Two meetings to look at on Sunday, with my attention at Shepparton and Launceston. Down below is best bets for the respective programs.
Best bet: Race 1, Number 1, Mon Bel Ange
She wins if she does everything. She had two career outings when last in work and didn’t exactly set the world on fire, but did plenty wrong on each occasion. If she is 100 per cent true in her manners, she should be holding the front and from there, take a power of beating.
Next-best: Race 5, Number 1, Lets Dig It
He has finished runner-up his past two and is bursting to win a race. He gets a great chance here via the gate, whether he’ll hold the lead or opt for cover, getting leaders back. He sat on speed doing work last time at Cobram and fought on gamely. He will get a much better run this time around and is hard to beat.
Value: Race 8, Number 2, Ubetcha
He’s sneakily going well and each way he’s a great gamble. He ran here last week and had no luck at all at vital stages in the race, whether it be getting held up, locking wheels…it was a mess. Drawn well, he can find the front and run a bold race, whether it be leading or behind the speed.
Best bet: Race 4, Number 1, Lafond
There’s a bit of guessing involved with this Rattray first starter, but she’s a handy one and can make a winning debut here. She hasn’t trialled since March hence the guessing as to how forward she is, but she did look smart in that trial, smart enough to suggest she can take care of this lot. Hopefully the market agrees.
Next-best: Race 8, Number 10, Iden Gorgeous
She’s flying this time in and can take this out despite a second-row draw. The last couple of runs have come at Devonport where she has been quite good in defeat, but she is a much better horse on the bigger tracks, so like her back at Launceston, a good trailing draw, she’ll take beating.
Value: Race 1, Number 1, Grizzly Montana
He hasn’t fired a great deal since coming from Victoria but for the first time in a while, he has a positive gate, so they’ll look to try and hold a forward spot, whether it be holding the lead or holding up early, then getting cover. Either way, an improved showing is on the cards at odds.