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Opinion
Two meetings to look at on Thursday, with Kilmore and Redcliffe getting my focus. Down below is best bets for the respective programs.
Best bet: Race 2, Number 4, Love You Girl
Hasn’t set the world on fire in two career outings, but this is comfortably the easiest race she has contested. Debut was in a strong maiden during the Redwood Carnival at Maryborough. Raced there again in a Breeders Crown and was far from disgraced. Back to this kind of race, with Alford to steer, she’s clearly the one to beat.
Next-best: Race 5, Number 1, Captain Wilson
Three-year-old that seems to be getting better with racing. Looking to make it three on the bounce, leading throughout and running fast time two back before doing work at this track last time but was still too good. From the pole, should have little trouble leading and proving hard to run down.
Value: Race 6, Number 1, Regality
Tricky race this, so I’m going for an each way speck in the shape of this girl. Numerically, the form isn’t great, but she has been far from disgraced for the most part and comes up with a good alley for the first time in ages. Likely lands leaders back and if that’s indeed the spot she gets, I think she’ll only run well at odds.
Best bet: Race 2, Number 1, Darby Brights
Numerically, recent form is plain, but she is a mare that needs things to fall into place, that being finding the front without doing too much. Did too much work to lead two back and tired, then forget the run at Marburg on Sunday. From the pole, she should be holding the lead and in a thin race, I think she’s a great bet.
Next-best: Race 1, Number 1, Studleigh Rowsy
Pretty thin race to start the meeting so I’ll go with the one on the up that is getting better with racing. Led from gate three last start and stuck to the task pretty well in defeat when fourth. This is a very, very weak race, so she should have little trouble holding up and from in front, she’ll take beating.
Value: Race 7, Number 1, Shesa Pearla
I think this mare is worth a small each way ticket. Resumes for the McMullen camp, having not raced since March 25 when down the track here. Given a good break and despite just one trial under the belt, from the pole, I think she could run a cheeky race fresh in what is an event lacking depth.
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