The Spring Carnival is well underway and one of the main draw cards the Caulfield Guineas, highlighted by the Caulfield Stakes and the presence of major drawcard Winx. Join The Roar for all the live race updates, results and highlights as the horses come out of the barrier at 3:15pm (AEDT).
This year the Caulfield Stakes will have just three runners. Yes, just three.
In one of the more odd developments in recent racing history, the field for one of the biggest outings on the racing calendar will be extremely scarce as the dominant shadow of Winx rolls over the rest of the contingent.
Winx is unsurprisingly coming into this one as a heavy short priced favourite, carrying a remarkable 11 race winning streak, seven of which have been Group 1 victories, into the 2000 metre stampede.
She won’t have it that easy though.
Black Heart Bart is one of the fastest horses going around. From seven Group 1 starts, he’s had three wins and four second-place finishes, racking up a very impressive record and becoming one to watch through the Spring season.
Currently sitting at $4.60, he’s at a good price to upset Winx and take the shortened field. He isn’t a lightning bolt out of the gate, but a good pace setter mid-race and has one of the strongest finishes around.
To round out the Stakes, He Or She will line up as a long shot.
Not a bad horse, He Or She has had a few Group 1 weight-for-age placings in his last few rides, but on both occasions finished multiple lengths back from Black Heart Bart.
At worst he’ll add another Group 1 placing to the resume, but having never run at 2000 metres before, he’ll be in for a tough day at the office with the opposition he’s up against.
Odds:
Winx is coming in a short priced favourite, and for good reason. Black Heart Bart is shorter than expected for the win considering the dominance of Winx but is paying well to cause the upset.
He Or She is a fair way out but his chances are probably even further. With a field this short it might be worth throwing your spare change on him, but leave the house to one of the others.
Winx – $1.20
Black Heart Bart – $4.60
He Or She – $34
Prediction
It’s really, really hard to pass up on Winx. She’s just been unstoppable and easily one of the best rides in the world right now.
Her form is on the level of Black Caviar and Pharlap and approaching legend status as she ploughs through each race.
Black Heart Bart will give her a run for her money and has a very real chance of causing the upset, but Winx should take it home around the final turn and take it home.
He Or She is in a tough, albeit short, field and just doesn’t have enough experience at the longer distance. Black Heart Bart should comfortably take second while challenging for the win.
1. Winx
2. Black Heart Bart
3. He Or She
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