The Roar
The Roar

Adam Page

Roar Guru

Joined June 2014

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Passionate horse racing writer and an unbiased Swans, Panthers and Maroons supporter ;)

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I think with a cold ride, Denmagic will get 2000m in the Matriarch if they head that way.
Yeah, hindsight is a wonderful thing. But Prized Icon did have the Yankee Rose form, and he did go around at a silly price.

Past the post: Derby Day wrap

Did after Peacock…more so after Jameka spanked them haha

Saturday Sure Things: Caulfield Cup day preview

I think that was to be expected Razzar. Drying track with the rail in the true position will always favour horses nearer the inside and on pace at Caulfield. People who were walking the track on Thursday/Friday were saying that the inside was the A ground.

I think you have to give credit to Global Glamour. What she did in the space of seven days was enormous and not many 3YO fillies have achieved that feat. As for the boys, I was on Divine Prophet, so no complaints from me. I think Impending is going to be a real force in the Autumn and currently we don’t really have genuine stars at the mile. I’d love to see him have a real crack at the Doncaster.

Past the post: Caulfield and Randwick wrap

Can’t have Whispering Brook Razzar. I thought she was plain in the Prelude after a very soft lead.

Saturday Sure Things: Caulfield and Randwick preview

The tactics will be fascinating re Divine Prophet. Do they drag back and hook wide, or do they take advantage of the inside gate. Personally, I don’t see much pressure here, so I hope they punch forward and land 4th/5th the paint.

I think the Sydney 3YOs will dominate the Caulfield Guineas. Not so sure about the Thousand Guineas. I’m with Foxplay, but not as confident compared to the boys. I think Leotie and Sebring Dream are the two fillies at silly prices.

Star Turn, if he turns up fit and healthy, bolts up in the Schillaci. That’s his to lose on form and the WFA scale.

Caulfield Guineas day: Group 1 Previews and Tips

Only seen replays of Luskin Star Simoc and I can understand the comparison. Not many horses sprint clear of Chautauqua. The only pointer in regards to that was that he did get the significant weight pull given it was WFA

Past the post: Moonee Valley, Randwick and Flemington wrap

It’s an interesting one Razzar isn’t re Hartnell. He is just a weighted certainty in the Caulfield Cup, and I’d take any price for him. But Godolphin already have Scottish engaged and they do want a crack at the two cups and plate.

Agree with Jameka. She’s spot on for the Caulfield Cup. A drop of rain would enhance her chances big time. And yeah, that Caulfield track on Saturday just wasn’t up to Saturday grade. Looked like a midweek program and ran accordingly. Wasn’t helped either by several ill judged rides.

Past the post: Moonee Valley, Randwick and Flemington wrap

On first look at the noms, I am keen on Chetwood too Andrew. I’ve been on his back since the trials at the start of the prep. If he handles racing the Melbourne way, he wins.

Past the post: Moonee Valley, Randwick and Flemington wrap

Be very careful re Lucky Hussler Cam. The noise coming out of the stable is positive and his trial was outstanding

Moir Stakes and Turnbull Stakes: Group 1 Previews and Tips

Cheers mate

Working with a Good4, which should be perfect for every horse. Track rating won’t be an excuse. That is going to really suit Magic Hurricane I think. There is just a sense of timing about him and as I said, the big key is back to a handicap.

Saturday sure things: Moonee Valley, Randwick and Flemington preview

I’m not going to get sucked in Cam

COLA and academy picks propel Sydney to another grand final

To be fair, I think all the eggs are in the Sydney basket re O’Shea, with the prizemoney increase and rising prestige of the respective Sydney Carnivals. The Melbourne Group l hoodoo is a big monkey on his back. For mine, this Spring is his best chance to break that hoodoo…then again, most said that last season with Exosphere and look what happened.

Past the post: Caulfield and Rosehill wrap

Well he was touted as the next big thing to come over from the Tasman…and so far in Australia, he has run/trialled like a provincial horse. The form around him in NZ didn’t read great, the jump outs prior to the first up run were poor and he ran accordingly.

Past the post: Caulfield and Rosehill wrap

Razzar, Palentino won’t be winning the Epsom. If you can, grab a replay of his trial at Casterton…it was awful.

Past the post: Caulfield and Rosehill wrap

To be fair Andrew, majority of those are pretenders. Evacuation and Counterattack were wide no cover for the trip. Lucia Valentina was ridden like she was in a barrier trial and Inz’n’Out is a milk drinker. Don’t go off just yet.

Past the post: Caulfield and Rosehill wrap

150% agree Scuba. Internationals need a run here prior to the cup. The rest…you put a line through.

Melbourne Cup 2016: The likely international contingent

Several class records were broken that day, including two track records, so the whole idea of the track record being an indicator is rubbish IMO.

There are plenty of ticks for her, not disputing that. She is a deserved favourite, but even money is the issue I have. She is nowhere near a good thing in the race. Last year she was somewhat under the guard of most. In 2016 she will be the hunted and every jockey will have eyes on her and how to stop her.

Past the post: Randwick and Caulfield wrap

She was well and truly beaten in the ATC Oaks by Gust Of Wind, who failed to do anything since, and if you look at her runs at 2000m+m the form around it, outside her, has been plain, with the exception being Heavens Above.

I’m not saying she can’t win. I’m saying the $2.10 price for her to win the hardest race in Australia is poison odds.

Past the post: Randwick and Caulfield wrap

I think Winx and Chautauqua are on an even level when it comes to the best horse in Australia, keeping in mind that Chairmans Sprint win of the grey at Honkers.

I just think she is a real risk at running 2040m, a genuine 2040m, against a hot field. The international contingent will be stronger, and she was pushed a touch to beat Hauraki yesterday, who was known as one of the better thinkers in the business.

I agree re Hartnell. If we strike a wet track in the Caulfield Cup, he is the one to beat.

Past the post: Randwick and Caulfield wrap

Alpine Eagle today…absolutely yuck.

Saturday sure things: Rosehill and Flemington preview

Completely agree re Quick Feet. My bet will be on Awoke, but I’ll be having something each way on Quick Feet, especially on top of the ground now.

English a challenger to Chautauqua? Behave Cam 😉 watch the jump out of the grey yesterday…they won’t be beating him

Group 1 George Main Stakes: Preview and tips

Form around her is very good Tim. I was on her fresh and she was strong in winning, beating home a subsequent winner from last Saturday and the third horse has serious form fro Victoria. I am more keen on her stablemate though Miss Gunpowder

Saturday Sure Things: Randwick and Caulfield preview

Very cautious re Tsaritsa Razzar. The ride probably beat her fresh. If she brings her best, she’s right in the contest for sure. The mares race does look a lottery. I think Vibrant Rouge each way could run a bold race. Hard fit, good gate, handles all conditions.

Saturday Sure Things: Randwick and Caulfield preview

Well done Haradasun re Palentino. Not so well done with Alpine Eagle…I think Dairy Farmers are looking for a new pin up boy to drink their milk

Saturday sure things: Rosehill and Flemington preview

Huge in defeat Razzar. There is a Stakes win in her this prep for sure. They’ll find something for her in Melbourne.

Saturday sure things: Rosehill and Flemington preview

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