the pole, think he can run a positive race at odds. Had leaders back last time out and battled away well when a close up fourth.
Should get a lovely run from the draw, leaders back at worst, and 1×3 at double figures, think she only runs well and you should get a decent price.
Penrith
Best Bet: Race Eight Number 1 Robob
Was hard to find one with confidence. Think though this guy can get away with the last race. Forget he went around here last Thursday.
Just did way too much work in the run to get outside the leader and he was beaten a long way out after spending all his petrol tickets early. Much better suited here and the depth looks thin.
Next Best: Race Three Number 1 Wildestdreams
Former Kiwi that makes her Australian debut for the Tim Butt stable. Put it together at the end of last prep, including a strong win at Cambridge.
Now in Australia, the Menangle trials have been encouraging and did show enough gate speed in New Zealand to suggest she can hold a forward spot, likely leaders back, and prove hard to hold out.
Value: Race Three Number 1 Don Kee
He’s nine years of age, but is racing as well as ever. Ran a couple of weeks ago at Newcastle, and I think you could easily make a case that he should have won.
Just didn’t get the rub of the green in the straight, so want to be forgiving of that outing. He’s going super and from the pole, hopefully can hold leaders back and then banking on the breaks going his way.
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