Roar Guru
Joined August 2014
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Aiming to be the best horse analyst in the country! Keen student of times (Comparative), and any form angle that can produce a profit.
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Race 8 at Eagle Farm on Saturday (3.17pm AEST) is the Tattersalls Club Tiara run at a distance o 1400m. This excellent Fillies and…
Queensland racing switches its gaze to the provincial circuit at Bundamba in Ipswich this Saturday, for the running of the Ipswich Cup, Eyeliner Stakes…
Race 9 at Eagle Farm on Saturday (3:40pm AEST) is the time honoured 1400m Group 1 Sprint known as the Stradbroke Handicap, first staged…
The much-anticipated return of Eagle Farm racecourse is finally upon us, headlined by the Queensland Oaks for three-year-old fillies. Unfortunately, the weather gods haven't…
Race 7 at Doomben on Saturday (4.00pm AEST) sees the running of the 2016 Doomben 10000 at a distance of 1350m. Originally named the…
The Goodwood is Race 7 (4.20pm AEST) at Morphettville on Saturday run over a distance of 1200m. It is a famous old Sprint race…
Race 7 at Doomben on Saturday (4.06pm AEST) is the BTC Cup run over a distance of 1200m. It is a key lead up…
Scone is often described as the horse racing capital of Australia; horse breeding haven where many of Australia's best studs are located. It conducts…
The Hollindale Stakes is Race 7 at the Gold Coast on Saturday, run at 3.40pm. It signals the start of the Winter Carnival in…
The title of Australasia's best three-year-old is still up for grabs with all eight of the Group 1 three-year-old staying classics, here and across…
Race 7 at Sha Tin (Hong Kong) on Sunday (5.30pm AEST) is the Chairmans Sprint Prize, an International Group 1 1200m race which is…
Race 8 at Caulfield on Saturday (4.35pm AEST) is the Listed Bel Esprit (Sire of Black Caviar) Stakes over a distance of 1100m. It…
Race 7 at Randwick on Saturday (3.45pm AEST) is the Weight For Age All Aged Stakes run over a distance of 1400m. This is…
Race 6 at Randwick on Saturday (2.35pm AEST) is the time honoured Australian Oaks for three year old fillies, formerly known as the AJC…
Race 9 at Randwick on Saturday (5.10pm AEDT) sees the running of the 2016 Doncaster Mile. It certainly earns it's title as 'time honoured'…
What a grand old race this is! It dates back to 1925, where the inaugural race was won by a horse called Night Patrol,…
Let me first say I'm no expert on horse breeding, but the death of the Champion Irish sire High Chaparral in late 2014 was…
The world's richest two year old race is here again, to be staged as Rosehill Gardens at Rosehill on Saturday (Race 7 at 4.30pm…
Race 7 at Rosehill on Saturday (4.10pm, AEDT) is the Coolmore Classic. It is a Group 1 fillies and mares race first staged in…
Race 7 at Flemington on Saturday (4.30pm AEDT) is the Group 1 Australian Guineas a 1600m race for three year olds. I doubt we…
And Flamberge defies every historical statistic there is. Absolutely shattered after that result. One more bound!
Oakleigh Plate 2016: Historical preview and selections
Another super sprinter Placid Ark. A few good ones have won it including Weekend Hussler.
Oakleigh Plate 2016: Historical preview and selections
R6 tonight at M/Valley tonight sees ALMIGHTY GIRL run first start since a bob of the head cost her a win over Heatherly. There was a big gap to third in that race so the run was no fluke. Ran super time on debut. Just wish she had drawn better but $5 is enough to interest me.
Oakleigh Plate 2016: Historical preview and selections
Re Hucklebuck Cam I basically watched only him in the Orr and what a ride that was. 12/10 from that barrier and he ran well but had his chance to win. Like you say he should be fitter for this as he just seemed to run out of puff last time. TML should go a lot better with that run under his belt too. Suavito could repeat the dose.
2016 Blue Diamond Stakes: Group 1 preview and tips
Fast ‘N’ Rocking a good hope of filling a placing at least Cam. Maybe he has improved from last year but can he give this much weight to those three year olds and others down in the weights. He doesn’t necessarily have the wood on Fell Swoop either from a previous meeting. Meets him 2kg better for a 2L defeat.
Oakleigh Plate 2016: Historical preview and selections
Probably a few Nathan. There has been many a longshot fill a placing too over the years. .
Oakleigh Plate 2016: Historical preview and selections
Wow what a horse it must have been Onside! I guess you could imagine the likes of Mahogany possibly repeating the dose if he had ever attempted it. He won a Lightning, or one big straight race at Flemington beating Hareeba when first up from memory.
Oakleigh Plate 2016: Historical preview and selections
Definitely three quarters of a lengh from the footage shown from the railside of the track. I was quite surprised. I had no vested interest in that result but very unpopular decision given he was spruiked by so many.
Past the Post: Flemington and Rosehill wrap
Interesting to read the comments of Glynn Schofield re Japonisme who reckoned another 50m and that horse comes back and beats both Chautauqua and Terravists.
Can’t agree Razzar re that protest. Tivaci got nearly a length in front of Palentino in the straight yet got run down. It could also be argued that Williams overreacted with that interference and swung way too wide. Even so it was a long way out and so many variables from that point.
Stewards need to consider one thing. Would the horse protesting definitely have won without the interference? The benefit of the doubt must go to the winner . No way they can say that would have been the case in the CS Hayes.
I’s still livid about not getting one upheld with a 25-1 shot on Thursday when it was badly interfered with at the top of the straight. Ran the $1.50 perpetrator down to a half head. Not upheld yet clearly would have won without it’s clear running taken away, No consistency at all with protest decisions. Watch this space!
Past the Post: Flemington and Rosehill wrap
Well he got himself a bit worked up in the stalls and just didn’t travel sweetly enough. It’s all experience for him and he might be better for it. I don’t think they get humidity like this in New Zealand and that was a worry for me throughout the day. I couldn’t get too keen on backing him because of that.
Arab Dawn was good and it seems he is superior to Libran on Dry ground. Libran is a super looking horse though and can still make a name for himself after little luck in the straight.
Saturday sure things - Black Caviar Lightning Stakes day
Allergic a bit of a query on dry ground in my opinion. Hasselhoof should go a lot better today.
Saturday sure things - Black Caviar Lightning Stakes day
Kinglike scratched now and that is just brilliant isn’t it leaving us a field of just six and even less speed in the race?
The horse with the best late sprint in the race will probably win off a bunched field behind the only leader Va Pensiero.
Three-year-old stars set to dominate autumn
I like Timmy but can’t agree with him here. Players like him need to come back to the A-League to provoke more interest and corporate support. The money just isn’t there because we have a nation fixated on other Football Codes, and look at the money and resources that are poured into them.
Cahill’s scepticism concerning for the FFA and A-League
Yes Cam always love to see the 3yos have a go at the older horses. Hopefully happens at 2000m too this Autumn.
Three-year-old stars set to dominate autumn
Holler can’t run 1400m. Mahuta would be competitive vs the older horses for sure.
Three-year-old stars set to dominate autumn
What looked like an ultra competitive race on paper turned into a very uncompetitve one. That race was over 400m after the start and it was an incredibly dominant performance by Heatherly. She looks to have a race like the Oakleigh Plate at her mercy now. A very big watch on the filly she beat last time too, ALMIGHTY GIRL. I already had her in the Blackbook off her win at Mornington on debut and it was only a bob of the head that denied her 2/2 at Flemington.
I don’t see too many winners coming out of the beaten brigade in the Rubiton with the exception of Politeness but I suppose you have to make allowances for how fast the overall time of 1.02.21 which is pretty slick. Awful performance by Husson Eagle which makes no sense whatsoever.
History somewhat intact with barrier 3 keeping that amazing 2-4 winning barrier record going (11 out of past 14) and a last start winner saluting again. She is also a dead set 1000m-1100m horse, at least at this stage of her career and that is also common for most winners of this race.
Rubiton Stakes 2016: Where the value lies
Nothing mathematical about how I devised the market but it looks to be around the 120% mark. I did the form analysis and history and took if from there. Couldn’t see how any horse deserved to be less than $4 in this race. Good weight comparison there with T & T/Politeness. I might actually have seen that but forgot to mention it. The barrier is going to be his problem but you are getting the odds to compensate.
Rubiton Stakes 2016: Where the value lies
Fair enough JB. It wouldn’t surprise me at all if she won.
Rubiton Stakes 2016: Where the value lies
Very true Bondy and you just don’t know how they are going to adapt to our racing. I have no doubt he is good enough but thought that about Puccini a couple of years ago and he flopped badly. Quite odd because it had beaten Rising Romance in the NZ Derby who went onto better things.
Hasselhoof: Can any other horse hassle the Hoof?
Kawi was almost a Cox Plate contender this year but his trainer decided against it as he doubted he was mature enough. By this Spring he should be in the prime of his career and surely has to attempt that race.
Hasselhoof: Can any other horse hassle the Hoof?
Based on the formline I mentioned Scuba and not including the two you have mentioned who have already ventured here. Kawi is pretty good though. He would seriously challenge those two up to 2000m.
Hasselhoof: Can any other horse hassle the Hoof?
I should also have given a mention to OUR HARMONY. The reason I didn’t have her in the top 4 was mainly because she was meeting Miss Steele 7kg worse at the weights for a half length deficit last time they met. That basically means she is as badly weighted against I Love It. A little awkwardly drawn too. On the flipside she has been in my Blackbook for a while (on times) and might have more upside than the majority of these mares. I’d have her in my top 4 now with the 2 scratchings.
I’m not sure why those 2 mares have been scratched but if it is just because of their barriers I think it is a mistake. As explained the favourite could well find trouble from what looks like a less than ideal inside draw for her.
Bow Mistress Trophy: Barrier draw could decide Tassie's Group 3 mares race
Same top 3 Cam.
Australian and Randwick Guineas: Group 1 preview and tips