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Group 1 D-Day for Special K: Doomben 10,000 preview

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4 days ago
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The time-honoured Doomben 10,000 is this week’s big Group 1 feature in Australia but coincidentally it’ll be run at Eagle Farm for the first time in its history due the the rain bomb that’s struck the east coast of Australia.

Unlike many trainers who complained about the track racing to firm, this is a perfect example as to how Mick Goodie got it spot on because if it wasn’t for Eagle Farm’s terrific drainage, the 10,000 would be abandoned.

It’s not a classic 10,000 by any stretch but there’s still a winner to be found so let’s have a look.

1. Kementari
Odds: $9.00
This horse had a terrific win fresh in the Group 3 Hall Mark Stakes in Sydney, beating subsequent Victory Stakes winner Count De Rupee. He meets CDR here today three kilos better off at weight for age. This horse loves the wet, which he’ll get here. This horse is the one to beat.

2. Vega One
Odds: $41
This horse needed the run first up in the Victory where he was only fair. This horse will improve for that outing but it usually takes him two solid runs to find his best. Watch out for him later in the carnival, but a win here would surprise.

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3. Count De Rupee
Odds: $9.50
This horse is a terrific galloper who is as honest as the day is long. This horse had a great win in the Group 2 Victory, beating them all fair and square. This horse is a huge winning hope and has a generous each-way price so 1×3 could be the play on him.

4. Zoustyle
Odds: $16
This horse has a great win strike rate and has won at Group 3 level but this looks too tough for him unless he gets a soft lead and there’s on-pace bias at play. Pass.

5. Rothfire 
Odds: $15
This horse disappointed in the Victory but in the wash-up it was still a good run unless you took the short odds as this horse was only beaten by two lengths. On his best form, he’d blow this lot away so at the $15 quote I’m definitely going to be on him each way and forgive the first-up run.

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6. Shelby Sixtysix 
Odds: $41
This horse is quickly becoming a cult hero who makes weekly appearances around the country. This horse needs a bog, which Eagle Farm won’t be, and he’s not up the Group 1 weight for age class.

7. Signore Fox 
Odds: $61
This horse has had two runs back, and both have been average, and it’s hard to see him winning off those efforts. If he found his best, he’d be a place hope though.

8. Baller 
Odds: $61
This horse is a beauty of a horse who always tries hard but this looks too rich for his level.

9. Mazu 
Odds: $3.00
Is he the new star of the Australian sprinting ranks? He’s undefeated since being gelded and he’s won them all like a very good horse. He’s definitely the horse they’ve all got to beat, but at the price I’m looking elsewhere and putting my neck on the block.

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Close up of a horse

(Image byJackieLou DL via Pixabay)

10. Paulele 
Odds: $11
This horse was terrific running third in the TJ Smith four lengths off Nature Strip two back. But Mazu spanked him at his latest run and it’d be hard to see him turning that deficit behind the flying Mazu around.

11. Generation 
Odds: $11
This horse is a great each-way hope off the William Reid run. This horse can win.

12. Alpine Edge 
Odds: $81
This horse is out of depth. 

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13. Entrivierve
Odds: $11
This horse flies fresh. It is a tough ask though. This horse will place at best.

14. Isotope 
Odds: $11
This horse is a great each-way hope.

15. Minhaaj
Odds: $34
This horse is hard to have.

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Selections 
1. (1) Kementari 
2. (5) Rothfire 
3. (9) Mazu
4. (11) Generation 
5. (14) Isotope 

Bets 
Top two pick each way, box top three in trifecta. 

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