There are two meetings to look at on Monday, with my focus at Yarra Valley and Globe Derby.
Below are the best bets for the respective programs.
Best bet: Race 1, Number 6, Rockntommy Rulz
This horse is a former Kiwi who makes his Australian debut for Alex Ashwood and it’ll be a winning debut down under. His form in NZ reads very well for what looks a moderate 46-54. This horse trialled up sharply at Bendigo last Monday to prepare and despite drawing wide, he has a clear class edge.
Next best: Race 2, Number 6, Sky Full Of Stars
This horse is another Alex Ashwood former Kiwi that makes her Australian debut. Her NZ form is nothing to jump up and down about, so I am not quite as confident as I am here with Rockntommy Rulz, but she did trial well at Maryborough in solid time and that was good enough to get away with this.
Value: Race 4, Number 5, Lucky Pats Son
I’m going to speck this guy each way at double figures. The key will be the start because his manners can be a bit scratchy at times but if he does everything right, he has the gate speed to lead this field. He did that last start but galloped soon after and threw away any chance. This horse’s subsequent trial win was a good piece of work so I’m giving him a chance.
Best bet: Race 3, Number 4, Freemarkskuzo
This is a Victorian horse that has had a couple of runs at the track and has looked good enough to suggest that he takes this out. This horse led throughout and was dominant when winning here last week. This horse just has to step away cleanly and if he does that, he’ll be too good.
Next best: Race 5, Number 7, Jimmy Jack
The gate makes things tricky but he’s just flying and it’s hard to get away from him. He has overcome wide draws to win his past two, but not the widest on the front line, so that will make sure he has to earn it again to win. But he’s a tough nut who can do work and still be effective at the end.
Value: Race 6, Number 1, Bayonet Soldier
His best is good enough to give this a shake. Problem is he hasn’t really shown his best for some time. But he comes up with the pole draw and finds what is a really thin race. On recent form, no, but that can be said about a few of these. So each way, 1×3, he can run a positive race at odds.